Mtns2Skies
Final Approach
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Mtns2Skies
I dunno... My wings stay attached to the airplane....Part of it is, quite frankly, that Piper makes a better airplane.
I dunno... My wings stay attached to the airplane....Part of it is, quite frankly, that Piper makes a better airplane.
I dunno... My wings stay attached to the airplane....
I get "regulation this, low demand that" - but honestly? For a plane that was developed in the 1950s I still can't get around why the entry level birds (Archer, Skyhawk, and step up Skylane) are as expensive as they are. All the costs associated with these things must have been paid off. Why these sheet metal parts can't just be stamped and assembled at this point is beyond me.
It's the latter. I get that RV10s for example cost around 2,000+ hrs, right? But I assumed that a company that's been building planes since WW2 would have some automation for their staple products (172, 182, etc.). Volume now probably doesn't justify the investment at this point, but in their prime time they were building thousands per year.. so I assumed (incorrectly it seems) that key components of the assembly was automatedI feel like you might be underestimating the number of man hours required to build these things. Or perhaps you're overestimating the amount of automation in their manufacturing processes. I took a tour of Cessna's Citation plant about 10 years ago, and I couldn't believe how much work everyone was doing by hand.
I dunno... My wings stay attached to the airplane....
LSA just kind of created its own little specialist niche. Like mopeds.
I get that RV10s for example cost around 2,000+ hrs, right?
Buy a Vulcanair? Rewrite the LSA weight limit? Hope that Vashon scales the Ranger?So what is the solution?
Another good point. The newer planes became less capable.
I get "regulation this, low demand that" - but honestly? For a plane that was developed in the 1950s I still can't get around why the entry level birds (Archer, Skyhawk, and step up Skylane) are as expensive as they are. All the costs associated with these things must have been paid off. Why these sheet metal parts can't just be stamped and assembled at this point is beyond me. Unless it's a giant F-U! to the owner market and they figure people like UND, Embry, etc., will happily fork over the money for new planes..
Maintaining older aircraft runs into the same brick wall. A few days ago someone posted that a replacement tailcone for a 100 series Cessna costs over $4,000. Why does that part have to be built by the manufacturer? Look at the example of the classic auto industry, where companies like Classic Industries and Auto Metal Direct are making body panels for dozens of old cars and pickups. GM, Ford, and Chrysler have licensed these firms to build the parts, and while Chinese replacement body parts pretty much suck, parts from CI and AMD are very close the originals.
Why can't control surfaces, cowlings, doors, and other airframe parts be manufactured by such firms? Computerized component measuring systems make it possible to exactly replicate an original within tolerances of a couple of thousandths.
How about engine components? I can buy a crankshaft for a big block Chevy from any one of a couple dozen sources, and unless you choose to buy the cheapest Chinese knockoff, the part will meet or exceed OEM standards. Bolt on automobile fuel injection systems replace carburetors, and have preprogrammed fuel maps and intelligent learning.
build a Cessna 172 in 1,000 man hours. $20/hr in labor costs (which I'm guessing is lowballing), labor alone is $200,000.
That there is the single biggest issue. Today's Cherokees and Skyhawks are effectively the same plane it was 60 years ago. Well over 30,000 of each of those have been built. I work for a relatively small company but we incorporate the lean mindset and have a continuous improvement paradigm because of stuff competition and thing margind. You don't have to make one massive change at once, but I would think that over 60 years and over 60,000 copies of the same product would have shown some continuous improvement... and not seen the cost of these entry level planes balloon sky high. To make these changes now it is too late, that ship sailedAirplanes are assembled in exactly the same way they were in 1956
And shop labor rates are high enough that once the engine or transmission fails, it's usually better to go buy a new car.
Airplanes are assembled in exactly the same way they were in 1956. Dies are used to form one part at a time. The thing is riveted together one rivet at a time. Instruments are installed one at a time. To automate this, for even two or three thousand airplanes per year, make no financial sense. Maybe when 3-D printing can develop to the point of making a light, strong airplane, the cost will come down enough that old airplanes will actually get crushed like old cars, instead of being repaired for decades.
I'm a retired aircraft mechanic. I know just how much work it is to build this stuff or to fix it.Comparing it to automobile production is comparing apples to bicycles.
I don't really think the blame falls on Cessna/Piper for why their aircraft are so expensive... when the engine new from the factory costs 30-50k... how are they supposed to make a profit to build the rest of the plane if it costs any less than what they're currently charging? The components are what cost so darn much.
I don't really think the blame falls on Cessna/Piper for why their aircraft are so expensive... when the engine new from the factory costs 30-50k... how are they supposed to make a profit to build the rest of the plane if it costs any less than what they're currently charging? The components are what cost so darn much.
Hilarious... Still laughing. Great thread.
Stuffing the panel full of pretty lights can't hide the fact that the airframes are the same (crummy) airframes they have manufactured for decades.
GA manufacturers have been gouging buyers forever, and blaming it on the FAA. The reality is that the cost of FAA certification gets recovered in the first hundred or so aircraft sold. After that it's pure gravy.
Paying huge insurance costs because of lawsuits involving sub-optimal airframes? Make better airframes.
$20/hour * 1000 hours = $20,000 not $200k
Problem 1: It costs millions of dollars to develop a new aircraft. Design + tooling + construction + certification = $$$$$. No way you amortize those costs in the first hundred aircraft.
Problem 2: You can make a perfect airframe. But if some idiot stuffs it into the side of the mountain, there's a good chance you're gonna be sued for a few million bucks. You can settle out of court or you can fight it before a jury, but either approach is expensive. This is the part that stinks - it costs your company real money (10's or hundreds of thousands of dollars) to make a BS case go away. It is very hard to escape.
We are talking Cessna here, right? They haven’t made a new airframe for GA in decades. No new design, no new tooling.
And a “few million bucks” for a lawsuit is maybe $10M once you pay all the lawyers and such. That’s 20 aircraft. The claims that they’re paying too much for liability insurance, are doubtful... they’re big enough to self-insure if that’s the case.
I'm talking generic mostly aluminum aircraft. Like the Skycatcher. Or the efforts to integrate new functionality like a diesel. Nothing about that is cheap.
If you're making a $50k/airplane profit, paying off a $10m settlement means you're profitless for the next 200 aircraft. 200 aircraft is years of sales for most GA manufacturers.
As far as the lawsuit goes, file bankruptcy, start new business name DBA New and Improved Cessna, and continue on, just like all slimy American companies do these days. Works for everyone else.
Maule could do that. Cessna, a subsidiary of Textron, can't.
And it would be really interesting to see what the folks working in the bowels of Cessna/Textron's accounting/finance wing think they make on each C-182. I bet those government contracts are doozies.
Skycatcher was crap canned as soon as they couldn’t find a fleet buyer for it. Literally crap canned, they tossed the remaining ones in a dumpster.
As far as the lawsuit goes, file bankruptcy, start new business name DBA New and Improved Cessna, and continue on, just like all slimy American companies do these days. Works for everyone else.
Cessna is making a LOT more than $50K profit on the 182s they’re selling to CAP.
They are a fleet sales company now. That’s just what they want to be. That’s fine, but they’re not selling much to individuals. Cirrus has that bottled up for the most part.
You seem to assume $500K per plane is all profit. Someone mentioned building a an RV 10 for about $112K- I'm pretty sure he didn't include the cost of labor (~2000 hours) nor overhead (building, support staff, etc). If those costs come to $150K per plane, that lawsuit requires 29 planes to recover that cost. Since there were 46 C-182 shipped last year (reference below), that would give the line a profit of only $600K.We are talking Cessna here, right? They haven’t made a new airframe for GA in decades. No new design, no new tooling.
And a “few million bucks” for a lawsuit is maybe $10M once you pay all the lawyers and such. That’s 20 aircraft. The claims that they’re paying too much for liability insurance, are doubtful... they’re big enough to self-insure if that’s the case.
<SNIP>
So you’re saying avionics and airframe are worth ten times the engine price, brand new? That’s fairly insane, really.
Remember they’re asking a cool half a million bucks for a turbo 182, out the door.
It doesn’t jive with costs on other aircraft equally as manual to build. Turbo 182 new, should probably be about a $250,000 airplane, maximum. And that’s still pushing it considering what $250K will buy someone in the used airplane market still.
Maybe half a million after a LOT more of the fleet is wrecked and gone, but a turbo 182 for higher than the median price of a house? Thats not sane. Not for what it truly is. A spamcan that hasn’t had a real update since the 70s.
No, adding a million fuel sumps, doesn’t count as a major update. LOL.
But you carry the zero!
You got me there, I've definitely been working too many hours lately. Or maybe its that new common core stuff.
Correct. I'm in for about $140k on the RV-10, which is all of the parts, engine, avionics, prop, etc. That doesn't count paint. Presumably, Cessna is in that range for the parts for a new C-182. A C-172 would be $25k less expensive because of the engine/prop combination.
So, let's say Cessna can do a 172 for $115k in parts, $20k in labor, $5k to paint it, and $50k in overhead. (You do want an engineering department to update drawings and give field support, a QC department to validate incoming materials and items, parts availability, a warranty department to handle those issues, etc. Right?)
Using those figures, that C-172 probably costs Cessna $190k to build. Assuming they want to make a profit on it, the things gonna be $250k out the door, at best.
Without presenting a bunch of figures to back up my assertion, I think the hourly labor costs involved in building a 182 are much closer to $100 per hour than $20.
Think about taxes, workman's comp insurance, 401K matching, operating cafeterias, providing PPE, costs of union and labor relations, worker education, and other items that escape me at the moment.
A total labor unit cost of $60,000 or more would not surprise me.
Without presenting a bunch of figures to back up my assertion, I think the hourly labor costs involved in building a 182 are much closer to $100 per hour than $20.
Think about taxes, workman's comp insurance, 401K matching, operating cafeterias, providing PPE, costs of union and labor relations, worker education, and other items that escape me at the moment.
A total labor unit cost of $60,000 or more would not surprise me.
In all these calculations, the engine makes up a large part of the non-labor cost of the plane. I've always been captivated by this GM LS3 conversion. You can buy these engines in crates new for $4 - $8k. That would reduce initial and ongoing engine costs measurably, not to mention you're capable of using pump gas.
https://backcountrypilot.org/forum/corvette-v8-in-172-certified-to-experimental-12351
https://www.chevrolet.com/performance/crate-engines/ls3
...I dare you to try to make a living selling VIC-20 computers today. Nobody in their right mind would do that, but we think nothing of looking at a 63 year old aircraft design (Cessna 172) and going "ooowww, aaaahhh" because they gave it a hideous "designer" paint scheme and stuck a $200.00 glass panel in it and charge over $750,000.00 for it....