jrcox19
Pre-takeoff checklist
We had no power in Ormond for a day, hangar at OMN was fine although I did see 2 or 3 that had their doors ripped off. Lots of airplanes tied down at both OMN and DAB but I didn't see any with major damage at least.
I have the wing leveler that came out of my Mooney.BTW, if anyone is going looting in S Florida, I could really use a wing leveller.
I have the wing leveler that came out of my Mooney.
STEC is very proud of their STC. Going between types tends to be cost prohibitive. I suspect that even if I gave it to you for free, by the time you got the STC and installed, you could have a modern AP for about the same money.
The post above yours with the flipped over planes was from a tornado on the Atlantic side that hit the airfield far from the actual hurricane. That was just bad luck, not negligence for not evacuating.Wow. I would have thought anyone with a plane would have evacuated.
BTW, if anyone is going looting in S Florida, I could really use a wing leveller.
Wow. I would have thought anyone with a plane would have evacuated.
I get so tired of reading and hearing this. First, if you're near the coast (and Florida has a lot of it) with an airplane, and you evac with your plane every time a storm is forecasted, you'd be spending a LOT of time flying north. Because hurricanes are not very predictable. And unless you evac far away, you have a good chance of moving INTO the storm. That's how about half the planes damaged at F95 during Michael ended up destroyed. One of the planes at North Perry was moved there from Tampa to get away from the storm.
Second, people who say this either don't have anything else (house, cars, family, job) or understand logistics. If you have a SEP airplane in SW Florida, you would want to have moved it up to around central AL to get far enough away. In your typical PA-28 or 172, this is a five hour trip. So if you have no one back home, and no job, no home to prep, then that's a great plan. But if you have a house, spouse, kids, pets, maybe an aging in-law and a job, then you quickly realize that the airplane is so far down on the priority list that it doesn't even register.
We like to say that when something goes wrong with the plane while we're flying it that "it belongs to the insurance company now" and what's important is being able to walk away afterwards. Well, this is no different. Priority one is keeping yourself and your loved ones safe. Then you can start worrying about replaceable things.
I get so tired of reading and hearing this. First, if you're near the coast (and Florida has a lot of it) with an airplane, and you evac with your plane every time a storm is forecasted, you'd be spending a LOT of time flying north. Because hurricanes are not very predictable. And unless you evac far away, you have a good chance of moving INTO the storm. That's how about half the planes damaged at F95 during Michael ended up destroyed. One of the planes at North Perry was moved there from Tampa to get away from the storm.
Second, people who say this either don't have anything else (house, cars, family, job) or understand logistics. If you have a SEP airplane in SW Florida, you would want to have moved it up to around central AL to get far enough away. In your typical PA-28 or 172, this is a five hour trip. So if you have no one back home, and no job, no home to prep, then that's a great plan. But if you have a house, spouse, kids, pets, maybe an aging in-law and a job, then you quickly realize that the airplane is so far down on the priority list that it doesn't even register.
We like to say that when something goes wrong with the plane while we're flying it that "it belongs to the insurance company now" and what's important is being able to walk away afterwards. Well, this is no different. Priority one is keeping yourself and your loved ones safe. Then you can start worrying about replaceable things.
Exactly. We had friends here in Tampa that left to ride out the storm in Orlando so they ended up going right into the path. I’ve lived through more hurricanes than I can count (born in Baton Rouge, grew up in LA 90 miles north of Panama City, FL, and live in Tampa). Never tried to leave or move anything— it’s a crap shoot if you do and typically you just waste time and money only to go from the frying pan into the fire. However, Ian was the first time we’ve lived in a mandatory evac zone in our county. We took it seriously, packed up critical items necessary to live should we be unable to return to the house, moved our boat and motorcycles out of the flood zone and went to a nearby friends house to ride out the storm. Our plane is hangared but the airport is also in a flood zone albeit higher ground than our house, not that would have mattered had Tampa taken the direct hit as originally expected — in that case it would have been a goner. The bottom line is we couldn’t save everything so chose to save what we could within practical reason.
In the end, it didn’t matter. However, my in-laws live just 2 miles from Ft Myers beach on an inlet and the bottom floor of their house and dock got nuked from the storm surge. We had 15 totes of personal items (books , pictures, baby/kids stuff, etc) they were storing for us — all gone. But that’s inconsequential as so many people lost everything. In the final analysis, I’m comfortable with our approach to storm prep and won’t change in anything for the future.
You did it right. Hopefully the next time, those who consider "riding it out" in an evac zone will watch some footage from Ft Myer Beach. That thought process mystifies me.
Of course the weather guessers and models didn’t help.
The angle of the storm track to the SW FL coast increased the risk. A slight shift eastward in path would add a hundred miles of coastline to the cone AND accelerate landfall by a day. Same thing happened in 2004 with Charlie. We went to bed on Friday night thinking the storm would hit Tampa later in the weekend, and woke up on Saturday morning to it pounding Port Charlotte.
Yep. I was still active duty in 04 for Charlie (Wilma and Katrina too) and we lived in Valrico at the time. My unit (JCSE) at MacDill evacuated our ride out team and minimum deployment package plus spares via convoy to our primary evac location which was Avon Park. Little did we know that we put them right into the path—exactly opposite of what was intended. I remember sitting at home in Valrico watching our pool cage shake and shimmy all day long. It survived without damage— heck we never even lost power.
I was in SOCCENT at the time and also lived in Valrico. Still do. For a while, the Charlie track went directly over Medard Park, maybe 5 miles from my house. I've got a screenshot somewhere. Charlie definitely taught me that the cones were just SWAGs. Being in the center of the forecast path 72 hours out is probably a good indication that it will not hit you.
No kidding—small world! We lived at the end of Culbreath at the time. We left JCSE (actually my 2nd MacDill assignment as I was at the Wing before JCSE) and Tampa in ‘06 for the Pentagon. Finally moved back in ‘19 and we’re currently in Apollo Beach. Work for DLA now in our regional office at CENTCOM. Were you on jump status while at SOCCENT?
I am at the end of Bloomingdale. Used to work out at the Y on Culbreath every day. Yep, I jumped at SOCCENT. Was there 03-08.
I was saving the track data for a couple days before it finally made landfall.
https://imgur.com/a/5aw68V8
This is a three day period. At about 36 hours out, it was forecast to pass about 200 miles from Ft. Meyers. At 48 hours, it going to pass about 100 miles away and make landfall at Cedar Key (200 miles up the coast).
I was saving the track data for a couple days before it finally made landfall.
https://imgur.com/a/5aw68V8
This is a three day period. At about 36 hours out, it was forecast to pass about 200 miles from Ft. Meyers. At 48 hours, it going to pass about 100 miles away and make landfall at Cedar Key (200 miles up the coast).
I think that is something people who haven't been on the receiving end of a major hurricane don't understand. The forecasts change regularly. A shift in track of just 20-30 miles can have massive impacts on where the worst damage occurs. You can be on the west side (the good side) of the storm within 50 miles of the eye, and have almost no damage or even rain from a hurricane.
you might want to rethink that, the lee county sheriff, said in an interview a couple of days ago, "you may walk into someones house to loot, but you most likely will be carried out!"BTW, if anyone is going looting in S Florida, I could really use a wing leveller.