I'm sure that there are a lot more than three aviation attorneys in the U.S. We don't know what percentage of them would agree with these three, because three attorneys are not a statistically valid representation of all the aviation attorneys in the U.S.
All right, taking that remark seriously, two points:
Is there any data extant in this discussion or elsewhere to suggest there are ANY aviation attorneys who would argue that UA was legally in the right?
There was no case argued in court or in motions by UA. Thus the observation that in any case there are attorneys arguing both sides is not particularly relevant. So far as we know, there were NO such attorneys willing to argue UAs case in court. They are at this point imaginary beings like unicorns.
If such existed, that would give rise to some statistical variation in the observations and then one could run a hypothesis test, yes, even on a sample size of 3. For example, go to
http://rddr.io and enter “t.test(1.95,2.05,2.1))”. It provides a valid and significant statistical p-value for that case. The theory of hypothesis testing does not provide any basis for the broad assertion that a sample size of 3 is not a valid sample. Please provide a reference for that assertion. The validity of the sample depends on a lot of factors, including the level of variation in the sample.
But AS I NOTED, it is unclear how one would even properly cast this as a statistical problem with this dataset.
The question arose because of the assertion that a validly conducted opinion poll of aviation attorneys would be convincing. That is fair enough as a statement of what would be persuasive to the speaker, but then raises the question, why demand that standard of evidence?
What evidence, other than the non-existant, larger opinion poll would be convincing? I suggested it might be best to examine the actual exhibits in the Long case, the regulations, and the contract for carriage, to try and see, as a more direct assessment.
But I gather that would take too much time and effort. Fair enough, then perhaps best to just acknowledge that and that one simply doesn’t have the time or energy to fill in that gap in knowledge.
But perhaps what is really meant here is that we don’t really know how this would turn out in court if adjudicated. That is true and I believe has been one of my points. I don’t even really understand , and I don’t believe it has been presented here, what the legal basis for UAs actions were. The available evidence strongly suggests UA may have violated their carriage contract though I also suspect they had a valid grounds under trespass law to ask Dr. Dao to get off the plane.