The Colgan NPRM is out

I know that for GA airplanes, the advice given is to NOT use the autopilot, particularly in pitch modes, in icing conditions. I thought similar advice was part of airline specs after the Roselawn incident.

The reason given is that you won't have the feel for the airplane and it's changing flying characteristics until the autopilot is disconnected, and at that point, if it's an uncommanded disconnect, it's gonna be an unpleasant surprise.

Can anyone confirm or deny?
Dang - thread drift. Sorry.


You are correct - colgan and others call for NO autopilot in icing conditions

"Colgan Air recommends pilots fly manually in icing conditions, and requires they do so in severe icing conditions. The NTSB had issued a safety alert about the use of autopilot in icing conditions in December 2008. Without flying manually, pilots may be unable to feel changes in the handling characteristics of the airplane, which is a warning sign of ice buildup. The NTSB also revealed that the plane crashed a mere 26 seconds after trouble was first registered on the flight data recorder.[50][51][52]"
 
You are correct - colgan and others call for NO autopilot in icing conditions

"Colgan Air recommends pilots fly manually in icing conditions, and requires they do so in severe icing conditions. The NTSB had issued a safety alert about the use of autopilot in icing conditions in December 2008. Without flying manually, pilots may be unable to feel changes in the handling characteristics of the airplane, which is a warning sign of ice buildup. The NTSB also revealed that the plane crashed a mere 26 seconds after trouble was first registered on the flight data recorder.[50][51][52]"

That contradicts this from the accident report which says.

Finally, the Q400 AFM and Colgan CFM stated, in the Limitations section, that the autopilot must be disengaged during severe icing.

http://www.ntsb.gov//doclib/reports/2010/AAR1001.pdf

Page 43

The airplane was not flying in severe icing. In addition, the NTSB would have mentioned autopilot use in the "Conclusions" section if they thought it was a factor. They mentioned 46 other things.
 
Mari I don't see a disconnect. Both of you are saying NO autopilot in Severe Icing - as a limitation.

Dell further says that colgan recommends that the airplane be flown by hand in icing. Not required, however until severe icing.

Edit: I can see where the autopilot might not have been a factor if icing wasn't considered a factor. The whole "tail stall" thing just reminded me about icing and autopilot usage.
 
Following the Monroe, Mich., crash of a Comair Brasilia in January 1997, the NTSB recommended that “the FAA require all operators of turbopropeller-driven air carrier airplanes to require pilots to disengage the autopilot and fly the airplane manually when they activate the anti-ice systems.” The Safety Board has repeated this recommendation often, but interestingly, while the NTSB’s list of most-wanted transportation safety improvements includes an icing category, banning use of the autopilot in icing conditions is not listed as one of the desired improvements.

This above quote is from an aviation international news article written after the colgan crash.

What I posted earlier was copied from the wikipedia page for the crash. I don't have the original source, but I think what I posted earlier is probably correct... That Colgan's policy reccomends disengaging the autopilot in icing conditions and requires it be disconnected in severe icing conditions.

Since the icing equipment was on, the pilot was following colgan recommended procedure of disconnecting the A/P when in icing conditions.
 
This article is based on preliminary info http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/29194109#.T06iJvGm95Y
As you said that was from preliminary info. In the end the accident wasn't caused by icing. As far as what Colgan pilots were told to do in "icing conditions", we have someone posting on this thread who I'm sure can tell us. We do not disconnect the autopilot every time we turn on the anti-ice systems.
 
Uh, hooray for pilot eugenics! :rolleyes:

Well, that's pretty much the way it has always been, typically wars did the work for us before, but we aren't turning out enough military pilots to fill the demand like we had available in the 50s, 60s, and 70s. Basically enough guys with proven ability to act under fire were in the cockpits to manage things. No we don't get that, we get entire flight crews of people who can't think under pressure; that is not fulfilling the public duty.

The pilot is now the greatest fault and least reliable component in the system. Time to be gone.
 
I know that for GA airplanes, the advice given is to NOT use the autopilot, particularly in pitch modes, in icing conditions. I thought similar advice was part of airline specs after the Roselawn incident.

The reason given is that you won't have the feel for the airplane and it's changing flying characteristics until the autopilot is disconnected, and at that point, if it's an uncommanded disconnect, it's gonna be an unpleasant surprise.

Can anyone confirm or deny?
Dang - thread drift. Sorry.

Same here, I've never seen such a restriction.
 
Well, that's pretty much the way it has always been, typically wars did the work for us before, but we aren't turning out enough military pilots to fill the demand like we had available in the 50s, 60s, and 70s. Basically enough guys with proven ability to act under fire were in the cockpits to manage things. No we don't get that, we get entire flight crews of people who can't think under pressure; that is not fulfilling the public duty.

Is there really any evidence that points to ex-military pilots having a significantly better safety record in the airlines? I wasn't aware of any, but I'd be interested to see it.
 
Is there really any evidence that points to ex-military pilots having a significantly better safety record in the airlines? I wasn't aware of any, but I'd be interested to see it.

The airlines are safer than ever despite the proliferation of those incompetent civilian pilots.

Yesterday, a 86 year old former airline pilot regaled me with some of the near fatal anecdotes that the military trained pilots of yesteryear produced with alarming regularity.
Some pilots were good, some were bad, no different from today. The difference is that less automation, sparse radar coverage and laxer supervision by company and CAA made the system less tolerant to screwups.
 
Is there really any evidence that points to ex-military pilots having a significantly better safety record in the airlines? I wasn't aware of any, but I'd be interested to see it.
My limited experience with military pilots suggests some of them are good and some of them are horrible.
 
As you said that was from preliminary info. In the end the accident wasn't caused by icing. As far as what Colgan pilots were told to do in "icing conditions", we have someone posting on this thread who I'm sure can tell us. We do not disconnect the autopilot every time we turn on the anti-ice systems.

I haven't caught up on the whole thread, but I just wanted to throw in a quick answer to this part of the discussion.

For the record, they both had a fair amount of experience in icing at the time of the accident (not as much as some at the company, but certainly enough to be "comfortable" in it). Their conversation was about how BEFORE coming to the airline, they had very little exposure to icing. That is true of, I'd wager, more than a majority of regional pilots. Most regional pilots these days come from instructing. Most instructors don't spend a whole hell of a lot of time slogging around in light to moderate icing all winter. Certainly not as much as regional turbo-prop pilots do.

Before the accident, CJC had no stance on AP usage and icing. Bombardier had a limitation in the AFM (and in our CFM) for no AP in SEVERE icing.

After the accident, CJC training said, essentially "you get a better feel for the plane without AP on." Well duh. But still the only limitation was for severe icing.

I flew the Q for a little over two years, including on the night of the accident, and I never did myself, nor witnessed anyone else, turn off the AP just because we were in icing. That plane was a PITA to hand fly for long periods of time, especially up high; the AP was your friend in that thing.

Icing had nothing to do with the accident. It may have been a brief distraction, but really their conversation about icing holds no more significance than a conversation about ketchup on hot dogs. That plane will carry a LOT of ice...

The tail stall conundrum is a result of CJC training at the time. All initial training and annual recurrents included the FAA's rockin' video from the '80s about tail icing/tail stalls. FAA said we had to watch it, so we watched it; every year. Most of us had that stupid thing memorized. Marv's reaction fit almost perfectly with the response dictated for tail icing/tail stall (minus the whole, not saying a thing).

We didn't find out (from Bombardier) until months after the accident that the Q cannot tail stall. At all. And with a purely hydraulic elevator, elevator "snatch" (what could be confused with the pusher) is physically impossible.

Jesse - I grant the premise that Marv should have said something if he was doing a non-standard (non-trained) tail stall recovery procedure. BUT, the normal stall recovery procedure is supposed to include a verbal, Pavlovian response to the 6 indications (is it 7?) in the cockpit that the plane is in a stalled condition. The fact that the stall protection system worked as advertised, but Marv (and Bekki, for that matter) were almost completely silent, indicates to me that either 1) he thought tail stall and simply had no callouts for it, 2) he forgot all the callouts for something we practice ad nauseum every 6 months, or 3) they had lost all SA and had no idea WTF the plane was doing. I suspect the truth lies somewhere between those options, and perhaps several others that we will never fully understand.

There were a lot of other issues at play that night WRT the airplane's icing systems, system integration, training, manual content, procedures... Human error was the final straw, but as with all accident, there was a long chain of events that led up to that house that night. As far as any of us could tell after the fact, icing wasn't on that chain.
 
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Jesse - I grant the premise that Marv should have said something if he was doing a non-standard (non-trained) tail stall recovery procedure.

The right-seaters response of taking up the flaps would also fit into that pattern.
 
Is there really any evidence that points to ex-military pilots having a significantly better safety record in the airlines? I wasn't aware of any, but I'd be interested to see it.


No, they don't, they have accidents for different reasons though. Given selecting the most disciplined miltary screened combat seasoned pilot who has been proven to be able to think and act well under high stress duress, add in intense systems training on modern high tech aircraft with a cleaned up interface and you'd have what would give you the highest likelihood of having the proper person in the left seat of an airliner. We need to combine multiple factors in this quest. We need a way to select for the reaction criteria, are you a time dilator or are you a freezer? The problem is you have to be looking at death to find out. I feel that with a combination of drugs and really high quality simulators though you can trigger it in most people. I know the Jetstream sim made me sweat! You can feel it coming while you're working it that's for damned sure. If you give them something like a Speedball and throw them in a hot sim set to crash, you'll trigger most guys off, see who drives into the crash and see who rides into the crash. Hire the drivers. Simple and highly effective screening selection test for the ATP.
 
Not to beat a dead horse or anything, but Richard Collins just published an article on the Colgan NPRM, and I think he's pretty much spot-on. http://www.airfactsjournal.com/2012/03/dicks-blog-right-seat-upgrade/

The only thing I disagree with that he wrote is where he says it'll have zero effect on GA. I would fully expect to see a decrease in career oriented flight students if the NPRM goes through in its current form. I'd also expect to see an increase in the amount of certificated flight instructors as those who are career oriented seek out every opportunity they can to build time.
 
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Not to beat a dead horse or anything, but Richard Collins just published an article on the Colgan NPRM, and I think he's pretty much spot-on. http://www.airfactsjournal.com/2012/03/dicks-blog-right-seat-upgrade/

The only thing I disagree with that he wrote is where he says it'll have zero effect on GA. I would fully expect to see a decrease in career oriented flight students if the NPRM goes through in its current form. I'd also expect to see an increase in the amount of certificated flight instructors as those who are career oriented seek out every opportunity they can to build time.

Dick glosses over the point that the FAA is required by law to implement some of these things.
 
A show of hands, please: How many of you have actually flown an airliner as a captain, with a 500hr tt FO? In other words, besides writers for magazines...who get mucho dinero from riddle, et al, and people clamoring for their first thousand hours, who opposes the new rules that saw how the old rules were working?

Yeah, that's what I thought.
 
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