Retirement

Status
Not open for further replies.
Has anyone had any success using any of (the multitude of) online retirement calculators?

BTW, for most people I know, a 2-3M nestegg (without other income) has been adequate to retire on. (these people do not live in The Hamptons with their own Gulfstream - think BBQ eaters, small town bungalows)
 
Last edited:
Our basis number to retire and not lower our standard of living is $2 million and we're on track to be there at age 63. Our current plan indicates a 95% probability of that happening.

Having left the military after a twenty year career, my stress level is already greatly reduced and my free time increased as well. Not sure I'll ever completely leave work, but as soon as I hit that basis number I'm going to transition to back to full time flight instructor.
 
I'm only 33 and would retire now if I had the means. I have so many interests/hobbies that I could fill the time easily. There are hundreds and hundreds of books that I'd love to read, if I just had the time. I'd love to go take some additional college courses in a few areas that interest me. I'd love to go take some courses at the local votech (advanced carpentry/welding). I'd love to take an RV exploring every state in the US and Canada, spending a few weeks in each state. I'd love to complete all manner of aircraft ratings, maybe even build an experimental. I'd love to spend a lot of early mornings fishing and skiing. On and on . . . It's most always a problem of having the time. Retirement provides that.

Sent from my SM-T700 using Tapatalk
same here, though i'm 43. at 33 I knew I could retire at any point and stay busy and satisfied. Now it's just building the money to be able to do so.

reading, learning new things, flying places, camping, college classes, doing cool stuff with the kids.

besides all the small stuff, the two big areas are
1. I always like to be learning something new. Kind of a renaissance approach to life. Learn a trade, or theory, or??
2. finding new opportunities. I'm always looking for things I can do that make a little money (develop property, etc, etc)
 
Many are still worn out, but not as many. Many/most are not ready financially to retire at 55, if ever. They spend as much if not more than they make and save little to nothing. I have a lack of sympathy for those that don't plan for the future. It's not just the low income folks in that situation, there are many making excellent incomes that have little to no safety net, and most of what they do have is credit, not money.

I don't know that anyone ever has a moral obligation to be productive. I think they have an obligation not to be a burden on society, but they don't need to be productive.

Yes, it's ok to be buying "new stuff" while the kids are struggling, if by that you mean they can't "buy everything they want"/"get instant gratification at any moment, for anything". If on the other hand they are truly having trouble making ends meet I would certainly help my kids. That might mean explaining that they have to downsize the McMansion and stop buying new cars every two years; but then my kids know better than that already and two of them are in college. I'm not going to fund an extravagant lifestyle for them though, just because I can spend money on myself.

"less fortunate"? Really? So while others were spending their money going out, traveling, buying new stuff and I was spending mine on new computers and my time working on developing new software and investing my money in a home and not buying new cars every few years, I was just "lucky"? And their misspent youth was just "unlucky"? Sorry, I'm really tired of the "less fortunate" nonsense. My luck was being born to parents that gave a damn. My father was in the Navy, then went to college while he worked and raised two kids. There were no country clubs for us. We did almost all of our car repairs and home repairs ourselves, plus worked in building one of our homes. I was not born rich, or even well off.

That said, my wife and I give significant amounts of money and time each year to charities.

I have no problem planning to spend my time traveling and enjoying hobbies in my retirement.

I agree, many are still worn out, but, it is disingenuous for the poster above to claim that we as a society have not moved onward and upward from an agrarian society to a manufacturing society, to a now service society. The physical toll on one's body is much less, collectively, than it used to be 50 years ago, and 80 years ago (whenever Social Security was enacted.)

Yes, there is quite a bit of "luck" and "fortune". For the past 230 years, in this country, the biggest predictor of becoming successful was to be born white, and male. Those two traits provided more opportunity than anything else. Those are facts, and to deny such is naive.

Spend time with guys working hourly, swinging hammers, carrying shingles, turning wrenches, etc... those guys have no chance of having a well-off retirement. They are one paycheck away from losing a home, losing a car, etc.. Not everyone can be upper class, by definition.

Now, do you have any moral obligation to anyone outside of yourself? That is a question that we all get to ask ourselves.
 
The problem is that you over-simplified it to the point that Sac is able to interpret your comments in the way that he has. We've had deflation in the energy sector the past couple of years which has filtered into other aspects of the economy, easing inflation, and even causing commodity prices to fall. The price of fuel and fertilizer has fallen due to the reduction in natural gas prices. This allows deflation to occur in corn, soybean, etc. prices without affecting profitability. The energy sector has been hurt, but the rest of us did better- lower gas prices, heating prices, etc. I live in the middle of America and commodity prices have deflated- not a lot of pain here.

Food prices have gone down a bit- good news for CFIs since I saw ramen noodles at 12/$2.20 (~5/$1) at WalMart, better than 3/$1 a few years ago. Again, you assume deflation is the cause of pain; I showed you a citation where deflation is considered the result of an economic crisis. You still write as if the deflation was the cause.

As for deflation in the suburbs, in recent times, that was due to investors (rather than people looking for a place to live) driving prices up. People trying to flip houses. Both times I waited the bubble out before buying a place to live. When people with modest incomes talk about flipping houses, there's a good chance you are going to see a bubble burst soon. The deflation you mentioned was the market "correcting" itself to a level not driven by "flippers".

When you over-simplify, you really don't have a sound premise anymore. Someone who has lived through a few economic cycles really doesn't need a CPI to know that there will be inflation. $25 burgers in a couple of years? Yeah, if he really said that, it's an exaggeration (I hope). It could happen though, and has happened in some economies. It doesn't do a discussion any good to talk down to people either. I'm sure the audience here can take the more realistic version.

Yes, there is inflation, there is deflation. Again, my comment was to Sac who doesn't need none of that fancy-schmancy data stuff like CPI and similar, as he can just rely on his living in the real world, the one where his minimum wages will be at $60/hour and his Big Mac will be at $25.

Interesting your take on "middle America" and deflated commodity prices. From what I am seeing, lots of farm sales are going to be getting pretty poor responses on neighbors buying used tractors from the guys selling out. Corn/grain/wheat prices are such that guys are hurting.
 
Read your own paragraph I was responding to.

You said social security "kicked in at 65" "50 years ago".

SS retirement age for anyone born after 1960 has been 67 since 1983. 34 years ago.

Both your age and your date of enactment were "nonsense" as you say. It wasn't 50 years ago and it wasn't 65 years old.

I said nothing at all about work camps. That's the real "nonsense"' now.

Most adults retire somewhere around the time their SS benefit kicks in.

Anyone 56 or younger today, has been roughly planning 67 as a "retirement age" since the law change in 1983.

AGain, nobody is required to work until 67. People can work until they want. And, if they want, they can collect social security at much younger ages than 67, or 65.

You don't really understand the topic.
 
Two of our friends retired from their jobs as soon as they could get the retirement package, then started working at job they really liked, collected their SS, and pension plus the salary that went with the new job.
 
If you want to see "economic" pain, go into the suburbs when housing prices start deflating.

Want to see economic pain? Just step on over to Fairfield County, CT.

When GE announced they were moving their HQ from Fairfield to Boston, Fairfield lost 800 high pay executive jobs in one day. My friends are reporting a 40 - 60% drop in housing prices. Ouch!

-Skip
 
Want to see economic pain? Just step on over to Fairfield County, CT.

When GE announced they were moving their HQ from Fairfield to Boston, Fairfield lost 800 high pay executive jobs in one day. My friends are reporting a 40 - 60% drop in housing prices. Ouch!

-Skip

Deflation hurts. Deflation of your BIGGEST asset really hurts.
 
Want to see economic pain? Just step on over to Fairfield County, CT.

When GE announced they were moving their HQ from Fairfield to Boston, Fairfield lost 800 high pay executive jobs in one day. My friends are reporting a 40 - 60% drop in housing prices. Ouch!

-Skip
When you are retired and plan on living there who really cares what the house is worth, other than the taxes on it.
 
When you are retired and plan on living there who really cares what the house is worth, other than the taxes on it.

I saw a lot of people who were forced to keep living in a house they really didn't want to stay in, as they were ready to retire and move to another area of the state/country. And, when their homes went upside down, they lost equity, etc... they were forced to remain in place, delaying living where they would be happier.

I am just now seeing those people buying and building the retirement homes they dreamed of back in 2008.
 
I saw a lot of people who were forced to keep living in a house they really didn't want to stay in, as they were ready to retire and move to another area of the state/country. And, when their homes went upside down, they lost equity, etc... they were forced to remain in place, delaying living where they would be happier.

I am just now seeing those people buying and building the retirement homes they dreamed of back in 2008.

Then they bought for the short term (those investors I mentioned creating a bubble earlier in the thread), or they borrowed on the full equity when the prices were high. The prices were really out of sight for a period of only 4-6 years until the bubble collapsed. If they bought in 2006, when the prices were highest, they were only planning to move out a short time later since the prices fell over 2007-2008.

Although one should be careful using a particular region as an example, Las Vegas shows fairly well what happened during that time across the country. [1] Places like Nebraska had relatively little change compared to other regions but it still followed the trend; the gain and subsequent loss weren't so large. If people bought in 2000 and sold only 12 years later, they would at worst have gotten the same price for their home assuming they didn't borrow too heavily into their equity when prices were highest. A lot of people were using their home as a piggy bank without recognizing a bubble and they got burnt. With a few exceptions, I don't have a lot of sympathy for those who tried to play that market and lost. The investors drove home prices out of the reach of many people living in many places for a short while.

[1] http://www.jparsons.net/housingbubble/las_vegas.html
 
Yes, there is inflation, there is deflation. Again, my comment was to Sac who doesn't need none of that fancy-schmancy data stuff like CPI and similar, as he can just rely on his living in the real world, the one where his minimum wages will be at $60/hour and his Big Mac will be at $25.

Interesting your take on "middle America" and deflated commodity prices. From what I am seeing, lots of farm sales are going to be getting pretty poor responses on neighbors buying used tractors from the guys selling out. Corn/grain/wheat prices are such that guys are hurting.
An average joe will see how much $100 will buy. To him, that is a reasonable package of goods and services which serves as a CPI and is more real to him than a CPI published by the government. To nearly everyone, the purchasing power of their pay is the real world. Sac has a concern about potential hyper-inflation. He has worked abroad enough in other places that he has probably observed that as well.

Directed at Sac or not, the explanation given was so simplified that it no longer supported the point very well.
 
When you are retired and plan on living there who really cares what the house is worth, other than the taxes on it.

Most of those executives who were laid off can't afford to live there long term without a high paying job. The taxes are high enough to choke the proverbial horse. So they have to move and they are suddenly upside down on their mortgages.

I'm not feeling too sorry for them. They enjoyed - on average - the highest incomes in America (or close to it) for years and did they save any? I hope the answer is yes!

-Skip
 
AGain, nobody is required to work until 67. People can work until they want. And, if they want, they can collect social security at much younger ages than 67, or 65.

You don't really understand the topic.

As far as I can tell, the topic is about all of our plans for retirement. You started a post with the statement that thinking like retirement begins at 65 is outdated. Technically I agreed with you.

For most people retirement begins around the SS full benefit date. Just human nature to think about it that way. Pilots/rich folk have more options, but the majority do not.

Anyone under the age of 56 hasn't "thought about retiring at 65..." ever. They've always thought of retirement as something around 67. The law changed before they were old enough to even have heard of retirements at 65 or younger.

My point was, you must be pretty old to even have considered it a viable age for retirement. Anyone under 56 with a middle income job has known they probably weren't retiring at 65 since 1983, and anyone born after 1965 wasn't even old enough to vote on the change when it happened in 1983.

In other words, we all know what you stated. Nobody born after 1965 who needed SS benefits to make it work, was ever considering a retirement at age 65. We've all been planning for 67 -- or saving money fanatically to beat that.

You were lecturing a point nobody still planning their retirement has considered for a very long time.

I continued and pointed out that other than government service, pensions were long dead well before 1983. Nobody has been planning seriously for having one of those since sometime in the middle 80s, either.

So, if you'd pay attention you'd see I was agreeing with you. If anyone believes there's still folks out there young enough to be planning retirements who EVER thought they were retiring at 65... trust me, we aren't. And haven't. And never did.

That concept was dead on arrival in 1983.

Nobody except late 50's and older folks has ever had 65 or younger as their lifelong concept of "retirement age".

Your thought that in a discussion with a varied age group here about retirement was somehow tainted by thoughts of age 65 retirements and pensions, was just not accurate at all.

There are people here who are having grandkids now, who never had that concept or thought, ever. 67 has been the full retirement benefit age for 33 years.

Most folks (like Sac and myself and many others here) who are in prime earning years, are far more concerned about rates of return and stagnant wages due to globalization and inflation than have even a passing thought to pensions or retiring at 65 or younger.

So... if we're having a discussion about ALL of our retirements and not just folks already so close to retirement age they can taste it... you were preaching a worry about a concept none of us have ever had. We've always had self-directed retirement funding and little chance of SS being useful to us. Most of us have also given generously to your "moral dilemma" listed items, and taken care of the kids... long before retirement. Before we bought any "golf clubs" or "lived the good life".

Everyone actually bothering to plan for retirement who's under age 56 is a saver and still members of one of the most generous societies on the planet. Pensions? Age 65 retirements? Worrying if we did the right thing by others before retirement? Not issues for us. We didn't have the first two, and we've maintained our generosity as a society very well in a total population that's not replacing itself via birth rate.

Yes. We do understand it. The thought problems and moral dilemmas you brought up, were only experienced by those currently older than 56.
 
Then they bought for the short term (those investors I mentioned creating a bubble earlier in the thread), or they borrowed on the full equity when the prices were high. The prices were really out of sight for a period of only 4-6 years until the bubble collapsed. If they bought in 2006, when the prices were highest, they were only planning to move out a short time later since the prices fell over 2007-2008.

Although one should be careful using a particular region as an example, Las Vegas shows fairly well what happened during that time across the country. [1] Places like Nebraska had relatively little change compared to other regions but it still followed the trend; the gain and subsequent loss weren't so large. If people bought in 2000 and sold only 12 years later, they would at worst have gotten the same price for their home assuming they didn't borrow too heavily into their equity when prices were highest. A lot of people were using their home as a piggy bank without recognizing a bubble and they got burnt. With a few exceptions, I don't have a lot of sympathy for those who tried to play that market and lost. The investors drove home prices out of the reach of many people living in many places for a short while.

[1]tml

It doesn't matter if you have sympathy or not for those people. The point is those people exist, and, due to a recession, including deflating home values left many people "trapped" in homes longer than they wanted. And, it has taken them 8 years or so to get back to "healthy", whatever that means.

Not everyone can be "smarter than average", by definition.

People had to live somewhere, and, unfortunately, many people have their home as their single largest asset/investment. Doesn't matter if it was smart or not, it just is.
 
I saw a lot of people who were forced to keep living in a house they really didn't want to stay in, as they were ready to retire and move to another area of the state/country. And, when their homes went upside down, they lost equity, etc... they were forced to remain in place, delaying living where they would be happier.

I am just now seeing those people buying and building the retirement homes they dreamed of back in 2008.

I could joke in your style of making up things, that there are no housing death camps. Anyone can sell at a loss, any time they like. No one is forced to live in an upside-down house they bought at too high a price for their local market to maintain.

LOL. But that would be absurd.

Housing is always very location specific. Denver hasn't seen a housing bust in a very long time and most housing here is "unaffordable" for younger folks just starting out. 3.5 million people have moved here in just under two decades.

Anyone selling in the last decade has made plenty of money, but it's relative -- they can't replace what they had for that money. Prices continue to hold steady with unsustainable growth in the metro. Normal macroeconomics.

Moral of that story probably is two-fold:

1. Buy housing below your means and pay it off quickly. Then you always have options.

2. Don't buy housing you wouldn't want to live in for the rest of your life. The market can always be crazy longer than you can remain solvent if you think you must buy a "dream retirement home".

Neither of the above is a new concept. The base concepts of buying housing and the ups and downs don't change.

My wife's folks had to stop construction on their "retirement dream house" for nearly a decade, and they built it eventually in the early 1980s. Same cycle, different generation.

Ironically they enjoyed it for only right around the average home ownership number of years (7 is the average, they were there 10) and sold it to downsize to a patio home and move south to warmer climate. Turns out it wasn't their "dream retirement home" after all. It was too big and in the wrong location for their concept of retirement.

Totally normal.
 
As far as I can tell, the topic is about all of our plans for retirement. You started a post with the statement that thinking like retirement begins at 65 is outdated. Technically I agreed with you.

For most people retirement begins around the SS full benefit date. Just human nature to think about it that way. Pilots/rich folk have more options, but the majority do not.

Anyone under the age of 56 hasn't "thought about retiring at 65..." ever. They've always thought of retirement as something around 67. The law changed before they were old enough to even have heard of retirements at 65 or younger.

My point was, you must be pretty old to even have considered it a viable age for retirement. Anyone under 56 with a middle income job has known they probably weren't retiring at 65 since 1983, and anyone born after 1965 wasn't even old enough to vote on the change when it happened in 1983.

In other words, we all know what you stated. Nobody born after 1965 who needed SS benefits to make it work, was ever considering a retirement at age 65. We've all been planning for 67 -- or saving money fanatically to beat that.

You were lecturing a point nobody still planning their retirement has considered for a very long time.

I continued and pointed out that other than government service, pensions were long dead well before 1983. Nobody has been planning seriously for having one of those since sometime in the middle 80s, either.

So, if you'd pay attention you'd see I was agreeing with you. If anyone believes there's still folks out there young enough to be planning retirements who EVER thought they were retiring at 65... trust me, we aren't. And haven't. And never did.

That concept was dead on arrival in 1983.

Nobody except late 50's and older folks has ever had 65 or younger as their lifelong concept of "retirement age".

Your thought that in a discussion with a varied age group here about retirement was somehow tainted by thoughts of age 65 retirements and pensions, was just not accurate at all.

There are people here who are having grandkids now, who never had that concept or thought, ever. 67 has been the full retirement benefit age for 33 years.

Most folks (like Sac and myself and many others here) who are in prime earning years, are far more concerned about rates of return and stagnant wages due to globalization and inflation than have even a passing thought to pensions or retiring at 65 or younger.

So... if we're having a discussion about ALL of our retirements and not just folks already so close to retirement age they can taste it... you were preaching a worry about a concept none of us have ever had. We've always had self-directed retirement funding and little chance of SS being useful to us. Most of us have also given generously to your "moral dilemma" listed items, and taken care of the kids... long before retirement. Before we bought any "golf clubs" or "lived the good life".

Everyone actually bothering to plan for retirement who's under age 56 is a saver and still members of one of the most generous societies on the planet. Pensions? Age 65 retirements? Worrying if we did the right thing by others before retirement? Not issues for us. We didn't have the first two, and we've maintained our generosity as a society very well in a total population that's not replacing itself via birth rate.

Yes. We do understand it. The thought problems and moral dilemmas you brought up, were only experienced by those currently older than 56.


Again, you some how connected Social Security and Retirement to be interchangeable numbers. If you spent time reading other posts in this thread, you would see that nobody is really discussing Social Secuirty in any meaningful way. 90% of the posts are people talking about what sort of lump sum would throw enough income to fund whatever life they have.

You keep thinking that you somehow know what you are talking about, with forced labor camps until age 67, etc.

Again, people used to think of age 65 as some retirement age, and, then dying shortly thereafter. Now days, people retire at lots of different ages, many much younger than 65 (and certainly younger than your forced labor to 67), and then on the back end, people live longer than what we used to think.

That has caused a dilemma for people to try and wrap their heads around, and, as evidenced by others in this thread,there are multiple ways of attacking the issue. Keep ignoring the discussion if you want. It really is up to you.
 
Again, people used to think of age 65 as some retirement age, ...

That's what you're missing. I'm pointing out that nobody under age 56 has ever had that thought. You're asserting that everyone in the discussion here is over 56 if you're lecturing about that concept.

Pilots as a demographic do tend to be old, but there's plenty of us here discussing this number we would need to retire here who never once thought about pensions or retiring at the age you lectured about.

That was my only point. Easily half of the audience you were speaking down to here, as if they needed education on the topic, ever thought that way to begin with, or ever.

I believe maybe you had to think about the loss of pensions and age 65 retirement ages, but easily half of the audience here hasn't. Never did and never will. We've been saving all of our adult years and wondering who's remaining pensions some politicians will claim we are morally bound to bail out soon.

Real world example: Our Teacher's pension fund in CO has been predicted to be insolvent since I was a teen. Nobody did anything about it. I doubt I will vote to save it in ten to fifteen years.

My frame of reference will be remembering that the people who wanted my retirement benefit lowered and the age extended voted on that before I was old enough to vote. They cancelled the pensions and kept the change. (And bought those golf clubs you mentioned.)

Anyone under 56 watched them do it. Karma is a ***** and it's coming.

So... as it relates to the number needed to retire... if you're counting on a pension, add some to that number. The generation who never had them will be voting not to bail them out relatively soon. We didn't promise anyone anything.

It's just normal demographics and numbers on the back side of the graph of a population boom.

If you think my prediction is harsh, wait until Millenials are voting away my 401K tax benefits. Haha. It'll happen, at current birth rates.

Many of the societal benefits created by the wave of young Boomers, all crumble on the back side of the wave as they head toward twilight. It's just numbers. Nice while they lasted. I never saw them as my reality and younger folks certainly haven't. Dead and gone before we even started earning.

You also mistake my statements of fact as some sort of complaint, which it isn't. I can only assume that via your weird obsession with "death camp" talk. Who brought that up? Certainly not me.

I'm well over halfway to my own personal "number" and it's on track to be rather large by my retirement. Doing well enough even that I took over half a year as a part time employee to go flying. I'm doing great. Inflation by itself isn't a threat to it, stagnant wages is. But I can adjust easily to a lower lifestyle. No big plans for any "retirement dream home"s or anything like that. Already debt free in my 40s, and know how to stay that way.

It certainly wasn't by thinking about pensions or society's SS retirement age. Never gave either one a second's thought other as something only found in a museum or history book.
 
What worked for us: Live beneath your means. If you have 2 incomes, don't rely on 2 incomes. Save something every month, outside your 401(k)/IRA. Don't expect SS to save you.

When we were 54 we realized that retiring at 55 could work (barely). Every year working beyond that is a bonus in the bank and extra cushion and one less year we have to get medical coverage on our own.
 
Planning on spending 4% annually of your PROPERLY invested portfolio should work, as many have pointed out, so if you spend $100,000 per year, $2.5 million should do it. Properly invested is key, shouldn't be too aggressive nor should it be stuffed in your mattress. If it's in the bank making 1% then you will eventually get in trouble. Keep in mind when you calculate your burn rate inflation and taxes. Health care sucks, I spend about $1,250 a month on health insurance for a family plan, copays and deductibles keep rising to keep that number. Property taxes rise like clockwork.
 
I saw a lot of people who were forced to keep living in a house they really didn't want to stay in, as they were ready to retire and move to another area of the state/country. And, when their homes went upside down, they lost equity, etc... they were forced to remain in place, delaying living where they would be happier.

I am just now seeing those people buying and building the retirement homes they dreamed of back in 2008.
every one around here wants a high speed highway off the island, not me, that will place us within commute distance to Seattle, and increase our property values / taxes, but not my fixed income.
 
When figuring spending, I was kind of surprised. I shouldn't have been, bur I never really thought of it in "retirement" terms. When you stop working, your 401k contributions stop too. When that idea finally sunk in, I realized I didn't need as much income to maintain my same standard of living. I've been in "savings mode" for so long it took me a little while to look at things from a different perspective. You really need to look at what goes out and not what's left over after you subtract it from what comes in.
 
The 4% rule is outdated. It came about when people moved the majority if not all of their retirement money into bonds, CD's and out of stocks. The returns on those were greater than 4% back then.

Peoe also didn't live as long either.

Now with longer lives and bonds/CD's have low rates. Now people leave more of their investments in stocks early in their retirement. They need the growth if they are going to live 30 years.


Wayne

LinkedIn
Instagram: waynecease
 
When figuring spending, I was kind of surprised. I shouldn't have been, bur I never really thought of it in "retirement" terms. When you stop working, your 401k contributions stop too. When that idea finally sunk in, I realized I didn't need as much income to maintain my same standard of living. I've been in "savings mode" for so long it took me a little while to look at things from a different perspective. You really need to look at what goes out and not what's left over after you subtract it from what comes in.

I had similar realizations, less tax going to Unc Sammy too. I was maxing out 401K and 2 "catch up" IRAs so that as a pleasant surprise.
 
Now, do you have any moral obligation to anyone outside of yourself?

Perhaps, to those incapable of providing for themselves if you have charity in your heart, but not a legal obligation. Unfortunately the federal government has taken on the role of Robin Hood.
 
It doesn't matter if you have sympathy or not for those people. The point is those people exist, and, due to a recession, including deflating home values left many people "trapped" in homes longer than they wanted. And, it has taken them 8 years or so to get back to "healthy", whatever that means.

Not everyone can be "smarter than average", by definition.

People had to live somewhere, and, unfortunately, many people have their home as their single largest asset/investment. Doesn't matter if it was smart or not, it just is.
The smartest guy in the world can still have the worst timing. But that doesn't mean anyone else is obligated to bail him out and make him whole. Life owns nobody anything. Suck it up and move on.
 
The 4% rule is outdated. It came about when people moved the majority if not all of their retirement money into bonds, CD's and out of stocks. The returns on those were greater than 4% back then.

Peoe also didn't live as long either.

Now with longer lives and bonds/CD's have low rates. Now people leave more of their investments in stocks early in their retirement. They need the growth if they are going to live 30 years.


Wayne

LinkedIn
Instagram: waynecease

Yeah, 30 yr retirements mean you need to think very differently than a generation ago. Our expert guy said he recommends (I'm going from nemory) putting 5-6 years of expenses in bonds, then 5-6 years in a mix of stocks and bonds, then the rest in stocks. Rebalance as necessary.
 
Perhaps, to those incapable of providing for themselves if you have charity in your heart, but not a legal obligation. Unfortunately the federal government has taken on the role of Robin Hood.
Trying to differentiate between the deserving poor and the undeserving poor has always been a tough job. My take: To have a "society" you do need some way to provide some basics for those unable to provide for themselves. Otherwise you don't have a society as much as you have a gated community. But those basics probably should be just that, basics. I think a spirit of charitable giving runs deep in the US and goes a long way.
 
Trying to differentiate between the deserving poor and the undeserving poor has always been a tough job. My take: To have a "society" you do need some way to provide some basics for those unable to provide for themselves. Otherwise you don't have a society as much as you have a gated community. But those basics probably should be just that, basics. I think a spirit of charitable giving runs deep in the US and goes a long way.

When I used to go to So Africa, the people inside the gate had a life expectancy of 70~ years, the people outside the gate had a life expectancy of 42~ years.

I would hope we all could agree that there was a moral failing there.
 
The 4% rule is outdated. It came about when people moved the majority if not all of their retirement money into bonds, CD's and out of stocks. The returns on those were greater than 4% back then.

Peoe also didn't live as long either.

Now with longer lives and bonds/CD's have low rates. Now people leave more of their investments in stocks early in their retirement. They need the growth if they are going to live 30 years.


Wayne

LinkedIn
Instagram: waynecease

4% works fine if you stay in equities.

Long term, you earn more than 4%, your nest egg never goes down.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Back
Top