The numbers for confirmed and recovered I don't put a lot of emphasis on. There is going to be a lot of misreporting there as some never seek treatment, never get tested, or never follow up afterwards. Of that recovered category, there is also the question about long term after effects, as it is being shown that some suffer significant permanent lung damage.
The only firm number to me is the deaths. There is a little less grey to dead, only misreporting there is if they are either not tested and attributed to the disease, or misreported. That number and its movement, to me at least, carries much more significance. That is going to be the number to watch for some kind of level off in the future, but right now its growing fast.