AcroBoy
Line Up and Wait
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Jim N
The article did not say Colorado crew. It did say a crew member's family from NC was notified.
The article did not say Colorado crew. It did say a crew member's family from NC was notified.
This makes the point for more qualified crews and tankers louder than any other comment I could make. Sigh. You guys needed more birds and people.
Wish those in charge all the way up the chain from bottom to top would have realized that this was a brewing problem, about 10 years ago -- or if they did, they'd been a lot louder with complaints in the interim.
If you'd had them, MAFFS could have continued to be held in reserve. I worry that the "blood from the turnip" is folks trying to make the system profitable. Worries me.
Agree with the other poster's comment about the lack of forest management. Certainly another reason why tanker numbers should have been going up and not down... if you're going to leave beetle-kill standing, which is about all you can really do with beetle kill, you HAVE to be prepared to defend the housing.
Andthat is what has happened in the last few years, If you doubt me, ask Aerounion .
That is NOT what happened to Aero Union.
what did?
http://anewscafe.com/2011/08/14/aero-union-closes-2-weeks-after-canceled-forest-contract/
read the article here http://anewscafe.com/2011/07/31/for...loses-u-s-forest-service-contract/#discussion
then the comments it was a hatchet job by the forest service. over paper work of the pilot certificates.
then the comments it was a hatchet job by the forest service. over paper work of the pilot certificates.
It's very very rare to have government paying a private firefighting company in any other form of firefighting.
I fear that one of the reasons this current heavy tanker setup isn't working, is that when it comes to Federal government, they put this out at lowest bid. And the private sector bids lower than it requires to add to the fleet. To make a profit.
If it really does take ten years to train a tanker pilot, I hope the companies started hiring and bidding appropriately to hire the Class of 2022 this year? No?
That would be a minimum of 2 tankers per State, for a total of 12 that need to be airworthy, crewed, and operational during fire season to be barely capable of supporting a single Type 1 team per State.
I rather see the best tanker pilots in the world teaching the next genration, now. And the powers that be, building a tanker force of new enough aircraft that they're not folding in half underneath the kids. You act like when you're done there need not be any planning to prepare for what comes after you retire.
What are you going to train the next generation to fly, Doug? The same old WWII and Cold War crates you guys have stressed and beat up for 50 years?
Hire guys like Doug into mentoring roles, to teach and fly, buy 12 *brand new* aircraft that aren't 50 years old at a bare minimum, and commit to figuring out how many should be operational and build up to that level and *maintain* it, by law. Elect Board of Directors to oversee expenditures and set goals.
That pretty much jives with what I have heard about Aero Union's demise.Again, that's not what happened. Aero Union was purchased by a British company that parceled it out, outsourced all the maintenance, and ran it into the ground. The P-3's were grounded because of several issues, all stemming from Aero Union's refusal to do the maintenance and to provide the required inspections. That, coupled with the loss of key personnel in the training crash of a P3 several years ago, ultimately lead the company to close the doors. The government ultimately cancelled the contracts because Aero Union wouldn't comply with the contract requirements and demonstrate that the inspections were performed, and that the aircraft were in compliance.
Aero Union had been operating over ZFW for years, and I've personally been present when the landing gear collapsed while the aircraft were sitting in the pit. Add to that cracked wings and other issues, and the end was coming sooner than later. Aero Union's ability to remain open as long as they did was as much shiny paint as anything, but after the British company took it over, it was all downhill after that. The articles you read may make it sound like they got the pointy end of the stick, but they put themselves in that position and the end was inevitable.
COLORADO SPRINGS, Colo. (CBS4) – Some evacuees from the Waldo Canyon Fire are returning home to find they were burglarized.
One couple’s car was stolen right out of their garage. Thieves also took jewelry and computers.
“It’s almost as bad as a house burned down because you feel violated. There are people out there who prey upon victims and people that are already suffering, so I feel like I’ve been hit by a train,” said Waldo Canyon Fire evacuee Linda Burton.
So far 22 homes have been reported as being burglarized while evacuees were waiting out the fire.
Unfortunately, that's very common during big fires, and any large disaster.
Prior to 09/11, guess which agency had the largest law enforcement force in the United States? FBI? No. A military branch? No. DEA? No.
The United States Forest Service.
Probably depends on how you define ' law enforcement force '. I wrote quite a few ticket for petty offenses in my career but it didn't make me a LEO with arrest and firearm authority. This report from 2000 shows the FS at the bottom. See page two.
http://bjs.ojp.usdoj.gov/content/pub/pdf/fleo00.pdf
I guess it also depends on how you define "agency". If you include more than Federal, the New York City Police Force numbers about 34,500 uniformed LEOs.
-Skip
Again, that's not what happened. Aero Union was purchased by a British company that parceled it out, outsourced all the maintenance, and ran it into the ground. The P-3's were grounded because of several issues, all stemming from Aero Union's refusal to do the maintenance and to provide the required inspections. That, coupled with the loss of key personnel in the training crash of a P3 several years ago, ultimately lead the company to close the doors. The government ultimately cancelled the contracts because Aero Union wouldn't comply with the contract requirements and demonstrate that the inspections were performed, and that the aircraft were in compliance.
Aero Union had been operating over ZFW for years, and I've personally been present when the landing gear collapsed while the aircraft were sitting in the pit. Add to that cracked wings and other issues, and the end was coming sooner than later. Aero Union's ability to remain open as long as they did was as much shiny paint as anything, but after the British company took it over, it was all downhill after that. The articles you read may make it sound like they got the pointy end of the stick, but they put themselves in that position and the end was inevitable.
No, it's not. Tankers get contracted by vendors. Fire crews often get contracted by vendors. Meals and fire catering is by vendors. Water tenders are contracted by vendors. Dozers are contracted by vendors. Helicopters are contracted by vendors. The list goes on and on. The government doesn't own these things; the government contracts them out as needed. The government contracts everything from maintenance and meals on military bases to much of the work on disasters, to fires, to wars. The government contracts most of what it does. In this case, involving fire, it's required to do that. The military can't be brought in unless there are no other private contractors who can get the business first.
Even the lead planes and ASM modules (BLM leads) are leased aircraft from Dynamic Aviation. Those are government aircraft flown by government pilots, but are owned by private firms. The government has never been very good at keeping and maintaining it's own pilots and aircraft.
No, it is not to the lowest bidder. It's put out on a value-based bid. Lowest bid hasn't been the case for a long, long time. We used to put a C-130 on the line for under three thousand an hour; quite a bargain. Today a tanker is on the line for nine to eighteen thousand an hour. It used to be that pay in the shop when working on a contract airplane was about six dollars an hour. When the policies changed regarding support for government aircraft, pay bumped up initially to about twenty bucks an hour for the maintenance. That was then. Today, pay is better, the fleet has been reduced with a few core aircraft that are better supported and funded, and better utilized, and we don't have to hop the fence at night any more to work on our own aircraft when the government couldn't see us.
The private sector does not bid lower than it requires to add to the fleet.
You keep saying that the heavy tanker setup isn't working. Why do you say that? It works fine.
There's no school, and no class. It's all on the job training, and yes, it takes about ten years for someone to get an upgrade on the average, or longer. The companies aren't going to start hiring; there's no movement. Most experienced tanker pilots don't get out after a few years; there's no room to come in. Most of this keep doing this until we're no longer able, or we die. Many of us do other jobs as well, or do other things, and come back to this each year, or like me, keep coming back (no matter how hard we try to go do something else).
The nation couldn't afford to maintain a "Type 1 team per state." There's no such thing. Federal resources move around the country as required. If eleven airplanes are sitting in Region 5 in California and a fire breaks in Colorado, a resource request is processed to the National Interagency Flight Center in Boise, and tankers are dispatched to Colorado. Tankers go where the fire is. They don't sit in each state waiting for a fire; it doesn't work that way.
You cling to the idea that tankers are there to put out the fire. We're not. You see big, emotional media stories like Waldo Canyon (et al), and seem to think that extra tankers would have made a difference. They wouldn't. In an extreme wind-driven fire, the fire can't be put out, and it's extremely unsafe to fly in 65 knot winds. In fact, the BLM issued an edict about eight years ago that put a cap of 30 knots of windspeed over the fire for flight operations, primarily for SEAT operations (Type III tankers). The turbulence in there can be severe to extreme (the definition of which, aside from being violent, is that the aircraft is not under your control).
You've been watching "Always," with Richard Dreyfuss, haven't you?
You know that movie wasn't realistic, right?
Presently the largest number of tankers in the country are Type III Air Tractor AT802's, at 800 gallons. The P2V's are operating at reduced loads since 2003; they were 2450 gallon tankers, now 2000 gallon tankers. The BAE-146 is coming on line at 2000 gallons. The DC10 is online, albeit extremely expensive, at 28000 gallons (but has very limited applications), and Evergreen lost it's teeth with nearly 30 million invested in the B747, that nobody contracted or used.
The Bierev 200 is available at two hundred million dollars; you won't be seeing very many of those online. The CL215, no longer new by any stretch of the imagination, is available, but slow, doesn't carry a lot, and needs a lake to pick up if it's going to be productively effective. And it's expensive. Who's going to donate fifteen million a copy to pick them up?
The Canadians, you'll note, are flying WWII "crates" and cold-war era aircraft, too.
None of us in the industry want to see that happen. The government can't handle it. It wouldn't work. Talks have been held on numerous occasions about nationalizing the industry, with the government buying the aircraft and contractors providing the crews, or even the government doing both. It doesn't work. It's been well established.
What "brand new" aircraft do you propose?
Interesting. May be that it was by percentage of personnel or as a percentage in the agency. I always thought it strange that the USFS had the law enforcement presence that it did.
The budget to maintain that, and many of the other law enforcement activities, came from fire. Fire was the catch net that brought in the budget to do most everything else. Insufficient budget was always the case until federal fires got so large that severity funding was allocated. The only concern after that was to make sure it all got spent by the end of the fiscal year, to preclude budget cuts the following year.
In any government unit, funding surplus at the end of the year is considered bad.
I didn't say how or why Aero Union went under and frankly I don't care about individual contractors in this discussion. Sounds like they dug their own grave from your version of the story, which is fine by me. Contractors come and contractors go.
You assume a lot. Where did I say WILDLAND Fire.
In the BIG PICTURE of firefighting overall, we maintain firefighting forces. Let's call them, wait for it... Fire Departments.
They're government entities, top to bottom with elected Citizens on the Board of Directors.
Again, my point was that it's bid at ALL to the private sector. This type of work is not supposed to be a profit center at all.
Pay for and find a permanent firefighting force equipped with excellent gear and keep them at high readiness. That's the goal.
Proof is in the pudding on that one, Doug. We had 44 tankers, we now have less than ten and borrow from Canada and crank up MAFFS.
You still haven't answered my question -- Would the Type I management teams have ordered more resources if they were available?
Later, you admit the industry isn't growing. No new pilots. No plan for the future.
Is the overall prediction that wildland fire will naturally be decreasing or increasing over the next decade? How does this match with current staffing and number of aircraft in the pipeline to replace the aging ones?
I'm sorry, but if you have to call in the Reservists, it's not working.
You can't complain that the MAFFS guys and gals aren't trained well enough and will get killed (and now, have...) and in the same breath say the private fleet was ready for this year.
There's no movement because the force overall isn't growing. If the demand is going up and the force remains the same size, is that going to lead to success or failure?
I asked how many aircraft are needed to cover fires in six States simultaneously. Which just happens to be where we are right now. In reality.
How many are needed for multiple fires in six or more States, simultaneously?
Again, I have never said any such thing, Doug. I know full well the fire can't be extinguished by an aircraft. It's behavior can only be modified, and that with a good bit of luck on the wind and weather. Maybe Waldo Canyon (or any other fire) was inevitable, but this country has fielded thousands and thousands of aircraft in the past to fight worse foes than fires. We have just lost our public willpower to crank up a real honest to God, permanent wildfire fighting force under the Air Ops Branch Directorate side of ICS. I fully understand air assets can't stop big fires.
... but we as a Country have failed to provide them. The system is broken.
I also understand the various types. We're talking about heavies right now. Stick to the topic. Type I tankers. How many?
You're so "close" to it and convinced the current system is the only possible methodology of paying for and maintaining a fleet, you're completely missing my point and questions about overall resources.
Put yourself in the Incident Command Post and forget about the airplanes for a while. I keep asking this and you don't answer...
If you were the IC or AOBD and knew you were watching the largest fire in Colorado Springs history on Day 1... Ground zero. It's 1000 acres and will be 4000 by nightfall...
Everything in your training says this one is going to take off and run on you and you have only 48 hours where it will even be at a size where there's a 25% chance of slowing it down...
And you know the ridgeline where you can't put any guys with Pulaskis because when the wind comes up... Not IF but WHEN... they're going to be BBQ'd alive... is your ONLY possible way of stopping this fire from crossing that ridgeline. It is your absolute best line of natural defense between the fire line and Colorado Springs city streets...
How many aircraft would you order? No strings attached, no budget.
How many would it take to HOLD that ridgeline? Not put the fire out, not any Hollywood BS...
How hard and how often would you need to hit it to slow or stop it at the ridge. It can go everywhere else, but not over that ridge.
How many?
That's the question I want answered. And a plan in place to make sure the next IC or AOBD has that resource level.
Now we apparently want talking urinal cakes? When did that happen?
Let's say we just stop maintaining Hoover Dam or name any other large one... How long until it bursts and kills many people below, and cuts off irrigation and drinking water it provided?
We, as a country, are not maintaining the aerial firefighting force. In fact, your own admission about hopping fences to not be seen to get the job done, effectively argues that it has never been adequately maintained.
Where are the documents that show why? "Well established" comes from open discussion with outsiders, you know. Talks with whom, and where, and where are the transcripts? And what was the proper solution given that wasn't executed?
Those are broad statements but without objective reasons, it doesn't stand to reason that government can run a police force, a regular fire department, public works, even garbage collection in some municipalities, and then say they can't operate a tanker force.
They seem to fly fleets of military bombers just fine with sad but acceptable human life loss levels for those jobs.
And why can't guys like you be paid to show them how?
The one we haven't built yet because we're shortsighted and cheap. The WWII aircraft can't hold the line forever.
We need a significant investment in a new tanker design. One built to your needs.
Those are my points, and almost none of what you've responded with has been anything I didn't already know. I'm still stuck n the one question: How many heavy tankers does a fire season like this one require? It's impossible to engineer a solution without knowing the true needs of the system.
Let's keep this thread out of the SZ. It has been inching closer all along.
I guess the largest department in the Metro Denver area and multiple others that do operate that way today, as large District-based organizations, pooling resources and personnel, aren't doing it... and it's not happening at their Headquarters a mile from my home. A place I visit regularly for other purposes.
A personal friend who's an elected Board member overseeing the organization isn't doing what he's doing either, I guess.
My City Councilwoman that lives down the block must also be telling lies about the district too.
Doug sees this fire season as income and from 1000AGL....
Nate sees this at ground level, first hand....
When I asked about resources and possible ways to slow a specific fire at a specific ridge here two days before the isolated thunderstorms that blew 65 and shoved it over the ridge into a city, you focused on the fact that I said a Type I team was there and would have been the crew that asked for the resources, and didn't answer the question posed.
I'm sure you were there and saw it, in person, but if no one has bothered to put it in writing, why should the public who pays the bills believe any of it? No offense intended, but you must admit, it comes across as someone who wants to protect the business interests of the private firm holding a lucrative contract more than anything.
I see glimpses of things that might hint at a motivation to obfuscate and confuse anyone reading along, but no answers to direct questions posed.
Nate has a good angle as he questioned the fact that "ALL AVAILABLE" firefighting resources where not mobilized to slow down the Colorado inferno.... You are paid by the day so in reality you guys don't want to quench the fire early on, as that would cut into your paycheck..
If the brains of the operation had brought out the DC-10's and the Evergreen 747 to slow down the fire before it hit ridgeline then maybe 350+ families would have a home left... You just sit there and claim you are flying your a$$ off , but yet seem to have PLENTY of time to post about your long days flying missions and doing the best you can do... Your last post is at 2:04 PM... You should out there flying water drops... not playing on the computer.... .. I call BS.....
I fly lower then you daily so low lever stuff in not an issue for me... You make it out to be some kind of gods gift to a chosen few " perfect " pilots..
I believe that's the third time you've brought up that (stupid) movie, and I already answered that one. Saying I've watched it too much three times in one thread, doesn't make it true. Sorry.
Thank you for your thoughts Mr Masterbader........
Delete.... too crude a joke for the masses...
It was Powers and Associates that lost the C-130 when the wings came off due to an illegal repair. not Aero union.
I know the lead pilot that quit a few weeks before that accident, and I belived him when he said there was no maintenance, no training , or experience at Powers and Associates, and that is why he quit.
I find hard to believe that the folks here have their ear as close to the industry as they try to make us believe.
Two weeks after the C-130, my old Forest lost a PBY4 northwest of Boulder. The fire crew that put out the ensuing fire was offered counseling after. Plane was from Hawkins and Powers, Greybull, WY.
I agree.