It's interesting that when the media talks about "planes" and "parachutes" (sorry for the quotes, I know how much you love them
), they always focus on Cirrus/CAPS. I know that's where most of the US data is found, but as I said above, there are other airplanes that have come stock with non-BRS chute systems for years. And yes, the type of aircraft makes a big difference. Agreed.
Agreed, the tough part of a fair apples:apples analysis really comes down to human nature
-If the legacy fleet now started offering BRS I bet most people would skip the option.. the useful load of a Mooney, Bo, etc., are already thin, so most people will not voluntarily take another 70lb hit to that and add $15K each decennial to them. Additionally, everyone is the best pilot they know and these planes have been flying for many many decades.. so why would you add the option?
.. so that data point would be flawed because people have other reasons for not buying them
-then you take something like Cirrus, which is absolutely a market disruptor and people and have their own prejudice against them.. so that's another dubious data point. When really, if CIrrus was not just a marketing gimmick you wouldn't see them going strong (still, relatively) almost two decades later, and the values would have fallen even faster on the used birds. I still don't know what makes them "fake pilots" - it's the same, or in some cases dramatically inferior, avionics that you can get on just about any other airplane, and it has a sidestick.. but do so many others. Do some owners give it a bad name.. sure.. but you'll find that in every industry. For every guy doing peel outs in his Mustang there is someone else waxing it in his garage and driving it responsibly.. or at least saving the peel outs for the strip
So you must look at it strictly empirically,
@Silvaire said it very well. You'd have to somehow prove that having a parachute increased your likelihood of dying while flying... and the only evidence we have suggests (strongly) that it reduces your chances of dying while flying. The ship may still sink, and you may still get hypothermic, but would you rather be in a lifeboat or floating in the water? The choice is obvious to me
Other reasons flying got safer, honestly our avionics and avionics options are much better, just about every rental will have at least a 430, and with everyone sporting Foreflight, or some equivalent, many with their own Stratus (or similar) receivers you are simply less likely to:
-fly into bad weather
-plan poorly
-get lost
-etc.
..so saying that flying as a whole is safer and has nothing to do with chutes is like correlating veganism with global warming.. or shark attacks with iPhone use..
Thanks.. and thank you for using quotes "correctly" ... it would have been a total "tragedy" if you employed them judiciously, but incorrectly