Has nothing to do with the wind, it's Center of Gravity/center of balance relationship and the inability to recover an out of range condition with the rocket once a leg touches because the first leg that touches will also be in the direction the base needs to swing. What needs to happen is the as soon as the leg touches, the deck needs to start traveling in that direction to bring the center of balance back under the center of gravity in a range within the footprint.
I respectfully disagree......
Look at the whitecaps...
Watch the smoke from the exhaust plume....
I am guessing 18 gusts to 24 mph.....
If you don't think that velocity can blow over a 70 foot tall round object that is 7 feet in diameter then I would be shocked.......