WSJ
By ANDY PASZTOR
Feb. 19, 2014 8:20 p.m. ET
Federal investigators are expected Thursday to point to pilot error, coupled with outdated onboard technology, in the crash of a United Parcel Service Inc. cargo jet last August in Alabama, according to people familiar with the details.
The National Transportation Safety Board hearing is expected to highlight a major factor that until now hasn't received any public attention, according to people briefed on the specifics.
UPS, the country's largest cargo carrier, didn't upgrade the aging plane's terrain-avoidance system as recommended by officials at supplier Honeywell International Inc.
Experts agree that by linking new software with satellite-based positioning technology, the upgrade would have provided the pilots significantly earlier and more specific warnings to pull the plane up.
UPS said the equipment update was optional, the current warning system on its aircraft "is [Federal Aviation Administration] compliant," and "there is no way to know" if the change would have averted the crash.
The NTSB previously disclosed that the Airbus A300's pilots, both of whom died when the plane went down in Birmingham, flew an unfamiliar descent to a backup runway that had only limited navigation aids and a sizable hill less than a mile in front.
The pilots violated basic safety procedures, according to people briefed on the investigation, by dropping below the minimum safe altitude, even though they didn't see the cloud-obscured runway, and then failing to react immediately to a last-second cockpit alert.
Spokesmen for Honeywell, the NTSB and the UPS pilots union all declined to comment.
As the crew continued its predawn approach without the benefit of precise vertical guidance from the ground, data gathered by the safety board indicate that the co-pilot reported seeing the runway lights three seconds after an automated warning that the plane was losing altitude dangerously fast.
Within a few more seconds, the wide-body aircraft hit a power line, slammed into some trees and burst into a fireball about three-quarters of a mile from the airport.
The NTSB won't formally decide on a probable case of the crash until later.
As configured on the plane, the ground-proximity warning system was designed to shut off about a mile from the runway, to avoid nuisance warnings during the final approach. Had it been upgraded, it would have continued to provide warnings of an impending collision until roughly a quarter mile before touchdown.
The crew could have had half a minute or more to react and climb safely away, rather than just a few seconds, according to people familiar with the details. One of these people said Honeywell offered to provide its share of the system upgrade free of charge.
On Wednesday, UPS said in a statement that "certification and implementation of the software" requires some investment, but the company is reassessing its position in the wake of the crash.
The safety board also is poised to examine whether fatigue degraded the performance of the pilots, who earlier that day talked about feeling tired. An early portion of the cockpit voice recorder captured the two aviators chatting about tiring schedules, according to people familiar with the details.
Roughly two hours before the flight took off from Louisville, Ky., Cerea Beal, the 58-year-old captain, complained to a fellow UPS pilot that "these schedules over the past several years are killing me," according to a person who has read a summary of NTSB interviews.
In addition, the board is delving into UPS training standards and pilot proficiency with the kind of non-precision approach used in Birmingham. Capt. Beal, a former military helicopter pilot, took longer than normal to be promoted to a UPS captain and withdrew from an earlier bid for promotion because of poor performance, according to people familiar with the probe.
At the hearing, a number of witnesses may be asked about what some industry and other experts have described as Capt. Beal's spotty training record and, at times, his difficulty mastering aircraft handling and manual flying skills.
In the past, UPS has emphasized that there is "no record of him failing" a test for promotion. UPS also reiterated that the crew's schedule complied with recently tightened FAA rules applicable to passenger carriers.
Pilots have asked the NTSB to delve more deeply into fatigue issues, according to people familiar with the specifics.
In Wednesday's statement, UPS said Capt. Beal "was an experienced and fully qualified pilot," adding that any training issues would have been "appropriately addressed at that time."
The company also said it encourages "the use of automation to reduce [pilot] workload," a principle the Birmingham crew relied on before the accident. But to enhance safety, UPS said it has "increased the non-precision approach landing scenarios" in recurrent simulator training sessions.
In light of advances in training and safety equipment, the crash of UPS Flight 1354 is a type of accident that once had been considered nearly impossible in the U.S: flying a perfectly functioning commercial aircraft into a hill or mountain. A similar FedEx Corp. freighter crash short of a Tallahassee, Fla., runway in 2002, however, alerted safety experts at Honeywell and elsewhere to the importance of upgrading older ground-proximity warning systems.
In Wednesday's statement, UPS said Capt. Beal "was an experienced and fully qualified pilot," adding that any training issues would have been "appropriately addressed at that time.
Lack of advance warning to the crew appears to be "a significant contributing factor" in the crash and is bound to be raised by NTSB, said industry consultant John Cox, a former airline pilot and accident investigator.
In announcing plans for the investigative hearing, the safety board disclosed that "despite not having reported the airport in sight," the pilots "continued the descent below the decision altitude" at which they should have opted to climb away from the strip.
More broadly, the public notice said the session also would cover issues including pilot proficiency, adherence to standard operating procedures, fatigue, fitness for duty, cockpit communication, flight path monitoring and UPS training.