Overwater solo? I'd probably still do it in a single. With the family on board? Hell no. Twin or nothing.
For that mission set, I see the value of a twin. For everything else over land? Not at $6/gal and engines at 30K+ a pop, I don't.
So.... what about the stories I have heard about the tendancy of twins to flip over on take off if you loose an engine? Do we have any concerns about that?
It is not a tendency, it is what it does when handled incorrectly.
A simplified situation is, if you're afraid of stalling and spinning on a base-to-final turn. When you operate the airplane correctly, it will not happen.
That is why we train.So.... what about the stories I have heard about the tendancy of twins to flip over on take off if you loose an engine? Do we have any concerns about that?
Before Charles Lindbergh crossing of the Atlantic on a single two attempts were made on twins by other pilots, they were never found. Amelia Earthart crossed the Atlantic on a single but was lost on a twin.
On typical piston twin you have 12 cylinders. On a typical single you have four cylinders. Assuming a cylinder failure at 2000hrs for a 4 cylinder that will put the twin at a cylinder failure at every 700hrs.
Airlines prefer twins vs four engines or three engines because of the economy and dispatchability. FEDEX opted for the Caravan single vs a twin for the same reasons.
On take off at max power the probability of an engine failure is twice on a twin than on a single.
On a crash the single engine the engine provides a shield that is not on the twins.
To me there is no added advantage on piston twins but more maintenance and fuel costs.
There are singles like the Mooney Acclaim or the SR-22 that fly faster and cheaper than most piston twins.
José
The article said: "History shows piston twins are no safer than afflicted singles. In fact, engine failures that result in accidents are more likely to be fatal in twins."
Having just finished the multi engine rating, it is hard for me to imagine someone losing an engine, slowing all the way to Vmc, continuing to pull, and rolling.
If the same reaction were common in a single, we'd see a lot of stalls after an engine failure, but we don't see that. I wonder why?
If the same reaction were common in a single, we'd see a lot of stalls after an engine failure, but we don't see that. I wonder why?
Having just finished the multi engine rating, it is hard for me to imagine someone losing an engine, slowing all the way to Vmc, continuing to pull, and rolling.
A real life Vmc event is nothing like the watered down version we train during the ME rating.
I'm a newbie, but the overall added expenses of owning a twin doesn't seem worth it to me. If it was a significant difference then I believe I would see different. Don't get me wrong, twins are beautiful but with that added expense I could fly more in a single to me it's all about getting in the air.
The article said: "History shows piston twins are no safer than afflicted singles. In fact, engine failures that result in accidents are more likely to be fatal in twins."
In the case of the pilot who shut down the good engine, on a go round, killing himself and family, it was a piper Cheyenne turbo prop. The CFI who trained him said he had about 500 hours in type and never missed a beat in a BFI or when he flew with him. He was a successful business owner, etc. but in a tense situation he made a fatal mistake. It's why military pilots are screened so carefully and so many wash out, still even then, a few make it thru. (The CFI said the Cheyenne 111 would easily do a go round on one engine. )That is why we train.
Unless you are flying something unique like the B-25 (VMC is ridiculously high) you should never be in a position (ie slow enough) for the airplane to VMC roll if one quits. Doesn't mean that people don't sometimes do it, but pilots also still run airplanes out of gas on a regular basis.
That is a good reason, especially if you get the same fuel burn. So if you were to get something like a Cirrus with the CAPS system wouldn't it be somewhat similar?
I don't really want to be drifting down at night under a parachute knowing that I am likely going to impact some steep slope in the Sierras, or the like.
Engine failure at FL210 in a 421C, crashed really close to the airport. Killed 7.
http://www.ntsb.gov/aviationquery/brief.aspx?ev_id=20110710X31135&key=1
In the case of the pilot who shut down the good engine, on a go round, killing himself and family, it was a piper Cheyenne turbo prop. The CFI who trained him said he had about 500 hours in type and never missed a beat in a BFI or when he flew with him. He was a successful business owner, etc. but in a tense situation he made a fatal mistake. It's why military pilots are screened so carefully and so many wash out, still even then, a few make it thru. (The CFI said the Cheyenne 111 would easily do a go round on one engine. )
It is a psychological concern. If your single has been flying just fine for 1,000 (well-maintained) hours, and you get nervous because you're crossing Long Island Sound or part of Lake Michigan, it is illogical. The odds are essentially the same. Thus, you should have been nervous for the past 1,000 hours, or you shouldn't be nervous now. But, we're not all capable of Spock's commendable control of emotion.
Yeah, but that was an example of exactly how to NOT handle an engine failure.
you have no concept of risk management. It's odds multiplied by consequences. If the consequence is death then the odds must be much longer to be acceptable.It is a psychological concern. If your single has been flying just fine for 1,000 (well-maintained) hours, and you get nervous because you're crossing Long Island Sound or part of Lake Michigan, it is illogical. The odds are essentially the same. Thus, you should have been nervous for the past 1,000 hours, or you shouldn't be nervous now. But, we're not all capable of Spock's commendable control of emotion.
So very true. If a newly minted ME pilot thinks they understand VMC, they should watch some of the videos on YouTube of real life VMC rolls.
Oh come on, you don't need to patronize me. I believe you missed my point. We all know the engine doesn't know it's over water. I'm not nervous about losing an engine as a generality, otherwise I'd never fly. BTW, when I made the example I was referring to the Caribbean Sea and adjacent Atlantic Ocean, not piddly Long Island Sound.
At any rate, my point rather pertained to the the post-egress actions and responsibilities of a ditching with family versus crash landing. Having formal training in water and land survival, I am much more comfortable rolling the dice and being responsible for a post-crash rescue recovery in the semi-urban Central United States than managing a water survival situation hundreds of miles from the nearest US Coast Guard helo. That's not irrational fear, that's a calculated opportunity cost between two otherwise equal engine failures.
Over the land where I usually fly, help is one shout away or a cell phone call; hell I might just crash on top of help. Offshore over Milwaukee Deep or halfway between Curaçao and Hispaniola? Fat chance Jack. I don't want to be in that situation with my loved ones, not for an hour, let alone overnight. I rather crash on trees all day.
For that reason, I find the twin a dedicated superior choice for the overwater mission, whereas I'm not willing to say that for overland.
you have no concept of risk management. It's odds multiplied by consequences. If the consequence is death then the odds must be much longer to be acceptable.
Look at a construction site as an example. A worker might put down a board to walk over on a muddy area. The board is easy to walk on, the odds of falling off the board are small. If s/he does fall off then the severity is low (gets muddy but is uninjured).
Now but the same board bridging 2 platforms 100ft in the air. The board is just as easy to walk over. The risk of falling off is equally low. But the severity of falling off is high. Same board, same worker, but in this case a safety harness is required before walking across the board.
The chances of your single engine failing over lake michigan are indeed the same as that same amount of time over iowa. How does the severity compare ?
when we lived in IL i didn't fly across lake michigan in my twin. Severity of a failure is high and avoidance of the risk is easy (go around)
He did fine up until it really counted, real shame.
For every example of a twin pilot who screwed up I can find an accident report of a single engine pilot mistake.
No one is immune from making mistakes. All we can ultimately do is hedge our bets and mitigate risk. I have no delusions that when the crap hits the fan I won't make a mistake, but I do my best to be prepared and hopefully prevent fatal errors.
For every example of a twin pilot who screwed up I can find an accident report of a single engine pilot mistake.
No one is immune from making mistakes. All we can ultimately do is hedge our bets and mitigate risk. I have no delusions that when the crap hits the fan I won't make a mistake, but I do my best to be prepared and hopefully prevent fatal errors.
Oh come on, you don't need to patronize me. I believe you missed my point. We all know the engine doesn't know it's over water. I'm not nervous about losing an engine as a generality, otherwise I'd never fly. BTW, when I made the example I was referring to the Caribbean Sea and adjacent Atlantic Ocean, not piddly Long Island Sound.
At any rate, my point rather pertained to the the post-egress actions and responsibilities of a ditching with family versus crash landing. Having formal training in water and land survival, I am much more comfortable rolling the dice and being responsible for a post-crash rescue recovery in the semi-urban Central United States than managing a water survival situation hundreds of miles from the nearest US Coast Guard helo. That's not irrational fear, that's a calculated opportunity cost between two otherwise equal engine failures.
Over the land where I usually fly, help is one shout away or a cell phone call; hell I might just crash on top of help. Offshore over Milwaukee Deep or halfway between Curaçao and Hispaniola? Fat chance Jack. I don't want to be in that situation with my loved ones, not for an hour, let alone overnight. I rather crash on trees all day.
For that reason, I find the twin a dedicated superior choice for the overwater mission, whereas I'm not willing to say that for overland.
I would think there are many more singles flying than twins, especially currently.
So very true. If a newly minted ME pilot thinks they understand VMC, they should watch some of the videos on YouTube of real life VMC rolls.
My Columbia is perfect for a 3 member family. Fast, efficient and capable. But what if we want to take friends, or we lose a cylinder 500' over Miami Beach, or we want to fly to Cozumel? So I started looking at twins.
Darn you Ted...darn you!
For personal use, I would say you're right. But many of the twins flying out there are used for business purposes and thus fly more regularly than their single engine counterparts. That's also part of why you see them flying in worse weather frequently - "Gotta go, boss is here."
Caravan is a turbine, hardly comparable.
Engine failure in a single on takeoff means 100% probability for a forced landing. On a twin, not so. Not a valid argument.
Single engine provides a shield? No it doesn't. It just means your firewall is pushed against your face with more force.
hardly. fedex contractors opted for caravans in place of DC3's. I lived through that changeover. Dispatch reliability went through the roof. But that was not really a single vs twin issue.Still FEDEX opted for a single instead of a King Air.
I would rather takeoff on plane that has half the possibilty of an engine failure.
A wood spear will easily penetrate the radome and structure behind on a twin reaching the pilot chest. Try that with an engine in front.
José
quite the opposite. If you view this as psychology then you have completely missed the conceptI fail to find where my statement and yours diverge.
We are essentially saying the same thing. The airplane will react how it reacts exactly the same (given, of course, the same atmospheric conditions)--the only difference is the psychology of the pilot.
hardly. fedex contractors opted for caravans in place of DC3's. I lived through that changeover. Dispatch reliability went through the roof. But that was not really a single vs twin issue.