ebacon
Line Up and Wait
- Joined
- Oct 28, 2009
- Messages
- 502
- Location
- Rochester Hills, MI
- Display Name
Display name:
Bounces Three Times
Coal, oil, and natural gas are just called fossil fuels. In actuality they are sublytwingd snarkofats.
![]()
I'd say "is larger than". To say "swamps out" implies that the contribution of CO2 is insignificant, which isn't really accurate.
-harry
And this is a topic as interesting as the science.... For the most part, Liberals and Democrats believe in man made global warming and Conservatives and Republicans do not...
Okay, having been through these discussions a few times, I know that what always follows is a list of truthful statements that mean nothing. These are the kinds of things a lawyer says in his closing arguments to help sway the jury, but which, in terms of rational logic, actually prove nothing.... The climate is constantly changing...
... there has been no statistically significant warming of the earth since 1995 and since 1998 the earth has been on a very slight cooling trend...
There are numerous positive and negative feedbacks. This is the "hard part" of this problem, actually, determining the response of such a complex system.Positive feedback has never been proven, it is an article of faith by the AGW proponents.
How did you determine this?However, none of the models correctly predict the current climate nor do they match historical records.
And this is the specious argument that effectively proves that it is impossible to predict the behavior of anything that you do not have control over. Per this logic, we cannot predict the future position of the moon, because that event occurs in the future, therefore we cannot verify it.One formulation of the scientific method involves the following steps: Observation/Research...
The consensus is that the scientific argument is valid, it is not the scientific argument itself.Consensus arguments are not scientific arguments...
Certainly. And in this case there is consensus that no such disproving fact exists.A single fact that disproves a scientific Hypothesis trumps a million scientists that support a given theory...
This is the "people have been wrong in the past, therefore they are wrong about this" argument. This is, like the other arguments, perfectly true yet specious when applied as an argument.... and so many other consensus opinions that have been proven false.
Consensus arguments are not scientific arguments, they are strictly appeals to authority. A single fact that disproves a scientific Hypothesis trumps a million scientists that support a given theory, otherwise the earth is still flat, the Sun revolves around the earth, and so many other consensus opinions that have been proven false
...
What's interesting about global warming is that libs and conservatives are a little confused about what the hell they're doing. Liberals, cluelessly true to form, try to sell this as a mother earth, gaia, polar bear and poor people (changing weather patterns, famine) issue. Conservatives, cluelessly true to form, take up the con side of that argument through reality alteration ("is not!!!!")
....
Ah, yes. I take it from your snotty, condescending remark that you were expecting something meatier, especially here in this peer-reviewed POA thread.
Were you expecting him to publish a thesis for you?
Okay, a bit off of topic here. In my opinion, part of the problem with scientists trying to explain anything to the average person is that they are too intelligent to communicate effectively. I recall reading that something like 15 point IQ seperation can cause serious communication problems.
Carry on....![]()
... I take a more mature view: follow the money...
Publishers sell bibles. Therefore, there is no God. QED.I see Al Gore has YACCB about to be released. (Yet Another Crazy Climate Book).... Money money money.
Bought and paid-for "science" has become the norm in Make-a-Buck U.S.A.
I roll my eyes everytime some "respected" scientist or "major university" -- or, God help us, CNN -- parrots the man-made-global-warming party line.
Just look at all the shills ("scientists") throughout history who've taken the cash and put their seal-of-approval on such quackery as fluoridated drinking water,
vitamins as "expensive urine",
depleted uranium safety,
a particular brand of cigarettes being healthier versus another brand,
toxic sludge being good for farmers,
or homosexuality as a mental disorder--just as a few examples.
Funny thing, as Noam Chomsky has discussed, it's the educated "professionals" who tend to be the most indoctrinated. Essentially trained seals: hear, absorb, regurgitate, receive reward (diploma) and the most trusting of "official" sources for their information.
Methinks thou dost protest too much.
There's a lot of "you says the thing I don't want to be true, therefore what you says is wrong" going on.Methinks thou dost protest too much.
Whatever's going on the quoted text make some of the posts resemble old greenbar tractor feed paper. IMO that style of writing is painful to read. It looks more like two VIC-20s fighting in the Matrix than two humans communicating, or at least trying to.
Hiiiiyah!
I stick up for my colleagues, who richly deserve it. Too bad if you don't like it.
I stick up for my colleagues, who richly deserve it. Too bad if you don't like it.
There's a lot of "you says the thing I don't want to be true, therefore what you says is wrong" going on.
-harry
Including the Cold Fusion guys?
Somebody performs an experiment, others try to replicate it. If they fail, then it is determined that the earlier results were spurious, and they try to determine why. In the case of cold fusion this process occurred in the span of a few months.Including the Cold Fusion guys?
Somebody performs an experiment, others try to replicate it. If they fail, then it is determined that the earlier results were spurious, and they try to determine why. In the case of cold fusion this process occurred in the span of a few months.
This is how it's supposed to work.
Again, science is a process, one that depends on skepticism and verification. You're welcome to call that process into question, though I'd have to ask what better approach you have discovered so that we might all benefit from it along with you.
-harry
I thought the discussion was about why we don't believe. I think the problem for the non-scientists is that we are constantly bombarded with the results of some conclusive study published by some bunch of white-coats that later turns out to be pure crap. We (or at least I) can't sort out the wheat from the chaff, nor are we going to spend much time trying.
Then sometime later another bunch of white-coats concludes that the first bunch was wrong, and that it wasn't the eggs after all, the high choloesterol was attributable to some other factors that they forgot to islolate or examine. I mean, c'mon, how long did you guys run around yapping about Bernoulli until somebody decided maybe something else caused them to fly?
community
Yes, a planet in a petri dish would certainly be a helpful lab tool.... Now if we had a second earth exactly the same as ours except uninhabited by humans at an L4 or L5 point in orbit, then we could see without any ambiguity and argument how much global warming humans are, or aren't causing...
That's not how science types talk, that's how politics types talk.But, a bunch of scientist get together and say "this is absolutely, and without argument the way it is"...
Somebody called you a cretin?But oooooh noooooooo, if we question them at all, then we are the ones who are the cretins.
I don't claim to fully understand your argument, which seems to boil down to "all is unknowable". But the difficulty of gaining perfect knowledge doesn't absolve us of responsibility for living with the consequences, and so we act with the best information available.Where's the testability? Where's the chance to falsify it? There isn't, and that's the problem.
Part of the problem is the media presentation of "pop science", which short-circuits the process by taking intermediate results and immediately broadcasting it without any explanation to put the results in context.... I think the problem for the non-scientists is that we are constantly bombarded with the results of some conclusive study published by some bunch of white-coats that later turns out to be pure crap...
I thought it made things more clear, though it may be visually unappealing.
Part of the problem is the media presentation of "pop science", which short-circuits the process by taking intermediate results and immediately broadcasting it without any explanation to put the results in context.
But it's hard to get around the fact that we're having this conversation over a network of routers built around high-speed custom semiconductors transmitting data over fiber-optic cables using lasers and things like erbium-doped fiber amplifiers, all the while discussing how guys in white coats don't know what they're talking about.
-harry
Funny thing about cold fusion, I'm a long way from convinced it really was bogus. There could be significant issues concerning the composition, amount and even shape of the platinum catalyst.
That said, I'm a long way from convinced it was for real. The one thing of which I am convinced is that Pons and Fleishman were very, very sloppy. More the pity if they were right.
Sigh. I'm with you brother.
I don't know if it is IQ envy or not, but the anti-scientific mindset in this country is a real downer.
AFA climate? Dinosaurs might have shat and belched, but they didn't have blast furnaces and smelt aluminum, or whatever one does to make aluminum. One look at the sky over Gary, IN is all I need to see in order to accept that, indeed, man is having some impact on the environment. While I am not willing to turn off all the lights, stop the cars and buses, and live like a Cro-Magnon, I don't think it's unreasonable to cut back where we can. That's not so unreasonable. Is it?
Apple, being that he's on their Board of Directors (arguably one of the least "green" businesses on the planet)
I come from a culture with a built in respect for scholarship. It depresses the hell out of me. The saddest thing is the people who lead the world will be the smart ones, the ones who can come up with the great ideas and put them into practice. Americans really don't seem to get that these days. Makes me fearful for the long-term prospects for my beloved country.
My only hope is really that the stuff runs out before we use it to ruin the planet.
Thank GOD this is a minority view and the "Smart People" aren't the only ones with authority and power. Please read the Federalist papers to understand the genius of conflicting "factions."
Twenty miles from me is a mockery 'museum' that succeeds in convincing people the universe is only 10,000 years old thanks to our citizens complete lack of understanding in scientific method, reasoning and logic lead skeptical thought.
Thank GOD this is a minority view and the "Smart People" aren't the only ones with authority and power. Please read the Federalist papers to understand the genius of conflicting "factions."
I, for one, am damn glad the guests on the Jerry Springer Show can share authority and power with smart people.![]()
The part I find interesting and disturbing is that the anti-intellectuals aren't even smart enough to vote for people who might actually know a little bit more than they do. They want people just like them to run the country.Dan, I think you're missing his point. The anti-education, anti-intellectual attitude that is so prevalent in our American society works against the progress of our great nation. We need to celebrate knowledge, not 40yrd dash times.