I may see what you got tripped up on. Don’t compare the two mathematically as fractions, compare what the air the ELR number describes DOES when you release it into an atmosphere made up of the other standard air. (DALR or SALR)
If you have a parcel of air that wants to cool 1 degree per 1000’, and we know the dry adiabatic lapse rate (a constant) is 3 degrees per thousand feet, let’s push it upward somehow / release it / let it go and see what happens...
Assuming some sort of lift... we have to lift it in their thought process. (Or in real life something has to lift it...) We don’t care how for this determination of stability... any of the four ways to lift air is fine.
We release it 1000’ up, so it cools 1 degree. The air surrounding it cooled 3. The parcel is a LOT warmer than the “normal” air around it. To reach equilibrium it MUST KEEP going up and cool and expand some more. It wants to go up.
That’s “unstable”. It wants to keep moving upward after we lift it.
Air with an ELR 1 released into standard DALR of 3.
Unstable parcel of air. 1 < 3.
(If it’s easier, don’t make it into fractions of 1/1000 < 3/1000 in your head and try comparing fractions. Just use the number of degrees. I think that is what you did when tired.)
Now let’s take a parcel that wants to cool at 3 degrees per 1000’.
Standard air. Released into standard air. But lifted.
Release it. It is the same temperature 1000’ up as the surrounding air. It doesn’t want to rise or fall any faster than the surrounding air. Stable. It’s just going to sit there. No up, no down. It’s happy.
ELR 3 = DALR 3. Stable. Nothing happening.
Now let’s take a parcel that wants to cool 5 degrees per 1000’.
Whatever lifting mechanism lifts it. Release it.
1000’ up this parcel is now 2 degrees colder than the surrounding air. It wants to sink back down, compress and warm up. It will try to move downward until it finds an equal temperature with the surrounding air.
That’s also stable. It wants to return downward to equilibrium when lifted. ELR 5 > DALR 3... stable.
Remember there’s multiple ways to lift a parcel of air, but the lapse rate comparison is measuring to see if the air wants to keep rising once it starts moving.
If you lift unstable air, it wants to keep going. If you lift stable air, it wants to stop after you stop lifting it, or return to where it started.
That’s the stability number comparison. If ELR > than DALR that air wants to keep going up when released.
(I left out SALR for simplicity but same thing. Now if you want the next thing to think about try an ELR of 2 degrees. Hmm.. ELR < DALR so the parcel is unstable until... it reaches dew point... now ELR > SALR...)
Now on to turbulence and Skew-T...
Turbulent air can be caused by a whole bunch of stuff, that doesn’t necessarily have anything to do with the lapse rate...
Example: Orographic lifting and falling as a pressure (wind) system slams into an immovable object like a mountain range. Rocks in a stream.
So not ALL sorts of turbulence can be seen in a Skew-T, no. Definitely not. You can’t see a mountain range standing in the way of tight isobars on a Skew-T. Wrong tool for that.
(Isobars drawn on a topographical map is the right tool for visualizing that turbulence... or at least the setup for massive mechanical turbulence...)
But sometimes hints on your ride quality CAN be seen in a Skew-T.
For example, a temperature inversion. Cold air trapped underneath warmer air is by definition, not mixing. It’s stuck under there waiting for something to mix it up a little and cause it to get back to equilibrium (ELR), and that only happens in very stable air...
So... no mixing, no vertical movement, your ride is probably going to be very good ... below the inversion point.
And you can see an inversion on a Skew-T.
Of course you might get freezing rain if warm air is precipitating into cold air below it too... but that’s a different use of the Skew-T!
Fun stuff.
I hadn’t seen any of that or heard it from Scott, I thought he just got REALLY busy when he went to work for ForeFlight? I’m not even sure he’s had much time to run as many workshops as in the past.
But he’s definitely very good at taking his meteorology knowledge and applying it to Aviation and dumbing it down for pilots.