Jaybird180
Final Approach
Owner Bob has maintained meticulous records and insists that his high time engine and airframe was well taken care of with nary a trouble. For example, in addition to the standard maintenance records, he logs separately how often he washes, waxes and vacuums the interior of his normally aspirated single engine airplane. He proudly displays this level of detail to the prospective purchaser, John who after several extensive telephone conversations travelled across the border from Canada to see Bob's American registered airplane. John is a numbers-minded purchaser and interested in specifics of the engine, which showed low oil and fuel consumption, high-compressions, low noise, sewing-machine smoothness and rocket-ship power delivery during the test flights despite its time significantly over TBO.
A year ago, Bob had a serious auto-accident where the car caught fire. No one was injured, but after a few weeks rest, Bob went to visit his AME and after an extensive physical the AME offered to renew his 1st Class early. The AME noticed that Bob was unusually withdrawn and after asking, Bob explained how his personal flight logbook got lost at the scene of the auto-accident containing every adventure he had with this airplane. Bob's AME couldn't repair his broken heart nor could he talk him out of voluntarily surrendering his medical.
Considering that Bob has records above and beyond what's normal he asks on a hunch to see Bob's Journey Log to get an idea of Bob's usage and treatment of the engine and airframe over the past several years. John believes that he can crunch the numbers of distance travelled, ground hours, air hours, tach hours and hobbs hours to draw inferences about Bob's habits with engine care.
Bob, being a good American, has no such thing; he separately logged each and every flight by recording date of flight, Hobbs and tach time and fuel used, always 100LL. The lost flight log perhaps could have filled in some of the missing data points John wants, but it is unavailable. With a significant non-refundable deposit of American greenbacks, John secures the logs to study over the weekend in his hotel room.
Here's the question:
What statistical inferences can John make about the usage history from the numbers, given he only has date of flight, Hobbs, tach time and fuel used?
A year ago, Bob had a serious auto-accident where the car caught fire. No one was injured, but after a few weeks rest, Bob went to visit his AME and after an extensive physical the AME offered to renew his 1st Class early. The AME noticed that Bob was unusually withdrawn and after asking, Bob explained how his personal flight logbook got lost at the scene of the auto-accident containing every adventure he had with this airplane. Bob's AME couldn't repair his broken heart nor could he talk him out of voluntarily surrendering his medical.
Considering that Bob has records above and beyond what's normal he asks on a hunch to see Bob's Journey Log to get an idea of Bob's usage and treatment of the engine and airframe over the past several years. John believes that he can crunch the numbers of distance travelled, ground hours, air hours, tach hours and hobbs hours to draw inferences about Bob's habits with engine care.
Bob, being a good American, has no such thing; he separately logged each and every flight by recording date of flight, Hobbs and tach time and fuel used, always 100LL. The lost flight log perhaps could have filled in some of the missing data points John wants, but it is unavailable. With a significant non-refundable deposit of American greenbacks, John secures the logs to study over the weekend in his hotel room.
Here's the question:
What statistical inferences can John make about the usage history from the numbers, given he only has date of flight, Hobbs, tach time and fuel used?