stratobee
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stratobee
From another thread, on another forum, a gentleman was on the hunt for a $500-600K high performance single engine aircraft. He wanted something new - and I can't argue with that if that is how he wants it. There's something to be said for that "new plane smell", I'm certain. But I can argue with economics. This whole high end single stuff is getting out of hand when it comes to financial justification on many boards, not just that one.
Just for the sake of argument take my twin. It cost $85K to buy with fresh annual. I just put newly O/H props on her for $10K. I will have to overhaul the engines for $50-60K soon, although they still run good. So, spending around $150K I have a plane that has de-ice, is fully IFR, pressurised and will leave a Cirrus in the dust at FL250 and keep up with many turboprops. On top of this you have the safety of two engines, and marginally higher fuel burn than a single - anyone who makes it out to be twice as much is misinformed. It's at the most 30% more.
$350K buys a hell of a lot of fuel.
Let's break it down: Considering a 30% greater fuel burn, you'd have to fly 7777 hrs before the Cirrus that cost $500K would be cheaper. OK, OK, but what about the engine funds, I hear you say? At $25K for an extra engines O/H you'd have to fly for 25000 hrs before that ended up eating up the $350K you are in the hole. What about maintenance? Well, it's about 50% higher than a high end single and in the grand scheme of things and compared to fuel, peanuts. My last annual was $10K. Let's say that's $5K more expensive than on a Cirrus, and you're looking at 70 years of ownership before the single pays off!
Now, let's actually compare apples to apples. A Cirrus isn't retractable and it's not pressurised. A new retractable pressurised FIKI single vs my old twin. Not that many of those around - Piper Matrix is the only ones that come to mind. List price is $939,950 for a brand new Piper Matrix. I don't have to bore you with the calculations, but suffice to say that you could fly the twin for decades and decades before you even get close to the costs of maintaining and purchasing the Matrix. And if you're talking about financing the Matrix on top of that, let's say over 15 years spending 5% interest, you're looking at another $700K in interest on top of that! Even a twin engine turbine that's paid for would be cheaper to run than that!
There's simply no way you can make that almost new single pay for itself in the average private pilot's lifetime with the depressed twin prices that prevail today. OK, so you need a multi engine rating. Big deal. It takes about 10hrs to do so and it's dead simple.
Obviously, if one wants a new plane and have the money then that's great. I have no argument. It's great if newer planes can get sold and replace banged up old beaters - aviation certainly needs that. But the economic justifications do not hold water.
Just for the sake of argument take my twin. It cost $85K to buy with fresh annual. I just put newly O/H props on her for $10K. I will have to overhaul the engines for $50-60K soon, although they still run good. So, spending around $150K I have a plane that has de-ice, is fully IFR, pressurised and will leave a Cirrus in the dust at FL250 and keep up with many turboprops. On top of this you have the safety of two engines, and marginally higher fuel burn than a single - anyone who makes it out to be twice as much is misinformed. It's at the most 30% more.
$350K buys a hell of a lot of fuel.
Let's break it down: Considering a 30% greater fuel burn, you'd have to fly 7777 hrs before the Cirrus that cost $500K would be cheaper. OK, OK, but what about the engine funds, I hear you say? At $25K for an extra engines O/H you'd have to fly for 25000 hrs before that ended up eating up the $350K you are in the hole. What about maintenance? Well, it's about 50% higher than a high end single and in the grand scheme of things and compared to fuel, peanuts. My last annual was $10K. Let's say that's $5K more expensive than on a Cirrus, and you're looking at 70 years of ownership before the single pays off!
Now, let's actually compare apples to apples. A Cirrus isn't retractable and it's not pressurised. A new retractable pressurised FIKI single vs my old twin. Not that many of those around - Piper Matrix is the only ones that come to mind. List price is $939,950 for a brand new Piper Matrix. I don't have to bore you with the calculations, but suffice to say that you could fly the twin for decades and decades before you even get close to the costs of maintaining and purchasing the Matrix. And if you're talking about financing the Matrix on top of that, let's say over 15 years spending 5% interest, you're looking at another $700K in interest on top of that! Even a twin engine turbine that's paid for would be cheaper to run than that!
There's simply no way you can make that almost new single pay for itself in the average private pilot's lifetime with the depressed twin prices that prevail today. OK, so you need a multi engine rating. Big deal. It takes about 10hrs to do so and it's dead simple.
Obviously, if one wants a new plane and have the money then that's great. I have no argument. It's great if newer planes can get sold and replace banged up old beaters - aviation certainly needs that. But the economic justifications do not hold water.
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