steviedeviant
Pre-takeoff checklist
That carb air temp system can't solve everything. Its sensor is near the throttle butterfly, and as long as the throttle is open for takeoff or cruise, the pressure drop is primarily in the venturi, upstream of the butterfly. The temp in the venturi might be, and probably is, lower than indicated. And when you close the throttle, the pressure drop in the venturi falls off but the drop around the edges of the butterfly goes way up, and ice forms there. It's a big pressure drop, which is why ice is much more likely at lower throttle settings.
The METAR gives you temp and dewpoint. Pay attention to those numbers. Make a habit of it. When the difference between them is small, ice is far more likely.
So the difference between the two was basically none, because a storm had just come through late afternoon sun was shining and clouds had moved on. So I think next time I will be more aware of this. Thanks though for the reminder.
To the OP - I wouldn't assume yet that your problem was carb heat/icing even though your mechanic etc has said so. The symptoms as you describe them in the first post don't all match carb ice.
Unfortunately I will never know for sure, but after reading all the post and looking back at the conditions, while I find it somewhat hard to believe, it just looks like the evidence is pointing to that. My still lack of experience doesn't give me a lot to go on. I will not be flying that particular plane for a while...so right now it is someone else's problem.
Did you notice a drop in RPM when you applied Carb Heat?
(I'm a little embarrassed I didn't think of this earlier)
The drop in RPM happened as I pulled back the throttle....yes I know that would cause it....what I mean is, that when I pulled back, the rpm dropped very quickly, engine ran rough, and rpm rebounded to about 1700. Giving it more throttle did nothing. Engine continued to run rough and I did apply carb heat and rpm dropped some more, as expected...but I never noticed anything showing it was cleared up. rpm would have dropped with application of carb heat. Engine continued to run rough all the way to landing. Not vibrating the plane rough, but rough none the less.