My next question would then be how that compares to other aircraft. 1900 hours is a decent amount, but as we also know there's quality as well as quantity.
So in other words, someone who has 1900 hours flying typical certified singles and then hops in a IV-P might have a hard time with it. If that 1900-hour pilot has been flying more demanding aircraft and/or been flying in an environment that requires stricter discipline (corporate/135/121/military), that's a different matter.
An age-old issue...whether someone has flown 2000 hours, or one hour repeated 2000 times.
Unfortunately, its applicability to aircraft accidents is impossible to answer without individual research on each accident well beyond what's available in the NTSB records. It's an attractive hypothesis, but impossible to prove or disprove.
However, I'd presume someone with a Commercial or higher ticket would probably have a broader experience base than someone with a Sport or Private ticket. On that basis:
Fatal Accidents vs. Pilot Rating
None/Student/Sport:
All: 6.6%
Lancair IV/IVP: 0
Vans RV-6/6A: 0
Private:
All: 61.3%
Lancair IV/IVP: 43.4%
Vans RV-6/6A: 76.6%
CFI/Commercial:
All: 26.3%
Lancair IV/IVP: 52.2%
Vans RV-6/6A: 21.3%
ATP:
All: 5.8%
Lancair IV/IVP: 4.3% [One accident]
Vans RV-6/6A: 2.1% [Also just one accident]
Median Flight Hours (fatal accidents)/Median Time in Type:
All: 1074/48
Lancair IV/IVP: 1908/90
Vans RV-6/6A: 1154/127
Of course, there are the high-time pilots who go down and die. I think a lot of that is when an engine quits and the abysmal glide characteristics lead to an unpleasant landing.
Well, THAT at least I can help answer. From the fatal accidents, here are the top twenty on the basis of pilot total time. The four cases that involved engine failure were all in what we might consider unforgiving aircraft:
LAX00FA093A Questair Venture ATP 20000 hours Probable Cause: The pilots' inadequate visual lookout in visual conditions and class 'E' airspace. Contributing to the accident were the initial position report location and the approach speed of the Questair.
CEN10LA184 Vans RV-6 COMM 20000 The pilot's failure to maintain clearance from the lake while maneuvering at low altitude.
LAX98FA112 Christen Eagle II ATP 20200 The pilot-in-command's failure to maintain control of the aircraft. Contributing to the accident was the improper altitude.
CHI98LA129 Velocity COMM 21000 improper planning/decision by the pilot, by using the airplane in an illegal activity and allowing the fuel to be exhausted before landing. Factors relating to this accident were: the pilot being under pressure to reach his destination with his illegal cargo, and trees in the forced landing area.
ERA12FA006 Arion LI COMM 21811. Preliminary only, investigation not completed. Preliminary says, "...shortly after takeoff, approximately 15 feet above ground level; the airplane pitched up to a 45 to 60 degree nose up attitude and then appeared to have stalled just prior to impacting the house."
CHI01FA235 Giles G-202 ATP 21936 The pilot failed to maintain aircraft control which resulted in an inadvertant stall. Factors with the accident were the pilot misjudged the approach and the pilot's lack of total experience in the Giles G-202.
DFW07LA160 Vans RV-6 COMM 24000 The pilot's loss of control for undetermined reasons.
ATL01LA046 Steen Skybolt CFI 25000 The pilot's failure to maintain control of the airplane during climb out that resulted in the in-flight collision with the ground. A factor was the physical impairment.
CHI01FA077 Steen Skybolt FE 25678 The pilot not maintaining altitude/clearance from terrain during the low altitude maneuver. Factors were the wind gusts and the low altitude maneuver the pilot performed.
DEN00FA005 Christen Eagle ATP 27000 The pilot's inability to maintain aircraft control due to an unknown physical impairment.
ANC09FA062 Zenair CH-701 ATP 27200 The pilot's failure to maintain sufficient airspeed to avoid an aerodynamic stall during takeoff and his decision to fly the airplane over its allowable gross weight. Contributing to the accident was the airplane's excessive gross weight.
LAX06LA041 Special COMM 28000 The pilot's excessive use of power during takeoff, which resulted in an inadvertent torque roll shortly after lift off. Also causal was the pilot's failure to abort the takeoff when directional control could not be maintained during the takeoff roll.
WPR10LA258 Pietenpol AIR CAMPER CFI 28000 The pilot's loss of airplane control for undetermined reasons while on final approach to land.
CHI98FA353 Revolution MINI 500 COMM 28000 A loss of engine power due to cold seizure of the power-takeoff cylinder. A factor contributing to the accident was the power lines.
LAX04LA110 Wittman Tailwind W8 ATP 29000 The pilot's incapacitation during descent, which resulted in a loss of control and an in-flight collision with water.
MIA99FA159 Classic Aircraft Corp. S-51D ATP 29000 A complete loss of engine power caused by the malfunctioning landing gear, which blocked the radiator scoop, leading to increased fuel temperature and the subsequent vapor lock condition and fuel blockage. A secondary cause was the pilot's failure to maintain flying speed resulting in the subsequent stall/mush
SEA07LA060 Pitts S1 CFI 30000 The airplane collided with a frozen lake for undetermined reasons. Contributing to the accident was the pilot's intentional operation of the airplane while impaired by alcohol and the FAA's failure to obtain additional information about the pilot's self-
LAX01FA212 LANCAIR 4P CFI 31000 the builder's failure to install a fuel compartment vent in the right wing, affecting the total available fuel capacity, and resulting in the loss of engine power due to fuel starvation. A contributing factor was the pilot's intentional flight with a known inoperative fuel gauging system.
ATL98LA032 Aerocomp CA-6 ATP 34700 The loss of engine power for undetermined reasons. A factor was the trees in the emergency landing area.
ATL02LA009 Monnett Moni ATP 36500 The pilot's failure to maintain airspeed during a low-altitude aerobatic maneuver, which resulted in an inadvertent stall/spin and subsequent uncontrolled descent into terrain.
You could probably knock one or even two zeros off the total times on the above, and the accidents would still make about the same amount of sense. "Fate is the Hunter," as Ernie Gann said, whether you've got 30 hours or 30,000.
That said, I think better training and discipline in the IV-P would make it significantly less deadly.
Same thing I tell the Fly Baby guys...
Ron Wanttaja