Ted, how is that measured? Not saying you're wrong, I'm just curious what metric was used. Hours flown for instance. It would be neat to see a chart or something. So, I guess if you include bizjets which are GA, then I would think you're right.
Admittedly this is from my own estimates. I'm looking at all GA - although as I said earlier this does impact piston aviation significantly more than turbine, because for turbine aircraft, this represents a smaller investment relative to the aircraft use and value. My earlier numbers, based on FlightAware (so planes flying IFR and some flight following), are how I looked at this, and showed 5% of the aircraft in the sky as piston.
Now, we know my assumptions were actually more favoring your position, because many of the piston aircraft there will get the upgrades. Twin Cessnas, Navajos, Cirri, etc. Will likely be worth enough to their owners to do the upgrades. Which makes an even smaller number.
The VFR folks squawking 1200 aren't getting counted, so that goes a bit further towards that direction.
Jesse's point is right on perception - hear lots of bugsmashers. What you don't hear are the folks above you. The Flight Levels are a surprisingly busy place. Lots of planes there. Of course, various busy schools (ERAU, UND, etc) help the bug smasher side, but those folks will make the upgrades.
Still if you take away the bugsmasher segment of GA which are most of us here, it would still put a hardship on the infrastructure, like maintenance shops, FBO's etc.
Agreed fully.
My point (which I think many are missing) is that we do live in an industry that moves on (not necessarily forward). VORs and NDBs cost money to maintain, and aren't heavily used anymore. Think about it - most who are /G will use the GPS to go direct to a VOR when assigned. Secondary radar shuts down (more cost savings). Primary radar stays, yes.
The other point is we still have 8 years. I specifically opted for a 327 this year instead of a 330 because I expect the requirements to change between now and then, so I'll buy a new transponder then.
TV moved on, too. The government bought those who signed up a converter box. I opted not to take one - I thought it was a ridiculous waste of tax dollars. So my TV turned into a big DVD player. Still is. Write to Obama and ask him to buy you ADS-B.