I noticed that the track followed the Teton 3 DP to the first turn which would have taken the flight to the west rather than the desired direction. After that the route led directly towards the RIV VOR.
The ORCAs in the area are about 16,000 and the terrain under the path from the turn to RIV includes peaks in the 13,500 MSL range within 4 nm of that course centerline. I can't see attempting this being "legal" let alone safe unless the plane was able to reach the 16,100 ORCA before leaving the DP unless there was a lower min vectoring altitude which isn't something a pilot would normally know.
100% agreed. Not safe at all, and not legal either. I did a more detailed analysis in the other thread.
1) How would you folks plan an IMC departure to the east. Let's assume benign IMC e.g. 1-2 mile vis in light snow with no ice in the forecast and a negative ice pirep with tops in the 15-16k range in the same area. Let's also assume that the winds aloft were in the 15-20 Kt range making for some orthographic turbulence but nothing nasty. The surface wind favors a takeoff to the south but the margins on a runway 1 departure are acceptable but still more risky than lifting off into the wind.
Me, I'd still stay on the ground in that case, assuming I'm in the trusty Skylane. Chances are the tops have ice in them anyway, at which point I'd already have limited climb performance and thus no margin to allow for something like ice to happen.
One possible exception: If there are sufficient outs. For example, would I be able to declare an emergency and immediately maneuver back onto a final approach course to return to the field if necessary? Looking at the approaches into KJAC, the northbound approaches have some pretty high minimums, and it'd be questionable to return given your scenario above. (Lowest minimums coming back in from the south are on the VOR/DME 1, at 1000 and 1 1/2 miles). Given that, I'd look at a northbound departure on the GEYSER FOUR, since the ILS Z 19 gives us a good chance of making it back in. Following the GEYSER FOUR, if something did go horribly wrong, you could make a left turn directly on to the final for the ILS Z 19 and probably save your bacon. But, I'd sure want to determine that the chances of needing to pull such a stunt were fairly unnecessary before actually taking off.
I'd also want a better airplane than the 182 - 450'/nm is a pretty extreme climb gradient. I'd need to be getting at least 850 fpm, and that ain't gonna happen all the way up to 14,000.
The 335'/nm gradient on the TETON THREE is do-able in the 182 normally aspirated, but only if I'm alone (assuming full fuel and a couple of bags), and it's going to require a max performance climb toward the end. I'd have to play with it a bit to see if I could make up enough altitude early on in the climb to make the max performance at the end unnecessary, and I'm not going to go play test pilot in the clouds. This would be something to try VFR first.
2) Assuming you didn't agree to accept terrain clearance responsibility, wouldn't ATC normally have given an altitude crossing restriction to a flight headed for terrain that was higher than 2000 ft below the plane's altitude.
Well, if I were the controller I'd probably be wondering why the heck the plane turned east at KICNE - And they may not have even been on radar yet when they made that turn. Also, it's kind of hard to issue a crossing restriction to an airplane that's off a defined airway. "Cross the mountains at or above 15,800?" That doesn't work IFR/IMC.
I think the best the controller could have done would be to re-clear the plane through TUVOC and issued a crossing restriction at or above 16,100 there. However, in reality I would guess that giving the plane that clearance (still below the OROCA) is not something the controller could do absent a declared emergency. In reality, I would hope that the controller would have warned the pilot that he was below the OROCA and told him to return to the DP immediately. However, I'm guessing that the alarm didn't go off until much later, and it may be that the controller wasn't a pilot and didn't understand what this guy was doing wrong, or the pilot may have simply refused a hint on the part of the controller. The radio transcripts are going to be very interesting on this one.
3) Shouldn't ATC have gotten a low altitude alert (and passed that on to the pilot) when the flight was getting close to terrain less than 2000 ft below the plane's altitude?
If they had 'em on radar, I would hope so. But by that point, the game's probably over - By the time the radar squawks, the plane is probably too close to the terrain to outclimb it at the altitudes in question without turning around.