EdFred
Taxi to Parking
I think some places have more accurate forecasts than others. I have watched the forecast change six times in six hours for a time eight hours away.. One thing I wish I had done when I started flight training was tracking forecasted weather against actual conditions. The short-term forecasts are so bad around here, my instructor and I have resorted to only cancelling flights after checking the current weather in all the surrounding areas just before I leave (so about 2 hrs before lesson time). So, I tend to think most, if not all, forecasts are pretty much guesses that may or may not be educated.
And you don't even have anything around you (mountains, great lakes) to affect the weather that much. Although, you are kind of at a confluence of Canadian and Gulf air masses and depending on timing you can either get nice puffies or drizzle.