Garmin Ltd Biz Report

Len Lanetti

Cleared for Takeoff
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The Business Journal of Kansas City - 2:53 PM CDT Friday
Garmin CEO: 'Volatile' market won't stop strong growth

Charlie Anderson

Staff Writer
[font=Times New Roman,Times,Serif]Garmin Ltd. executives assured shareholders Friday that the navigation device-maker is poised for a highly profitable 2005, even though the company's stock at Thursday's close was down 37 percent, or $16.59, since the end of last year.

"We are in an industry ... that is poised for very significant growth," Garmin CEO Min Kao said at the annual shareholders meeting Friday in Overland Park. "Our market, it tends to be more volatile."

The Olathe-based company (Nasdaq: GRMN) forecasts earnings of $250 million to $260 million in 2005 on revenue of $890 million to $915 million.

That's up from earnings of $205.7 million in 2004 on revenue of $762.5 million.

Even with zero debt, more than $600 million in cash and equivalents, and burgeoning top and bottom lines, Garmin's stock has gone wildly up and down the past two years.

After losing more than $20 a share at one point in the summer of 2004, Garmin shares rebounded and closed higher than $60 in 2004, or up about 9 percent on the year.

Garmin CFO Kevin Rauckman said at Friday's meeting that some investors were discounting the stock because they don't think the company can maintain its 50 percent-plus gross margins.

"The natural inclination is, 'Hey, Garmin can't sustain that,'" he said.

To dispute that, Rauckman pointed to a chart that showed Garmin's gross margins in 2004 were roughly the same as in 2000, when the company went public.

"We're still at the same place: 54 percent," Rauckman said.

Garmin ranks No. 16 on The Business Journal's list of area public companies.

[/font]REACH CHARLIE ANDERSON at 816-421-5900 or clanderson@bizjournals.com.



© 2005 American City Business Journals Inc.
 
Ken Ibold said:
Wow. 54% gross margin ... Suddenly a $1400 handheld GPS doesn't look like much of a bargain ...

Can you say "no real competition"?
 
I'd consider all handheld GPSs worth at least 2-3 times their current $ prices if one enjoys the convenience & options they can offer...



wsuffa said:
Can you say "no real competition"?
 
Dave Krall CFII said:
I'd consider all handheld GPSs worth at least 2-3 times their current $ prices if one enjoys the convenience & options they can offer...
I have to say, I have gotten a lot of use out of my 9-year-old Apollo Precedus. Still works perfectly. I've had to replace the antenna (once) and the battery (once) in more than 9 years of use.
 
Ken Ibold said:
Wow. 54% gross margin ... Suddenly a $1400 handheld GPS doesn't look like much of a bargain ...

Keep in mind that gross margin doesn't include any amortized development cost and probably skips the overhead, cost of sales, marketing costs etc. I'll bet the net profit is quite a bit less.

My company targets around 60% gross margin and sees something more like a 15% net profit when times are good.
 
lancefisher said:
Keep in mind that gross margin doesn't include any amortized development cost and probably skips the overhead, cost of sales, marketing costs etc. I'll bet the net profit is quite a bit less.

My company targets around 60% gross margin and sees something more like a 15% net profit when times are good.

I would love to see 15% on a consistent basis. Even at 9% I feel like I scored big.
 
Dave Krall CFII said:
I'd consider all handheld GPSs worth at least 2-3 times their current $ prices if one enjoys the convenience & options they can offer...

Please don't tell Garmin that;)
 
Ken Ibold said:
Wow. 54% gross margin

No debt and $600 million in cash...look for them to buy up any company on the horizon that has a neat idea or appears competitive.

Len
 
Len Lanetti said:
No debt and $600 million in cash...look for them to buy up any company on the horizon that has a neat idea or appears competitive.

Len

Like Apollo/UPS Avionics :(

We could stand some real competition for Garmin, but I don't see it. King's GA radios and KLN 94 are years behind being competitive
 
Joe Williams said:
Like Apollo/UPS Avionics :(

We could stand some real competition for Garmin, but I don't see it. King's GA radios and KLN 94 are years behind being competitive

Sounds like a good target for a leveraged buyout. Hopefully they've got a poison pill or two in there.
 
lancefisher said:
Sounds like a good target for a leveraged buyout. Hopefully they've got a poison pill or two in there.

I think Garmin (GRMN) is still about 50% owned by just a few of its directors. My sense is they are more interested in acquiring new technologies than cashing out. I've got a few shares of GRMN and am in it for the long haul, it's done quite well so far. I think Avidyne is pretty serious glass-cockpit competition for them, but I thought Garmin was still planning to get an autopilot on the market, and then almost the whole cockpit would be theirs.

Jeff
 
Jeff Oslick said:
I think Garmin (GRMN) is still about 50% owned by just a few of its directors. My sense is they are more interested in acquiring new technologies than cashing out. I've got a few shares of GRMN and am in it for the long haul, it's done quite well so far......

Jeff


Me too. One of these years I am going to go to the annual meeting. I wish they'd have it in New York instead of Kansas though.

Not that there is anything wrong with Kansas. ;)
 
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