Dunno 'bout your house but not mine. The bank owns a share and I own a share.
Fair enough. I guess my point is, it's a long-term risk (that doesn't decline much in the first two thirds of the loan -- people also don't look at Amortization Schedules or understand they're not paying very much toward the Principal of the loan for a very long time) that people try to rationalize into calling it an "investment".
The bank makes sure they get paid first, and rightly so when they're taking the risk, but in the case of an unreasonable number of loans, they weren't. They were told they could drop the bad loans on Freddy and Fannie, and their derivatives gambling on AIG, and did.
So they never had the risk in the first place. The stage was set.
Prices rose in response to all the free money floating around.
You and I have it relatively good. Housing prices around here never took off for the stars like they did in California and Florida, for example...
Problem is, the banks aren't local... So when the system collapsed, we somehow end up penalized for our relative frugality around here. Highlands Ranch cardboard California houses, notwithstanding.
I remember when Colorado didn't allow branch banking... Remember that? Had to go to your branch. In your neighborhood. (Or whatever one you chose...)
Are we better off with massive risks taken on by massive banks that lose everywhere? The "experts" will tell you that's "diversification" but not if all the banks are selling bad loans from Freddy and Fannie together in lock-step.
Certainly made the crash bigger.
If I'd have been in a situation to keep my condo (the first place we "owned"), I'd have made twice what my house is worth in just holding on to it, while the house has (amazingly) appreciated much more slowly.
The condo would have been a 50% gain in ten years. The house, 17% increase in the same time.
From a value standpoint, that makes no sense. So it must be driven by something utterly false underneath the veneer.
The only thing holding that condo value that high still to this day, is the lending bubble (and a good location). It's cheap apartment style construction, reasonably mid-grade interior, and nothing fancy. (Ken Caryl & C-470 for the locals...)
The house is brick and was built in 1968. Beefy. Much better structure, worse internal layout than more modern "open" floor plans, though.
One is valued higher than the other, but all things equal in the monetary system, they should have risen about equal percentages.
This whole thing really hasn't corrected itself yet. The banks are just sitting on the shadow inventory, waiting for the hole to fill in by itself with population expansion and inflation. The Fed is obliging via selling Treasuries.
Bernanke's latest speech was telling. "When housing prices rise, people will *feel* richer and start to spend more." (my emphasis added)
I literally did a double take when I heard him say that. He wants the bubble to reinflate?!
And people will "feel" richer?!
That's his plan. Seriously??
He's just out of arrows in his quiver, is all.