I believe that too, unless you think you are going to live there for at least 5-10 years. People are finding out now that housing does not always go up and that it's not a liquid investment. I held off buying until I was 35 years old and I'm very glad that I did. I ended up buying when housing prices were down and I've held onto it for a long time so it is now a positive investment for me even with the current economic climate. However, that is only because I chose not to move around for a job after I bought my house. That has probably affected me careerwise, but it was the choice I made.
You can't go into it expecting to pay for it based on it making money for you. That was the HUGE mistake that a lot of people made. I simply cannot understand how they came up with that logic -- talk about risk.
I don't really expect to be able to sell the house anytime soon and not take a loss. My personal uneducated "worst case" plan expects the house to take a 10% loss in value. If it ever goes up -- great -- but I'm not going to bet on it. I think the market is still inflated in my region and the tax credit is hiding that.
Over the long term a house can be a decent investment -- a pure numbers game and it's not that great -- but one must remember that you're just redirecting money that you would have COMPLETELY loss by renting. My mortgage isn't a whole hell of a lot more than I was paying in rent.
I was paying apprx: $8,500 per yer in rent which was a TOTAL loss. I'll be paying a mortgage of about $11,400 (including insurance, taxes, etc).
The interest is a ***** at first, over the first year, I'll only have about $1700 go towards the prinicpal (i'll pay more).
Let's take a look at the 5 year picture. With my apartment I would have been completely out $42,500 assuming that my rent didn't increase a single dollar.
With the house, over 5 years, I'll have spent $57,000 towards the house, insurance, and taxes. That is $14,000 higher than the apartment would have been. I'll have about $9,500 towards the principal paid.
The five year picture isn't that great. It more or less means that I'm getting closer towards breaking even on the increase in cost.
Now lets look at 10 years -- If I was still paying that rent which never increased (it would have) -- I'd have paid $84,600 in rent.
With the house I'll have paid $114,000. I'll have $58,337 in principal paid. At this point I'll have saved $27,600 over renting. I don't predict the house will require $27,600 in maintenance. The house payment cost more..and I still saved..plus I had a better life.
Now the above numbers won't hold water -- I'll be making a lot more money in 10 years and I'll either have another house or a LOT more, if not all, of that house paid for. I ran all these numbers before I made the offer on the house to truly understand what I'm getting myself into.
I've concluded ... With time -- owning -- beats losing the money to rent. If you have to sell you might lose your ass and you better have the cash to back it up.