The one killer about the current commodities market is the sheer fact that someone (I don't know who, probably an analyst at a hedge) said "Wait, I'm willing to bet $X that consumption doesn't change if the price of a jug of oil moves $10" They made the bet, and saw it work - has consumption really curtailed? If it hasn't, then the "price isn't right" - the point at which consumption begins to tail or drop is when you've found the near sweet spot for price.
The downside of this (single-minded) thinking is, prices start going up for everything. Supply chains that rely on just-in-time stocking and sparing; food and general supply deliveries; and even the cost to transport the fuel.
I drove the long way to the bike shop tonight (needed a new set of pedals for jessie's bike) to drive by all the gas stations. The traditionally most expensive (but also most price stable) place in town is $2.99. The bargain basement fuel place is $3.29. A new place in town (which has had trouble getting business, crappy location) now has a LINE (14 cars, I counted) of people waiting to get fuel - $2.95.
Heck, I saw one place that Sunday was $2.67 and is now $3.499.
People suck.
Cheers,
-Andrew