I guess then my question to you is how do you communicate that. It sounds perfectly reasonable to you and I but if you look at it in the context of a future/student pilot, it seems off.
Student "the FAA says I only need 40 hours"
Me "that's the minimum, the average is 50-55"
Student "are you serious? That's a 25% increase from the FAA STANDARD"
Me. "yes, but it's like a baseball inning vs football quarter...youre performance dictates the completion."
Student "well the syllabus says I should on lesson 4, not 2. This is the 5th time we've flown and we've never kept on time schedule"
If you're having that discussion, then the instructor has already failed in his/her responsibilities to the trainee back when you started training, and failed to explain things properly before you started training. There's no way the syllabus can say what lesson someone should be on outside of having met the completion standards for each preceding lesson. If the trainee thinks s/he should be on Lesson 4, and the instructor has the trainee on Lesson 2, then the instructor has either failed to keep the trainee appraised of his/her performance
vis a vis the completion standards for each lesson, or the instructor has failed to explain the concept of "train to proficiency" to the trainee. Short of a trainee who is so obtuse as to refuse to accept the instructor's evaluation of his/her performance (and I'll leave discussion of FITS and "learner centered evaluation" for another day), this situation is the result of the instructor's failure, not a bad syllabus.
Regarding hours. How do you give them a good comprehensive estimate of the total price if you don't break it down by the syllabus hours?
You make the estimate based on actual average performance of trainees in this program with upper and lower bounds based on, say, the middle 90% of results.
Before investing thousands of $$$ I expect the provider to point to exactly what I'm paying for. That's just good business in my mind.
"Exactly" isn't possible in this business, and the flight school should explain that to its trainees up front. However, a range of costs based on reasonable expectations and foreseeable ranges of outcomes
is possible, and prospective trainees should expect such an honest approach to the problem.
Perhaps...having been ripped off in aviation in the past...I'm over thinking this, but if SAFE, NAFI or the FAA says 55 hours is the average, then there should be syllabuseseses using that metric with the idea that it is a much better conversation to a student to say "hey, this syllabus was written for the average guy...your flying 4 times a week and have great eye hand coordination since you work in the circus juggling chainsaws...we'll probably be done around 45-50 hours, but it depends on your progress."
One more time -- the syllabus should
never be based on hours. It should be based purely on achievement of completion standards.
Estimates of expected time to completion may be made, but it should be made clear that those estimates are based on median performance, and include upper and lower bounds based on the range of past experiences by trainees in the program.
Just my thoughts. I was hoping someone would've already done this, but I guess I'll need to build it.
You can build anything you want, but if it's based on some set number of hours, it won't be any better than a syllabus based on 40 hours.