RyanShort1
Final Approach
Abilene's got it's own charm... call me weird, but I could live there, or San Angelo, and I fly over it every week.
Nope. Clean air, low humidity, cost of living, low crime. Yada yada yada. It’s funny, he can’t stand it when my dad brags about north GA but all I hear is how great Texas is. I’ve lived in 6 different states, I don’t get attached to any of them. I will say this, it seems like general aviation is thriving there. Can’t say that for some other places around the country.Can he get more than two sentences into a conversation about anything without bringing Texas into it?
I was born in raised in Texas, so not like I had a chose it. Just never saw a reason to leave. Part of the reason I'm able to do the Cessna / Piper Owner magazines is because GA is so active here.Nope. Clean air, low humidity, cost of living, low crime. Yada yada yada. It’s funny, he can’t stand it when my dad brags about north GA but all I hear is how great Texas is. I’ve lived in 6 different states, I don’t get attached to any of them. I will say this, it seems like general aviation is thriving there. Can’t say that for some other places around the country.
Abilene's got it's own charm... call me weird, but I could live there, or San Angelo, and I fly over it every week.
Now, I haven’t driven in TX in a while and maybe things have changed since then, but could it be because once you cross out of TX you have to back off a little from your vehicle’s speed limiter?I'm planning a driving trip over Christmas. From Austin, I would go visit my parents in Amarillo and it was an 8 hour drive. From Austin to Hot Springs... 7 hours. To Memphis... 9 hours. It always seemed like those places were so far away, but Amarillo was an easy drive!
LOL, yeah, that plays a part in it.Now, I haven’t driven in TX in a while and maybe things have changed since then, but could it be because once you cross out of TX you have to back off a little from your vehicle’s speed limiter?
Most people don't talk trash about their home... If it's that bad, they'd leave!That's funny....the only people I hear say this sort of thing about Texas are people who don't live here. I wonder why that might be?
Um. Low humidity? In west TX, sure. But have you been to Houston? Ugh. At least it's a soaking wet heat.Nope. Clean air, low humidity,
Well, you kinda need a plane to just get around the state!cost of living, low crime. Yada yada yada. It’s funny, he can’t stand it when my dad brags about north GA but all I hear is how great Texas is. I’ve lived in 6 different states, I don’t get attached to any of them. I will say this, it seems like general aviation is thriving there. Can’t say that for some other places around the country.
That is not so true an adage anymore. This is becoming more and more the case for a tract house in a new or established, but still building development near the DFW/HOU/SAT/AUS triangle.…But for real, I think Texas … cost of living is lower than many places….
Yikes. I think I saw somewhere that 44% of houses sold last year were purchased by private equity... Yet we have a housing shortage. This is all going to lead to a major crash at some point, quite possibly worse than 2006/2008.That is not so true an adage anymore. This is becoming more and more the case for a tract house in a new or established, but still building development near the DFW/HOU/SAT/AUS triangle.
It’s a production build by a mid-range builder that doesn’t do semi-custom at all. Call it a step above DR Horton.
That kind of pricing affects resale and surrounding developments and no, wages don’t support that so most end up house rich and cash poor with a 3% down 30-yr note at $7K/month.
I grew up about 90 miles NW of Houston. I remember summers and getting out of the shower and not being able to dry off because of the humidity. We lived just outside falling range of the water tower. It would get so hot that the water coming out of the cold water faucet would burn a person. Pop would turn off the hot water heater (I know) so we could get cool water to shower with.Um. Low humidity? In west TX, sure. But have you been to Houston? Ugh. At least it's a soaking wet heat.
Yikes. I think I saw somewhere that 44% of houses sold last year were purchased by private equity... Yet we have a housing shortage. This is all going to lead to a major crash at some point, quite possibly worse than 2006/2008.
Of course.Eh, market dynamics are different.
But the demand is artificially being doubled by all of this private equity investment, which is pricing real people out of the market.Until demand for homes drops, prices won’t because builders aren’t building an excess of homes.
Any idea why we're not building more?Annualized permit numbers show new construction permits are well below the 2005-2008 peaks. Like a third below and that’s part of the problem, especially long term since Gen X is smaller than Y that’s smaller than the Millenials wo, as a group, now outnumber Baby Boomers as the largest generation.
Yeah, I'm pretty much stuck here I think. Been in this house for 10 years. I couldn't even afford to sell it and buy it back right now - My payment would be 350% of what it is currently.What we’re starting to see is people staying in the same house for longer periods. I think the national average is up to 13 yrs now vice 7-8 just a few years ago. We’d like a different place that’s better suited to our wants/needs, but the financing to do so is unpalatable for us, so we expect to stay put for another 8-12 years, taking us to 20+ years on the same house.
I’m not so sure that’s a big player down here. Apartment rents are level or down, sometimes significantly so with vacancies still higher than average.Of course.
But the demand is artificially being doubled by all of this private equity investment, which is pricing real people out of the market.
Builders and bankers learned from 2008 that excess supply is bad.…Any idea why we're not building more?
Yeah stopped in to Houston area (Katy) once back in the mid 90s. Middle of summer and hot and humid. Horrible traffic. At the time my brother worked Sugarland tower. Guess they have a “big boy” tower now though.Most people don't talk trash about their home... If it's that bad, they'd leave!
Um. Low humidity? In west TX, sure. But have you been to Houston? Ugh. At least it's a soaking wet heat.
Well, you kinda need a plane to just get around the state!
But for real, I think Texas is good for GA because, unlike FL/AZ and other spots with generally good weather, TX doesn't have as much training activity and there's a lot more area to spread everyone out in so traffic isn't bad away from the big cities, cost of living is lower than many places so you have more $$ to spend on flying, and your $100 hamburger runs all have good BBQ at the other end.
And while TX has fire ants, scorpions, Jerry Jones, and various other nasty critters, they also have brisket tacos and that forgives a lot of sins.
Interesting. Of course, a lot of people wanted to get out of an apartment and into a house during Covid, and interest rates were historically low, so maybe it's still recovering from that.I’m not so sure that’s a big player down here. Apartment rents are level or down, sometimes significantly so with vacancies still higher than average.
Yes, which leads me to believe I'm not the only one that thinks all this PE investment is inevitably going to lead to a crash.Builders and bankers learned from 2008 that excess supply is bad.
This is a more common model down here.…But, I think PE buying homes is kind of everywhere...
Seems like it might have some of the same effects... Or maybe is driven by them! I wonder what's going to happen to all those people when it's time to go to the nursing home and they have zero equity in anything. Drop 'em off at the dump?This is a more common model down here.
Why build-to-rent communities are growing in San Antonio area
Communities of single-family homes constructed specifically for the rental market are cropping up around the San Antonio metro area.sanantonioreport.org
…. I wonder what's going to happen to all those people when it's time to go to the nursing home and they have zero equity in anything. …
I'd bet a good bit that the vast majority do not save $583/mo over 40 years, especially if they're paying thousands in rent. I wonder what the equivalent home in that area would cost to buy. Having someone else take care of the property is certainly a bonus, but it also means you're paying someone to do that in your rent, and rent will obviously increase over time.Equity doesn’t only come in real estate. $583/month over 40 years compounds out to a little over $1.1M at 6%. That’s also all it takes to max out an IRA. Half of Americans aged 18-74 carry credit card debt with the average debt load being $6470 at 21% interest.
$583/mo is also less than the average new car payment today and is about the same as the average used car payment today.
The choice to pay one’s self is tough, but math doesn’t care.I'd bet a good bit that the vast majority do not save $583/mo over 40 years, especially if they're paying thousands in rent..
~$200K for new contsruction 3/2/2. Median household income here is $67K. Take off 15% for taxes and you net ~$57K, or $4800/mo. Average rents are $1100/mo, average mortgage is $1600. That’s nearly $500/mo right there with flexibility and mobility to move where there’s more money to be made. But for argument’s sake, $1600/month for shelter, leaves $3200. Two average car payments leaves $2000. Investing 15% of 67K is 837.50. There’s $1200/mo left for food, clothing, and utilities. That’s tight, but doable. Rent at $1100/mo and you create another $500/mo of margin.… I wonder what the equivalent home in that area would cost to buy...
Let me introduce you to my parents. They bought their first home at 40yrs of age in 1973 and stayed in that house until 2010, then moved to senior living, graduated to assisted living, and finished in skilled nursing facility. The house cost $27,000 in 1973, was paid for in 1985, and sold for $168K.…While equity doesn't only come in real estate, it's a good investment and all the older folks I've known who are/were in assisted living facilities paid for it by selling their homes.
True... What I'm saying is, a large number of people don't make enough to even make that choice.The choice to pay one’s self is tough, but math doesn’t care.
Good numbers. But, half of people are making below median. Those doing better than median can obviously make things work.~$200K for new contsruction 3/2/2. Median household income here is $67K. Take off 15% for taxes and you net ~$57K, or $4800/mo. Average rents are $1100/mo, average mortgage is $1600. That’s nearly $500/mo right there with flexibility and mobility to move where there’s more money to be made. But for argument’s sake, $1600/month for shelter, leaves $3200. Two average car payments leaves $2000. Investing 15% of 67K is 837.50. There’s $1200/mo left for food, clothing, and utilities. That’s tight, but doable. Rent at $1100/mo and you create another $500/mo of margin.
Interesting. I have never worked for an employer with tuition assistance. That said, I also tend to work for smaller companies where I can have a voice and make a difference, which is likely why.That leaves the elephant in the room…student loans. They are a non-starter for me. Every employer I’ve worked for, including our local grocery, had a tuition assistance program, even for part timers. Most school districts have some sort of dual credit program. The resources exist to avoid student loans. I avoided them for my bachelor’s and Master’s. My son did, too. My daughter didn’t need them, but took about $40K to finance a lifestyle that the 529 funds didn’t plan for.
I'm going to disagree with this.True... What I'm saying is, a large number of people don't make enough to even make that choice.
Good numbers. But, half of people are making below median. Those doing better than median can obviously make things work.
But, that kid fresh out of high school isn't making median.
Is that what the star means? Must be lots of expats or copycats up north.My brother lives in Abilene and has the star on the door, flag in the front yard, etc.
I hope that story ended in jail time for said idiot. Is that what precipitated him becoming "ex"?He's the same idiot who was showing off his handgun at his buddies 21st. Dropped the clip pointed at his friend and pulled the trigger. There was one in the chamber.
Half of the housing payments are also below the median. The problem is when someone making below the median tries to live like they make above the median. Of course there are significant issues around the margin, but that's true everywhere.Good numbers. But, half of people are making below median.
Worse, it promotes borrowing to spend so that one's actual standard of living declines as the debt is serviced.I'm going to disagree with this.
No matter where you are on the income scale, if you have a job you can put at least 5% into long-term savings/investment.
The way I explained it to my kids was like this:
Look up and down your street or apartment row. I guarantee that someone there is getting by on 10% less than you have. Live like they do and bank the difference.
Anyone can do it. Unfortunately, our society teaches young people to spend rather than invest, so that's what we end up with.
But your yard is where the gusto is today!I recently had a meal at an upscale sushi restaurant that is excellent but very pricy considering other similar options in the area. My wife and I noted that about half of the patrons were young couples, perhaps early 20's to early 30's. The all had the latest, greatest cell phones...including some of the young children. It made us wonder how many of them were able to save for the future yet spend a significant amount of dough on luxuries. I've noticed that the expected standard of living has been raised quite a bit in the last 15 years but the emphasis on saving for the future has been replaced with the 'go for the gusto now...worry about the future later' attitude. Now, get of of my yard!!!
Why not save a little money and just go to a bait shop?an upscale sushi restaurant
but the emphasis on saving for the future has been replaced with the 'go for the gusto now...worry about the future later' attitude.
…But, that kid fresh out of high school isn't making median…
The stars at night are big and bright…Is that what the star means? Must be lots of expats or copycats up north.
Or this? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barnstar
Or they were on sale at walmart.
The stars at night are big and bright…
Not at all true. There is something called the poverty level for a reason.I'm going to disagree with this.
No matter where you are on the income scale, if you have a job you can put at least 5% into long-term savings/investment.
I think it's somewhat of a generational thing. My parents were always about saving for later, and it's worked well for them... But I also remember running into my dad's best friend at the airport one day after he dropped his wife off to go visit her family, and I may have been the last person to see him alive. He died in his sleep that night at age 64. I've just known a few too many people who have saved for later, and later never came for them.I've noticed that the expected standard of living has been raised quite a bit in the last 15 years but the emphasis on saving for the future has been replaced with the 'go for the gusto now...worry about the future later' attitude. Now, get of of my yard!!!
I hope they've more than doubled their income in 21 years, because inflation takes less than half of that time to cut the value of those dollars in half.The funny thing is most people will make more this year than they did last, and will continue to do so until they retire. By the time someone is 45, they’ve doubled their income from when they were 24. Put that in a marriage and it could be a double doubling.
State universities are fabulously well-endowed, but they have chosen to scale up the tuition and fees to consume most, if not all, of the money that students can borrow, and have concurrently entered into a collective contest to see which colleges can have the most opulent and lifestyle-feature-rich campuses.
No matter where you are on the income scale, if you have a job you can put at least 5% into long-term savings/investment.
The way I explained it to my kids was like this:
Look up and down your street or apartment row. I guarantee that someone there is getting by on 10% less than you have. Live like they do and bank the difference.
Anyone can do it. Unfortunately, our society teaches young people to spend rather than invest, so that's what we end up with.
I'm not sure that's even a recent thing. I was at my doctor's office yesterday and the nurse asked how I was enjoying retirement. She's in her mid 50s, so as we talked I asked if she was starting to make retirement plans. She said, "Oh, I don't know if I'll ever be able to retire. I don't have anything saved."
Now I don't know her life circumstance, so possibly she had some major life event that wiped out her bank account. It does happen, but more likely is that she hasn't been putting anything away, and it really gave me pause. It takes some intelligence to get a nursing degree, and she's probably been working for 30+ years, and nurses are paid reasonably well. How is it that an intelligent, educated, mature woman with a good job and income doesn't plan for her future?
I'm afraid an awful lot of people have put themselves in that situation.
The concept itself isn't the problem, it's the fact that there are no limits. In theory, loans should allow lower-income people to get ahead by getting educated earlier in life, and making enough extra money from that education that they can pay the loans back.Federally-guaranteed student loans (and, most importantly, student loans no longer being dischargeable in bankruptcy) are one of the greatest scams inflicted upon the populace as a whole but in my lifetime.
Agreed.My parents (hardly people of wealth) were covering my college expenses when I first went to college, but then again, tuition and fees at State University which I attended were very low. I parents cut me off why wasn't making good progress (a very wise decision), and when I resumed college while I have some tuition assistance from my employer, I was basically paying for it myself, as I went. For that matter, after my parents cut me off, I continued funding college while working to feed myself, and while I wasn't living a wild lifestyle, I was able to swing it. With tuition fees as they are now, I don't think this is any longer possible, and that is wrong.
...because that's how they attract students, and that's where a lot of that extra money goes.State universities are fabulously well-endowed, but they have chosen to scale up the tuition and fees to consume most, if not all, of the money that students can borrow, and have concurrently entered into a collective contest to see which colleges can have the most opulent and lifestyle-feature-rich campuses.