Florida in Crosshairs Again…. Milton

Here we go again,escaped any damage with Helene. Will be watching storm closely. The Tampa Bay Area seems to be a hot spot for storms this year
 
Looks like it will move fast. Right now landfall Wed afternoon and offshore around sunrise.
 
bflynn said:
Looks like it will move fast. Right now landfall Wed afternoon and offshore around sunrise.
Click to expand...

All depends on the storm surge, the timing of landfall and which side of the eye you’re on.
Florida is already having a insurance crisis, this isn’t going to help.
 
What I recall from when I lived in the Dakotas, was that salt was rarely used on the roads, as it usually was too cold for it to work. Sand at corners and intersections, typically. Usually snow-packed roads, not so much ice. And, no alligators on the golf courses, either.
 
I read this thread title and thought that some NIMBY group was targeting Whiting Field in Milton, FL. Haha!
 
40YearDream said:
What I recall from when I lived in the Dakotas, was that salt was rarely used on the roads, as it usually was too cold for it to work. Sand at corners and intersections, typically. Usually snow-packed roads, not so much ice. And, no alligators on the golf courses, either.
Click to expand...
yea, but they tend to stay at the edges near the water hazard. work on your game, and keep it in the middle of the fairway and you have no problems with the gators.
 
We have a family driving up to our house near Copperhill, TN, so that option is out. Still, if you want to fly in, our Honda Element is the crew car there, and there are likely motel rooms still available in the area.
 
MooneyDriver78 said:
All depends on the storm surge, the timing of landfall and which side of the eye you’re on.
Florida is already having a insurance crisis, this isn’t going to help.
Click to expand...

Right now both US&Euro models are predicting landfall just north of Tampa Bay, winds will be pushing the water right into the bay, this could get ugly.
 
Most of our company’s deployed aircraft that were helping Helene are now enroute to Tallahassee. If you look on flight radar we’ve got a train of helos stretching from Greenville SC to Macon GA. This is gonna be a big one.
 
JOhnH said:
I hate snow, cold wind, eternal darkness, tornadoes and icy, salty roads more than I hate hurricanes.
Click to expand...
Yeah, but at least when there's a tornado in North Dakota, the hang glider pilots aren't running around yelling, "Dirt's up!" :)

Ron Wanttaja
 
Dotted line is current track. Blue dot is my house. I've seen a lot of hurricanes in 21 years, and the track ALWAYS changes, so we're probably safe!
Screenshot_20241007-110134.png
But IF that exact track happens at high tide, you will see Godzilla-level destruction. Storm winds blow CCW, so there would be a 120mph wind blowing directly into the mouth of Tampa Bay at landfall. There is nowhere for that water to go. The upper ends of the bay are shallow, which means the water will accelerate and hit with greater force as it spills into the city of Tampa. The low areas in the bay are high dollar real estate. Davis Island, Harbor Island, and South Tampa are all mega bucks. Likewise the Gulf side of St Pete.
And let's not forget MacDill AFB, home to SOCOM and CENTCOM. Most of the base is just a few feet above sea level and pool table flat. I helped evacuate the base several times in the 2000's.
 
Now it’s going to be a category 5, it’s already at 155mph. I hope yall have an escape plan.
 
Milton reached cat 5, weather service reporting estimated winds of 160 mph and gusting higher.
 
Ed Haywood said:
Dotted line is current track. Blue dot is my house. I've seen a lot of hurricanes in 21 years, and the track ALWAYS changes, so we're probably safe!
View attachment 134135
But IF that exact track happens at high tide, you will see Godzilla-level destruction. Storm winds blow CCW, so there would be a 120mph wind blowing directly into the mouth of Tampa Bay at landfall. There is nowhere for that water to go. The upper ends of the bay are shallow, which means the water will accelerate and hit with greater force as it spills into the city of Tampa. The low areas in the bay are high dollar real estate. Davis Island, Harbor Island, and South Tampa are all mega bucks. Likewise the Gulf side of St Pete.
And let's not forget MacDill AFB, home to SOCOM and CENTCOM. Most of the base is just a few feet above sea level and pool table flat. I helped evacuate the base several times in the 2000's.
Click to expand...
My 90-year old mother in law just moved to Lakeland like a month ago from NY. Sending prayers for everyone in the path. Seems like it strengthened unexpectedly and fast.
 
mryan75 said:
My 90-year old mother in law just moved to Lakeland like a month ago from NY. Sending prayers for everyone in the path. Seems like it strengthened unexpectedly and fast.
Click to expand...
Without family support structure? Seems imprudent given that level of advanced age. As someone with aging parents in the Caribbean, I'm keenly aware of the ask. Hope she's being looked after. Hurricane reconstruction recovery with power loss at that age is essentially an evacuation/rescue operation from the jump. These folks are not independent enough to crawl out of a debris ridden street, let alone a flooded out one, regardless of what level of mental lucidity they purport to possess. No offense to the geriatrics on here, not trying to be gratuitously ageist.
 
mryan75 said:
My 90-year old mother in law just moved to Lakeland like a month ago from NY. Sending prayers for everyone in the path. Seems like it strengthened unexpectedly and fast.
Click to expand...

Lakeland is far enough inland that she should be safe. Most houses are reinforced concrete block and can easily withstand a direct hit as long as no water issues.

The challenge is the aftermath. Lost power, blocked streets, etc. Is she alone or does she have someone to care for her?
 
eman1200 said:
Surface winds?
Click to expand...
I believe so, but am unsure as the discussion didn't state whether or not they were surface. They are now reporting possible wind speeds of up to 175.
 
SkyChaser said:
I believe so, but am unsure as the discussion didn't state whether or not they were surface. They are now reporting possible wind speeds of up to 175.
Click to expand...

It’s strengthening so quickly, will it reach 200?
 
I am on a 62 Lagoon about 250 miles north of Bermuda heading that way…was going to be a fuel stop and quick turn south to STT but looks like we will ride it out there…this has taken everyone by surprise and we use professional routers…most of the large marine traffic we past in the last 12 hrs are just making steerage to figure out a plan.
 
MooneyDriver78 said:
It’s strengthening so quickly, will it reach 200?
Click to expand...
I have no idea. I think they were expecting it to weaken some after making landfall on Mexico today, and again as it draws closer to the FL coast due to disruptive wind shear, but weather is very unpredictable. As we all well know. :)
 
TCABM said:
That’s never fun. If it’s flyable, can you have someone else relocate it for you? Some insurers will cover that cost.
Click to expand...
Weather is already marginal VFR and getting worse. Lakeland is reporting bkn 011 ovc 021. Anything VFR-only is stuck.

PXL_20241007_185450320.jpg
 
SkyChaser said:
I have no idea. I think they were expecting it to weaken some after making landfall on Mexico today, and again as it draws closer to the FL coast due to disruptive wind shear, but weather is very unpredictable. As we all well know. :)
Click to expand...

Well, now it’s 180.
 
Florida people near the path, get the heck out of there.
 
The size and strength of this thing, nearly the entire Florida peninsula should be evacuated.
 
Ed Haywood said:
Dotted line is current track. Blue dot is my house. I've seen a lot of hurricanes in 21 years, and the track ALWAYS changes, so we're probably safe!
View attachment 134135
But IF that exact track happens at high tide, you will see Godzilla-level destruction. Storm winds blow CCW, so there would be a 120mph wind blowing directly into the mouth of Tampa Bay at landfall. There is nowhere for that water to go. The upper ends of the bay are shallow, which means the water will accelerate and hit with greater force as it spills into the city of Tampa. The low areas in the bay are high dollar real estate. Davis Island, Harbor Island, and South Tampa are all mega bucks. Likewise the Gulf side of St Pete.
And let's not forget MacDill AFB, home to SOCOM and CENTCOM. Most of the base is just a few feet above sea level and pool table flat. I helped evacuate the base several times in the 2000's.
Click to expand...
i hope it goes well north of you, that takes it even farther from me! im just glad the harvard is still in NV and not at PGD yet.
 
midwestpa24 said:
The size and strength of this thing, nearly the entire Florida peninsula should be evacuated.
Click to expand...

Not happening, the roads are already packed, you just can’t move millions of people around.
And there’s a chance another storm will form north of the Bahamas.
 
MooneyDriver78 said:
Not happening, the roads are already packed, you just can’t move millions of people around.
Click to expand...
I can imagine, only one way out of Florida. At least there is still a little time. Only problem is everyone that waits until the last minute, it will get worse.

Wonder if anyone would take their chances and head south to Miami or the Keys to get away from this one.
 
midwestpa24 said:
I can imagine, only one way out of Florida. At least there is still a little time. Only problem is everyone that waits until the last minute, it will get worse.

Wonder if anyone would take their chances and head south to Miami or the Keys to get away from this one.
Click to expand...

Definitely, the west/east shuffle is SOP. I’ve done it myself.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top