Yup. Sorry to hear it. But we didn't get to 300,000 dead americans by taking common sense precautions. :-(
Stay safe...
Wasn’t anything common sense available. Even the “experts” still haven’t learned to say “I don’t know” when they don’t.
380,000 cases is "relatively few"? Compared to what?
You must be watching Fox NEWS...
Actually it is when compared to a population of 340M. 1% death rate is still 3.4M. Nothing has materially changed yet to change that number.
Some things are closer. But the number hasn’t changed yet.
And it’s still 4X lower than initial linear estimates after “curve stopping”.
People really haven’t gotten the scale of the numbers into their collective psyches yet.
If the WORLD gets out of this at 1% fatality rate overall, we got LUCKY because we completely missed something VERY positive in the estimates and math.
And that’s smoothing it over vastly different geography and population densities. We already know it doesn’t work that way. We also flat out know now that even in the most heavy behavior change locations, that death rate isn’t varying by a very significant margin. It’s just keeping it linear instead of exponential.
Linear growth continues until a peak and reversal until it’s over... 300K is barely into “statistically significant” depending on error margin. Thankfully “deaths” doesn’t have much of an error margin. “Cases” has a large enough error margin to make it barely useable as a metric.
At least we’re seeing more folks who have made that jump to the final grief stage about these numbers and have decided to personally adapt as needed... instead of being stuck at the earlier stages of emotions.
Less and less people stuck thinking modern medicine has answers for everything with a pill.
Seven degrees of Kevin Bacon.
Apply it to this and you’ll know how small the world is and who’s going to know someone killed. This math isn’t that hard, unfortunately.
Nature wants a little rampage. We humans will make only marginal dents in it.
Storm’s a’blowin’.