I think the DOT thing may be relevant for some Docs, Rich
@RJM62, but we do exactly that biz (software platform for DOT drug screening) and there's all sorts of Docs who don't mind at all. Some even operate out of vans at truck stops. Ha.
I've been voicing that opinion since Doc B voiced his concern about the liability.
There's always going to be a Doc so broke they need the money. Third divorce, had to give up the county club membership, $1.2M still on the mortgage...
LOL. Sad I know, but there's always someone with the piece of paper to do the "Doc" job who isn't necessarily a good Doc, but who needs the cash. The pool of possible options for people who can sign the paper goes from vetted Docs the FAA approves of, to nearly every Doc in the US.
Just by the numbers and the odds, it's not going to be hard to find a signature.
After that, it becomes an insurance numbers game. Is aviation big enough and are aviation lawsuits large enough after that to make it an uninsurable thing? And how long will it take the lawyers to do that? Most cases take years, so it'll be a while before actuaries have hard numbers.
And never rule out the stranglehold insurance biz has on politicians. If it gets too expensive and Docs want to do it, liability doesn't stand in their way very long at all. Medical insurance companies have nearly as much power in DC as the American Bar Assn. They literally buy politicians to gain immunity from many things.
I think it'll take a long time to hash out. Pricing will probably go up, though.
A more direct example: The Docs signing "medical" marijuana cards all over the country, don't pay for the car wrecks of their "patients". Granted they aren't signing papers that say someone is medically fit to drive, but all the Docs have to do is say they're limited to what they can do, or run a bunch of profitable but unnecessary tests to document their opinion, and the paper will get signed. $1000/medical. Here's the liability waiver and head on across the street for an MRI and a CT. We got a good deal on parking the mobile testing truck in the parking lot...