Dan Thomas
Touchdown! Greaser!
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Dan Thomas
The problem with maintenance-induced failures is that there's really no clues on how common they are.mx induced failure.
72.35% Of all statistics are made up on the spot.
To be clear, I'm not bemoaning that as a grievance. That's just what it is, an affair replete in plausible deniability. I also get that means nothing when it comes to getting your money back, but it can mean something when it comes to making a participation risk assessment in the first place, which is what the OP appears to bring up for discussion.The problem with maintenance-induced failures is that there's really no clues on how common they are.
About two and a half percent of my Cessna 172 accidents (1998-2021) are either factory-induced or maintenance-induced failures. About 8.2% of all the 172 accidents were due to mechanical issues, so roughly a third of them had a builder/maintainer issues.
The other two-thirds? We don't really know. Sure, some of them (maybe most of them) were related to prior maintenance, but there's no NTSB data to confirm it. Parts do wear, parts do break. You could consider it a maintenance error that the A&P should have caught it at the last annual, but, again, there's nothing proving that.
Ron Wanttaja
Exactly. But one problem with tracking those events is they require a signature in the book to make the determination.The problem with maintenance-induced failures is that there's really no clues on how common they are.
And owners wonder why the A&P population is thinning. Dishonesty and lies will do that.In the 3rd case no determination could be made so the last person to sign the book properly got A&P suspended even though there was photographic evidence work had been performed after his sign off.
Actually, I did find about seven cases in the 172 accident list where the NTSB Investigator mentioned failure to overhaul the engine at the proper interval as a contributing factor. Doesn't mean there aren't more; doesn't mean there aren't a LOT more.How about some stats on lack-of-maintenance-induced failures? I bet that number is considerably worse than maintenance-induced failures. If it's not, why do we bother with maintenance?
I had one this week, a failed air mass flow sensor on a 2017 car. That was fixed, then one injector replaced per the OBD, and now the Check Engine light still won’t stay out. More parts will likely need to be thrown at it, almost randomly and at great cost, until the OBD God is satisfied.I drive a car five times as much (by hours) as I drive, yet haven't had an engine failure (e.g. needed a tow) for 30+ years.
Closer comparison would be a boat.
And have been since the 1960s, at least. They have been much modified and there are aftermarket manufacturers that make the entire thing, with displacements to 2 litres and beyond, pumping out 80 HP.Apparently aircraft with Beatle engines are a thing too.
Was thinking about this yesterday as I strapped up to fly aerobatics. People have different levels of tolerance to cognitive dissonance. Some pilots cannot hold two contradictory thoughts in their mind, and try to reconcile the conflict. IMO you can never be too well trained or maintained, but you are still doing something inherently dangerous and may well die from it.Pilots like to look at statistics and accident reports so they can justify to themselves that it must have been the pilot or there was something they would have done different if it was them. Almost every pilot in an accident thought before takeoff “it wouldn’t happen to me. I’m a better /more careful /more experienced pilot than average”. Yet statistics show that just isn’t true. You will face an in flight emergency if you fly enough and there is a possibility you may die because of it. We can do things like recurrent training and keeping up on maintenance to try and tip the scales a little more in our favor but the truth is that flying is risky and every time you go up there is always a chance you may not come back. The best you can do is make sure you are proficient enough to not make an emergency any worse than it needs to be. An engine failure isn’t a death sentence but trying to stretch a glide to the airport and stalling it in after the engine failed sure is.
But they were not originally designed as an aircraft engine. The O-320 was.
Nothing passive about the cooling. The system is engineered to work adequately, and it avoids the weight and risk of loss of liquid coolants. It also gets more airflow when the RPM, and therefore relative power and waste heat, is higher.No matter how much better the O-320 is at cooling than a VW or how much more reinforced tha crankshaft is, it still relies on variable passive airflow for cooling, imprecise fuel delivery resulting in non-ideal combustion chamber temps/air-fuel mixtures, and lacks features like knock sensors which prevent you from being able to see through a hole in the top of your piston after a hard days work.
Nothing passive about the cooling. The system is engineered to work adequately, and it avoids the weight and risk of loss of liquid coolants. It also gets more airflow when the RPM, and therefore relative power and waste heat, is higher.
Yes, the fuel delivery, especially for carbed systems, is a bit rough, but in many (most) of those engines I have flown, the mixtures have been so even between cylinders that the RPM falls without vibration when I lean that engine. Roughness would indicate uneven distribution. Aircraft fuel injection is far better, especially with the GAMI nozzles designed for particular engines. Even Continental sends out their engines now with such nozzles.
Knock sensors are not required if the engine is operated within POH/AFM parameters and the correct fuel is used. These engines aren't the 10:1+ compression-ratio engines found in cars now. CRs are much lower for most.
The O-320 is indeed as reliable as the Corolla's engine. It is designed to put out full power for its entire TBO of 2000 hours. At 130 MPH, that's 260,000 miles. And when it is torn down, if it received proper oil changes, it will still be good for another 1500 hours. There are 320s with well over 4000 hours on them.Not sure what your point is - you think that an O-320 is as reliable as a Corolla 4-cylinder?
They (a/c pistons engines) are simple and good for the job - I never said they weren't. I maintain that the modern add-ons of your daily driver make that engine more dependable. That's all I was saying to begin with.
The O-320 is indeed as reliable as the Corolla's engine. It is designed to put out full power for its entire TBO of 2000 hours. At 130 MPH, that's 260,000 miles. And when it is torn down, if it received proper oil changes, it will still be good for another 1500 hours. There are 320s with well over 4000 hours on them.
The 320 has magnetos, and most have carbs. Magnetos are still being used because they do not rely on the aircraft's electrical system. Carbs, same thing. When I was in Power Mechanics in high school in 1967 or so, the instructor told us that 90% of engine troubles were electrical, not mechanical. And in all those years since then, I have found that he was absolutely right. In all the vehicles I owned, the electrical system gave the most trouble. Generators or alternators, distributor (whether points-and-condenser or electronic) all suffered from wear, vibration, heat and cold, age, corrosion and the like. And when anything in the system that feeds the electronic ignition or electronic fuel injection fails, the car's engine quits dead.
Sure, there are airplanes with EI and EFI, but the safe ones (and all the certified ones) have backup electrical systems, whether it's a separate second alternator and battery or just a battery, and separate supply buses, just to keep things running. Lycoming has its iE2 engine that has EI and EFI plus backup systems, but it isn't cheap. Cheap and safe just don't go together. It's a major reason why flying is expensive, after all.
FWIW: I dont think its driven by mystery at all. To me it simply boils down to person themselves whether they want to work on their aircraft.Maintenance is portrayed as a dark art that only federally licensed wizards are allowed to partake in.
Let's make a distinction between two things which you are combining:
Is O-320 reliable - compared to it's peers? I'm not saying anything about this question, because I don't know much about the engine compared to it's peers. So I can't respond to anything you say on this.
Is O-320 as reliable as modern engine? This I do know the answer to, and sorry to disappoint, but it is not. If you want to disagree the burden is on you, because knock sensors, O2 sensors, airflow sensors, ambient air temperatures, cylinder misfire sensors, all feed into a computer which manages air fuel mixture better than the red baron. This has resulted in automotive engine breakdowns becoming basically a non-issue.
Carbureted oil cooled engines are inefficient and prone to poor combustion when compared to the modern alternative. Remember, I'm comparing to the modern alternative, not making a objective statement about the engine.
Have you ever driven a carbureted car? Started a lawnmower in the spring? Unless I'm missing something fundamentally different about a/c carburetors, oil coolers, and aluminum fins then they are indeed NOT as reliable as a Corolla.
To summarize: 2020 tech is better than 1950's. Duh.
If automobile engines were powerful enough and reliable enough to work in planes the OEM’s would have switched long ago. But they aren’t. You run a car engine like a plane engine at high power, low altitude, high altitude, outside air temp changing 30-40 degrees every flight, and they will grenade. The closest we have seen were the Thielert diesels, which were an utter disaster for diamond. The Mercedes converted Austro’s are better, but certainly not as powerful or as light as their gas powered counterparts, and have not been proven to be more reliable. A lot of diamond diesels have landed off field. One just burned up in Spanish fork Utah after an emergency landing. And nothing in the automotive world even comes anywhere close to a turbine in power to weight and reliability. So one day car engines may catch up to airplane engines, but they haven’t yet.
I don't know, almost 400k miles on my original engine 2000 4runner. NEVER had any repairs done on the engine (other than change spark plugs). Leaks very little oil, and frankly, there were more than few missed oil changes and deferred maintenance. The only issue was failed alternator back when it was still under warranty. Plan on reaching 500k. Those engines are legendary and have the perfect balance of old and new tech.
My MINI stranded me at 80k miles when the water pump failed.
Then a little past 100k miles it stranded me when the timing chain tensioner bolt failed and created a massive oil leak.
Then at 120k miles the turbo failed.
Finally at 150k the timing chain broke, allowing a piston to punch a valve. I scrapped the car at that point, as a new engine cost more than the value of the car.
Just remember that averages have no power over individuals.
You run a car engine like a plane engine at high power, low altitude, high altitude, outside air temp changing 30-40 degrees every flight, and they will grenade.
And nothing in the automotive world even comes anywhere close to a turbine in power to weight and reliability.
The O-320 doesn't come apart, as in throw a rod or something unless there was a serious flaw in its manufacture, or it had a propstrike that was never addressed. Or the pilot never checked the oil, using the airplane as he did his car, and it ran out of oil and blew up.Is O-320 as reliable as modern engine? This I do know the answer to, and sorry to disappoint, but it is not. If you want to disagree the burden is on you, because knock sensors, O2 sensors, airflow sensors, ambient air temperatures, cylinder misfire sensors, all feed into a computer which manages air fuel mixture better than the red baron. This has resulted in automotive engine breakdowns becoming basically a non-issue.
Carbureted oil cooled engines are inefficient and prone to poor combustion when compared to the modern alternative. Remember, I'm comparing to the modern alternative, not making a objective statement about the engine.
Have you ever driven a carbureted car? Started a lawnmower in the spring? Unless I'm missing something fundamentally different about a/c carburetors, oil coolers, and aluminum fins then they are indeed NOT as reliable as a Corolla.
To summarize: 2020 tech is better than 1950's. Duh.
Exactly what I was saying. That alternator feeds EVERY electrical item in that car, and if it quits, the battery isn't going to last long at all. The EI and EFI alone take a bunch of amps. All the fancy sensors and stuff take some more. Alternators have field brushes in them that carry the field current to the rotor winding, and when a brush fails by wearing out, the field goes dead and the alternator produces nothing.The only issue was failed alternator back when it was still under warranty. Plan on reaching 500k.
If the 1950 car was properly maintained, and that didn't take a lot of work, it ran fine until it just wore right out. Keep the carb and filters clean. Replace the points and condenser and plugs every 12K miles or so. Keep the generator brushes in good shape. And that engine would run forever. What it didn't do was run far beyond 100K miles without wearing out, and that was due to the lubricants of the time (no synthetics) and the older metallurgy. New aircraft engines are using synthetic oils and new metallurgy just like modern cars.Let's leave a/c out of the question for a second: are modern automobile engines more reliable than their 1950s counterparts? Why?
The one thing you leave out in this discussion that is usually part of the auto engine vs aircraft engine debate are the international aviation certification requirements. And as discussed in detail in other PoA threads one the hardest certification requirement for a "modern" auto engine to pass are the fire prevention tests.This has resulted in automotive engine breakdowns becoming basically a non-issue.
My Continental A-65, built in 1946, has hydraulic valve lifters. Cars didn't get those for about 15 more years, or more. Mechanical fuel injection was available in some Chevys in the 1950s, after aircraft had been using it for some time. Turbo- and superchargers were used during WW2, 60 years before they became common in cars.
From Wiki:What ever happened to the Porsche powered Mooney?
Electronic ignition.I have no idea what EI is.
Add EFI and water cooling to a lycoming and your TBO will increase.
If water cooled engines were superior to Lycs and Conti's for aviation, they would be used instead.
Engines like the Allison and Merlin V-12s were liquid-cooled to reduce profile drag (radials can have a LOT of that) and to get as much HP out of limited cubic inches as possible. But those airplanes needed some very cleverly-designed coolant systems to reduce cooling drag, and yet they were still often brought down by one bullet hole through a rad or coolant pipe.I am very curious about this. In WW2, fighters used both types of engine. The main advantage of the liquid-cooled engines was fuel economy (it certainly wasn't durability). Air-cooled powered planes could go just as fast and just as high, but they used more fuel to do it.
It seems like there must be a point at which liquid-cooled engines produce less drag than air-cooled engines, but I don't know where that point is. If there is such a point, that performance level would probably be the bread-and-butter of turbine aircraft, rendering all of this purely academic.
Engines like the Allison and Merlin V-12s were liquid-cooled to reduce profile drag (radials can have a LOT of that) and to get as much HP out of limited cubic inches as possible.