Let's Discuss Manned EVTOL's

They do, to the tune of around 16 billion dollars for the fuel used to run them.
https://www.eesi.org/papers/view/fa...-closer-look-at-tax-breaks-and-societal-costs

That doesn't count the state subsidies:
https://www.theguardian.com/environ...sidising-worlds-biggest-fossil-fuel-companies

The EV subsidies have a cap to each manufacturer
https://afdc.energy.gov/laws/electric-vehicles-for-tax-credit

Subsidizing fuel is not the same as subsidizing the cars. EVs are currently subsidized on both "fuel" and the actual cars. I don't appreciate the subsidies for electric cars because my tax dollars could be doing something productive instead of going to someone who can afford to buy a $40,000, $50,000, $60,000 or $70,000 car.
 
NASA sent astronauts in orbit on Soyuz spacecraft as far back as 1975 and risk management is in question? We’ve been to the moon before. Some of those dudes are still alive.

Space may be hard, but going back to the moon is literally nothing new. We did it with slide rules and cigarettes. At least with the e-plane race, the organizers are challenging state of tech. It really kind of reminds of those challenegs Rutan took on with project like Voyager and AeroVironment’s Helios.


I don't think we're willing to accept the same level of risk today that they accepted back then.
 
I suspect that you don’t think much of anything new. You don’t resent your taxes subsidizing regular ICE cars?


Oh brother.

I'm an engineer. I have been creating new technology all my life, with patents and awards to prove it. But that also means I have some ability to assess technical viability.
 
I don't think we're willing to accept the same level of risk today that they accepted back then.

I mean it’s not like they haven’t been to Mars, Jupiter, or even left the solar system or anything. I find it hard to believe nothing was learned from those efforts or from manned space programs, either.

But that was my point….all this transferrable knowledge, yet there are things we still learn. So is it unreasonable to take the sum of what we know, do some experimenting and test with some limits so we can make technological advances?

None of that is market viability…it’s research and development/developmental testing to validate the current state of the art. What is learned from those experiments can be used to inform future work. From a risk management standpoint, I can certainly understand reasons why the race organizer might want the downtime exclusion, specifically because of valid risks involved with speed events.
 
Oh brother.

I'm an engineer. I have been creating new technology all my life, with patents and awards to prove it. But that also means I have some ability to assess technical viability.
Yet electric cars are technically viable and you still discount them. They have proven themselves for some years.
 
Subsidizing fuel is not the same as subsidizing the cars. EVs are currently subsidized on both "fuel" and the actual cars. I don't appreciate the subsidies for electric cars because my tax dollars could be doing something productive instead of going to someone who can afford to buy a $40,000, $50,000, $60,000 or $70,000 car.
I agree the subsidies are not the same. The car subsidy will go away and the fuel subsidy won't. If I had an EV, my "fuel" isn't subsidized any more than the "fuel" for my electric stove. The EV would be plugged in at night at my house. The city owns the electric plant here and isn't subsidized.
 
I agree the subsidies are not the same. The car subsidy will go away and the fuel subsidy won't. If I had an EV, my "fuel" isn't subsidized any more than the "fuel" for my electric stove. The EV would be plugged in at night at my house. The city owns the electric plant here and isn't subsidized.

They put in a solar "garden" in the fields near my house when I lived in MN. Both the state and the federal government heavily subsidized the project. Unless you're planning to solely use electricity produced by coal-burning power plants, your fuel for your electric car would also be subsidized. And I certainly hope that the electric car subsidies go away. Research grants, I can understand and get behind. What doesn't make sense is rewarding people who either can't handle their own finances and are buying a car that is worth their entire yearly income or rewarding people who already make a very good salary. Especially when the government really should be putting that money towards paying down the debt and funding more important things.
 
Unless you're planning to solely use electricity produced by coal-burning power plants, your fuel for your electric car would also be subsidized.
I'm sorry- you are partly correct. Here in Nebraska, they use mostly coal and I forgot about the federal coal subsidy. Natural gas is also subsidized, so EV's do get subsidized "fuel" as well as ICE cars. AFAIK, wind energy isn't subsidized in the same way although the companies behind those projects get tax credits and loan guarantees for a time period. So yes, EV's do get "fuel" subsidies
 
No, it took you nearly 2 years to find that. The quoted post was from Dec 2022, and it's September 2024 now. Two years > 10 seconds.
lol. Lame. But it’s all you got.

But it has been two more years of no real progress with evtols
 
I'll stick with my small drones. Yes, I am Part 107 certified.

To answer your question(s)...
1) None
2) None
3) Nope
4) $0.00
 
lol. Lame. But it’s all you got.

But it has been two more years of no real progress with evtols
Not in the USA.
China is flying passengers in them as of this year:
 
But it has been two more years of no real progress with evtols
Except it depends on your viewpoint and definition of “progress.” From the aircraft certification side eVTOLs have accomplished more in a shorter time frame than most other aircraft have done today or in years past.

I can think of 3 current clean-sheet aircraft that are taking longer in the cert process plus benefit from decades long design principals, a long-established certification regulatory structure, and methods/practices from other aircraft models.

In comparison, eVTOLs have zero long established design principals, regulatory structure, or previous models to pull from. So while eVTOL development may appear to you to be slow, its actually moving at a rate unheard of in the industry.

And the fact the CAAC has type certificated 2 eVTOLs with a 3rd in the TC, and started exports those eVTOLs, the clock has started for the other regulatory authorities to catch up. My bet is 2028 will be the year that the FAA and EASA will catch up to the CAAC and the race will be on from there.
 
Except it depends on your viewpoint and definition of “progress.” From the aircraft certification side eVTOLs have accomplished more in a shorter time frame than most other aircraft have done today or in years past.

I can think of 3 current clean-sheet aircraft that are taking longer in the cert process plus benefit from decades long design principals, a long-established certification regulatory structure, and methods/practices from other aircraft models.

In comparison, eVTOLs have zero long established design principals, regulatory structure, or previous models to pull from. So while eVTOL development may appear to you to be slow, its actually moving at a rate unheard of in the industry.

And the fact the CAAC has type certificated 2 eVTOLs with a 3rd in the TC, and started exports those eVTOLs, the clock has started for the other regulatory authorities to catch up. My bet is 2028 will be the year that the FAA and EASA will catch up to the CAAC and the race will be on from there.
Ah yes, THIS will be the year they really take off.
 
lol. Always the comedian.
What's funny? eVTOLS exist now and carry passengers.
 
What's funny? eVTOLS exist now and carry passengers.
From your own article.

which will open fully later in the year

Always funny. As if tiny tourism operations in China are any type of “success”. Not in my book. And as shown, it’ll be this year for sure. Lol
 
Ha. Since it actually happened LAST year.

So what is in your book? What would you need to see for an eVTOL to be considered successful in your eyes?
Well, just for a start, and mind you, this isn’t everything it would take…. Actually seeing one in real life make a few back to back flights in person. Just as a start. I know, that’s asking so much.
 
Ha. Since it actually happened LAST year.
So, you feel we should take seriously an article in the past that said it would happen in the future as if that means it’s now actually happened? Okey dokey then.
 
From your own article.



Always funny. As if tiny tourism operations in China are any type of “success”. Not in my book. And as shown, it’ll be this year for sure. Lol
You are cherry-picking the data. Read BOTH references.

Chinese urban air mobility (UAM) company EHang has completed the first passenger-carrying flights of its electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft in Wencheng, China as part of the development of tourism services in the region.

EHang confirmed that it had delivered 27 EH216-S eVTOLs from a 30-strong order to the Wencheng County Transportation Development Group, which has already used one of the aircraft for a sightseeing tour at Tianding Lake.
Emphasis mine.

As for tourism operations, I've been to China. You almost certainly haven't. Baiyun (White Cloud) Mountain (in Guangzhou) does very well. As does Shenzhen Safari Park. Suzhou is famous for their gardens. The Yu Garden in Shanghai is popular. Wencheng already has the scenic spots and people visit them. They are just adding something else to the existing operations.
 
You are cherry-picking the data. Read BOTH references.


Emphasis mine.

As for tourism operations, I've been to China. You almost certainly haven't. Baiyun (White Cloud) Mountain (in Guangzhou) does very well. As does Shenzhen Safari Park. Suzhou is famous for their gardens. The Yu Garden in Shanghai is popular. Wencheng already has the scenic spots and people visit them. They are just adding something else to the existing operations.
A tiny tourism operation (in china, very different risk acceptance) doing very short sight flights, not yet in full swing is not impressive. It’s kind of a sign of how wrong you are frankly.
 
A tiny tourism operation (in china, very different risk acceptance) doing very short sight flights, not yet in full swing is not impressive. It’s kind of a sign of how wrong you are frankly.
You haven't shown I'm wrong- you are just stating an uninformed opinion.
I once paid for a helicopter ride in Orlando. it was nice, not too expensive, and only 10 minutes. This would be the same sort of thing. A quick ride around the waterfalls. In China, if someone makes the government look bad, that person tends to disappear. Even very wealthy people. That tends to help a lot with making sure things are safe. Doing any sort of flights is far more than you thought was possible now, as per your statement below:
But it has been two more years of no real progress with evtols
 
You haven't shown I'm wrong- you are just stating an uninformed opinion.
I once paid for a helicopter ride in Orlando. it was nice, not too expensive, and only 10 minutes. This would be the same sort of thing. A quick ride around the waterfalls. In China, if someone makes the government look bad, that person tends to disappear. Even very wealthy people. That tends to help a lot with making sure things are safe. Doing any sort of flights is far more than you thought was possible now, as per your statement below:
Your premise is that China has a superior safety record, and what’s more, that it’s due to the government killing anyone that has an accident? But not that accidents are covered up by the government. Nah, they’d never falsify a safety record to make them look better. Pretty funny stuff.
 
Actually seeing one in real life make a few back to back flights in person. Just as a start. I know, that’s asking so much.
Not really. There are several places you can travel to see an eVTOL fly. Its how I watched a couple fly. Unfortunately none flying in FL at the moment that I know of. Joby did perform several demo flights off the Downtown heliport in NYC last year of which there are a few videos on them if that is good enough?

Curious. Since you're not impressed with the EH216 tourist flights, where do you think they should be flying-wise... given the EH216 was TC'd only 11 months ago and hasnt finished their complete CAAC AOC certification yet? And what existing operation are you comparing it to, if any?
 
Your premise is that China has a superior safety record, and what’s more, that it’s due to the government killing anyone that has an accident? But not that accidents are covered up by the government. Nah, they’d never falsify a safety record to make them look better. Pretty funny stuff.
I didn't say that China has a better safety record. No one said that anyone was killed except you. With Weibo, WeChat, and other internal social media, it's difficult to "cover up" accidents of this sort. Jack Ma didn't "toe the line" and he "disappeared" for a while.
Here's another tycoon who PO'd the government and went away:

As for safety, I'd rather fly in the EH216 than the Boeing Starliner. If the US government wasn't watching them now, I wouldn't fly in their planes either.
 
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