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MountainDude
Is there any kind of developmental proof of 3 fold improvements every decade or so in energy density?and that in 15 years we'll probably have batteries that have densities that are 2-3 as good as Tesla's current best
lol. Yeah, that’s realistic.The 'as battery technology evolves' bit is a shame. I'm curious what battery energy density they're using for that calculation. The people they use for their batteries currently supply a 205Wh/kg battery, and if they're doing the calculation off for instance Tesla Model 3 battery density, which is 260Wh/kg I guess I'm not too disappointed. It seems reasonably likely that their supplier could have products that would match the Tesla density in the near future.
I'm pretty pleased that Diamond is coming out with this plane. My feeling is that improvements in battery energy density are inevitable, and that in 15 years we'll probably have batteries that have densities that are 2-3 as good as Tesla's current best, which would make a plane like this a lot more flexible.
No, why would you think that? I don't think any of us claim such a thing.Is there any kind of developmental proof of 3 fold improvements every decade or so in energy density?
You know most of it's fluff- just ignore it. OTOH, people stretching our technology is how we get things we have now. Like practical airplanes. Something that would have been called a supercomputerI'm getting so tired of this whole approach to the modern world "we're building a cool thing, we don't know how to power it, but some day someone will!" Why stop with airplanes, let's build teleporters and warp drives; they're theoretically possible - just need the technology to catch up
It depends on how fast it flies, and if it includes reserves. For example, 60 minutes at 150 knots is about 5 hours in a car. I'll give you 4 hours in a car for headwind. Do a 20 minute charge and do it again. Most of the flying I've been doing lately, it would work for me, too. It will undoubtedly bee to expensive for me, but any new plane I don't build will be.^that said, I like Diamond aircraft and their approach with the diesel engines, the DA62, DA50, etc., lend them credibility. But as has been stated before "up to 90 minutes" is not useful for general aviation outside of a niche market (training, coastal sightseeing tours, etc.)
Yup. Another example of people trying to apply Moore's Law to something besides computing power.
Yawn.
Is there any kind of developmental proof of 3 fold improvements every decade or so in energy density?
Who said any of that? I'd like to introduce you to my friend; he's made of straw and lives close to a slippery slopeIt’s pretty ignorant thought process to believe that 2021 is the furthest the human mind, all of its inventiveness, discoveries and technological advancements, will ever evolve. There’s more out there.
I don't think you meant to, but you proved my point. The Wright Brothers did their Kitty Hawk flight in 1903.. within 4 decades we had jet planes.. and within another 3 decades we had commercial supersonic travel. We've had batteries since 1800. How much government money, subsidies, private investment, university brain power has gone into batteries? Tesla is at the leading edge of battery tech right now.. but what works for cars may not work for planes.know. You would expect people versed in aviation to know that no aircraft would every fly for more than a few minutes while in clear sight the ground. The idea of carrying more than a passenger or two, and those fools exposed to all the elements, is clearly completely impossible.
How though? I appreciate the desire to advance our tech, especially in aviation, but you already have absurd amounts of money and tons of very smart people involved in this. Just about every car maker is planning an EV future. I think we are doing everything we realistically can.but we can certainly do better than we are doing right now
YES! And that's exactly it, people need to be realistic with what they can expect. This stuff is not without its dangers either, look at the whole Bolt debacle, the Boeing Dreamliner battery fires.. we have a long way to go..but it requires different battery chemistry
How though? I appreciate the desire to advance our tech, especially in aviation, but you already have absurd amounts of money and tons of very smart people involved in this. Just about every car maker is planning an EV future. I think we are doing everything we realistically can.
Battery ev's are a stopgap until something better comes around. I give it 20 years. When we realize lithium mining is time consuming and just as toxic long term.It’s pretty ignorant thought process to believe that 2021 is the furthest the human mind, all of its inventiveness, discoveries and technological advancements, will ever evolve. There’s more out there.
Battery ev's are a stopgap until something better comes around. I give it 20 years. When we realize lithium mining is time consuming and just as toxic long term.
Maybe then a realistic battery powered airplane is around.
Who said any of that? I'd like to introduce you to my friend; he's made of straw and lives close to a slippery slope.
No one said “any of that.” I said it’s pretty ignorant to think that we are living in the pinnacle of creativity and that nothing will ever advance beyond what we know today. Im certain that there were some cave dwelling geniuses who felt the same way during their epoch of well-honed stone tools and pointy sticks.
How many electric aircraft had been flown wen you first got your ticket vs today? I still have not said that electric stuff is great. In fact, I’ve said that I don’t even like it in other threads, but you’ve got to admit it’s being developed in little chunks here and there. A lot of people seem to expect instant success in supplanting globe-crossing airliners with battery powered airplanes or else it’s not truly successful. Different goals. It’s like saying Tesla isn’t successful because they don’t have 50-passenger buses with a 1200 mile range yet.
I’d like to introduce you to another friend you should have. Her name is Optimism. She believes in success and doesn’t give up.
That Lyten battery gets pretty close to the 2-3x energy density you mention. That charge time is also suspiciously similar to what Diamond claims. Instead of using graphite, they are using graphene- very similar to graphite, but much better control over the arrangement of the carbon atoms. There is no doubt more in those batteries than they mention in that web site.No, and there won't be - but we can certainly do better than we are doing right now, but it requires different battery chemistry. NiCad batteries had an energy density of around 50-60 Wh/kg, and Lithium Ion batteries in Teslas are about a five-fold improvement on them.
One of the current frontrunners for replacing Lithion Ion batteries are Lithium-Sulphur batteries, which have much higher energy densities than Lithium-Ion. Previously they had a lot of problems with degrading after about 50 cycles or so but recent developments have batteries that last for 1000 cycles, which is a lot closer to Lithium Ion levels. They estimate realizable specific energy of 400 - 600Wh/kg, which is about double what is currently in a Tesla. They seem to think they'll have batteries ready to sell in five years, but there's a reason I chose 15 years in my post.
There are other companies working on other Lithium-Sulfur batteries - some claiming that they'll get to 900Wh/kg, buuuuut... they haven't revealed how they do it yet, and it's Silicon Valley company...
Anyway, I guess my point is my belief that 2-3x current densities is probably on the horizon is not just a bit of hopeful handwaving on my part. It's me believing hopeful handwaving by some other people, some of whom have some interesting papers and results to back up their ideas.
Or we start recycling lithium as we do with lead batteries now.Battery ev's are a stopgap until something better comes around. I give it 20 years. When we realize lithium mining is time consuming and just as toxic long term.
Maybe then a realistic battery powered airplane is around.
For me, I keep it simple. Can it go as far as, produce as many kilowatt hours as, refuel as quickly as, be as cheap as gasoline?
Considering there’s virtually no new GA aircraft being sold, that isn’t an issue.I don't think they ever will, unless some truly wild new tech turns up. However that doesn't mean that people won't get forced to go electric. All new cars sold in Germany from 2030 onwards have to be electric - GA aviation will hold on longer than cars do, but how much longer?
Why do you say that? What do you mean by "soon"? How fast were you flying? How much were you carrying?My most recent flight was nearly 4 hours. I can’t see electric motors doing that anytime soon.
Why not? Thinking like this will allow other countries to surpass our technology.Another question on electric planes - why?
GA burns enough fuel in a year equal to what is used by a single 787 during taxi. I exaggerate - but you get my drift.
Banning all GA fuel burning aircraft will have zero impact on anything except a politician’s re election campaign.
Just let me know when you have something better, cheaper, faster than what we have now.
This is describing progress for progress' sake. Doesn't do anything to answer the question "why?" Why would this be progress?Why not? Thinking like this will allow other countries to surpass our technology.
You sound like someone in 1904 asking why create an airplane at all? The trains at the time were faster, cheaper, better. The engines at that time weren't great, either.
Going to an electric motor, if nothing else, will eliminate some of the points raised in this thread:
https://www.pilotsofamerica.com/community/threads/years-since-overhaul.134751/
Not at all. If someone brings me something better - great! I won’t stand in their way. Why would you think I’d slow them down? But if they take my tax dollars and build something less capable then we are falling behind- not going forward.
GA burns enough fuel in a year equal to what is used by a single 787 during taxi. I exaggerate - but you get my drift.
Multiply 1140 by this and what do you get?
Yeah - all electric by 2030 - gotcha -
IF the government enforces that, you'll see something similar to how Cuba was frozen in time with 1950's cars. Germany will be a time capsule for pre 2030 cars. Ironic that advancement in technology and car design will stop - kind of opposite of the intention.
I bet all the fuel for taxi for all those just today pretty much covers all of GA for a year.Doesn't look like a 'single' 787 to me.