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  1. jonvcaples

    Quick review of exponential gain re health issues

    Peter-when energy permits will rerun calculations, getting tired and need to rest soon. Had chemo earlier this week so jinda feeling p;oopo.
  2. jonvcaples

    Quick review of exponential gain re health issues

    Salty-that is merely an assumption used in my calculations.
  3. jonvcaples

    Quick review of exponential gain re health issues

    Assumption #3 is 25% (1 in 4) will need a bed.
  4. jonvcaples

    Quick review of exponential gain re health issues

    At the end of week 1 254 will be infected. Dividing 254 by 4 gives us 63.5 but you need a whole bed so round up to 64. Upon what are basing 3 out of 25?
  5. jonvcaples

    Please! Make it stop! (Stock market crash)

    Diversify! My wife was a business reporter for many years and wisely has our retirement funds nicely diversified. Have we been hurt by all this, yes but not nearly as badly as those 100% invested in the market. Our plan is to ride it out avoid the double soaking those who jump out now will...
  6. jonvcaples

    Quick review of exponential gain re health issues

    What does exponential gain tell us about how quickly a phenomenon such as COVID-19 can spread in the USA? Assumptions: 1-the number of cases doubles every 7 days, 2-no cure is available for 1 year, 3-25 of those infected require hospitalization, 4-deaths occur starting at 4th week of...
  7. jonvcaples

    Best company to work for that you’re home *most* nights?

    Good luck! The only guarantee is there are no guarantees. One of the guys from old reserve unit got his ME and a job flying a King Air in college while working part time as a line person by impressing the company CEO. This stuff CAN happen but not something one should make a key element of...
  8. jonvcaples

    The testing center has accused me of cheating on my IR written.

    Someone, Chris Rock maybe, did an excellent routine about thinking first then taking action second. One of his examples was the time to show off your new pistol or practice your quick draw is not when/where a cop can see you. Be smart and pick your battles carefully. I've had some extremely...
  9. jonvcaples

    The testing center has accused me of cheating on my IR written.

    Freedom is a wonderful thing, unfortunately it also comes with responsibilities and should be used in conjunction with common sense. The OP thought he was posting a humorous thing. Yes we have freedom of speech but that does not mean every thought should be articulated. The old saws about not...
  10. jonvcaples

    Filing a Flight Plan vs Flight Following

    FF is a great feature and can get help in an instant. Once it is terminated or post termination, if you press on, it becomes less useful. VFR flight plans are most useful if you file it, follow it (or amend it), and activate it. The best solution is to use both!
  11. jonvcaples

    Flying for company on a PPL

    If you are sure you are right disclose all the details, including prior flights, to your regulatory agency and ask for their decision. If you are reluctant to do this then you should assume what you are doing or planning to do is NOT legal, hence your reluctance. Asking a none aviation...
  12. jonvcaples

    Do you really understand Wing lift?

    Airplanes, like bees, fly because they cannot read. Classical theory and texts says bees should not be able to fly because their wings are too small. Since neither can read they just fly!:D
  13. jonvcaples

    Desktop Simulator Recommendations

    The instructor's controls for the Redbird are not always as simple or straight forward as one wants them to be. Anyone who plans to give instruction in one of these devices should go through a thorough checkout BEFORE working with another pilot. This is crucial for being able to smoothly...
  14. jonvcaples

    Desktop Simulator Recommendations

    Arnold-I apologize.
  15. jonvcaples

    Desktop Simulator Recommendations

    IK04 I took Arnold's posts as him saying he does not have an instrument rating which if he really has an ATP cannot be correct. Makes me wonder if he holds an ATP or does not understand his license. Rumpole of the Bailey is a great British series our local PBS stations carry from time to time...
  16. jonvcaples

    Desktop Simulator Recommendations

    Arnold-you have an ATP but no instrument rating?
  17. jonvcaples

    new pilot request help

    Never refuse to declare an emergency because you are afraid of what the feds MIGHT do. I've declared an emergency several times under part 91 (sick passenger) and 121 (problem with main fuselage door warning and a shattered windshield). FAA and ATC has never wanted to talk with me after the...
  18. jonvcaples

    Boeing 737 Crash in Iran...

    Typically SAMs are fired in pairs. This is a common practice as it results in a significant increase of Pk (probability of kill). As an example, assume the SAM has a Pk of .5 for one missile. By launching 2, near simultaneously, the Pk increases to .75.
  19. jonvcaples

    Boeing 737 Crash in Iran...

    Their confession blew me away! I wonder what behind the scenes activity occurred. Several factors that make me wonder what forced them to confess. 1-How much did the presence of Canadians play? 2-What evidence do we have? As a former intel officer and contractor I can reasonably guess at...
  20. jonvcaples

    Maybe it’s permanent. Grounding that is.

    Nate and Karen know you are not alone. You are held tightly in the thoughts, prayers, and hopes of many and us in particular. Jon and Jeanie
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