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Well, you snipped my post in such a way as to distort what I was saying. So I can't agree entirely with this. Before the snip, I was talking about isolating those who carry the virus. That's the best solution, but you have to know who they are first, and that's where we dropped the ball. After...

Well, not exactly. If the ONLY way you can protect the vulnerable population (whether for their protection, or more importantly, to protect everyone else who might need health services at this time) is to isolate the general public, then isolating the general public might be your only choice. A...

Seems to me this discussion is going into the weeds. I don't see @jspilot asking that someone be "controlled". Calling out what one considers to be poor advice is not controlling or trying to control someone else's actions. At the same time, I don't see where @Doc Holliday has said anything or...

Which news agencies have been reporting wild claims and jumping to conclusions? The ones I pay attention to (mainly PBS and NPR) have not been doing that at all. If anything, they've been doing a pretty good job of countering the "tons of misinformation circulating right now". There are always...

Heh. Well, I actually HAD Type A flu this year. The kind that gets a lot of people very, very sick. Our lab technician nearly died last year from complications from Type A. My case was extremely mild, for influenza. But I had the (regular) flu shot in October. Do as you will, but I'll continue...

Not only that, but unless you have a family of 12 or are operating an Air B&B, going out and buying a 25 lb bag of rice when you already have 80 lbs in your pantry qualifies as hoarding in my book. What do you (@Zeldman) think would happen if everyone did that? Oh wait! Lots of people ARE doing...

Careful, that might be interpreted as an anti-authority attitude. ;) So I talked to the FBO owner and it seems that a few other pilots have been flying a little. So I will brave it this afternoon. Not going to cross state lines as I don't know how strict the lockdown orders are elsewhere. But...

Correct, it is likely not possible. It is also not the objective at this point (as I think you were trying to say). For now, the objective is to delay as many infections as possible so that the health system is not overwhelmed by COVID-19 patients requiring critical care. Ultimately, the...

Correct, and I think that's what I said. ;) I'm going to call the FBO today to see how they interpret the order as it applies to flying.

You're allowed to go outside for specific purposes - and "exercise" is listed as one of those purposes. Unfortunately, exercising your engine isn't listed. An argument could be made, though, that it is a form of exercise. Whether that argument would "fly", of course (no pun intended), is another...

It's not addressed at all here in Vermont. And I haven't heard any planes the last couple of days, even though the weather has been ideal for flying, so I have to assume that most pilots here at least *think* it falls into the forbidden category.

Awesome news, Nate! Hope things keep going in the right direction.

Cool, I'll do the same - but it won't be for a while, as I said.

Thanks. I'm about 99.9% sure that it is a config issue. I don't think it can be a wiring issue since traffic data is being received and displayed by the unit, and I believe traffic and wx come over the same line. Your traffic issue probably is as well, and for the same reason. However, getting...

Would be interesting to know how that breaks down by age bracket...

That's what I've been doing for the Vermont data. Because the sample size is so small, there is a good deal of random variation, but the linear fit is fairly good and the doubling time is consistent with the national value (about 2.4 days, with no sign of flattening as of two days ago).

Not correct. We are talking about the rate of increase (the increase per day) being a constant percentage of the current value. That IS exponential growth. If (increase per unit time) = (constant) x (current value) then value (as a function of time) is proportional to e^(constant x time). The...

I don't know about "all", but it's quite true that many studies use mathematical models (along with certain "reasonable" assumptions) and then try to see if the model's predictions agree with the actual evidence. The article is paywalled so I'm not entirely sure what the assumptions were. If...

The one big unknown in all of these estimates is how many people are infected without knowing it, without developing anything more serious than cold symptoms at worst. Brian quoted an article from Financial Times on his board that argues that the fraction of total infected people is so high...

The answer, of course, is 47 days.